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Mel's avatar

I wish I could help you, cat. All I know is from listening to docs I trust who work in ICU and in watching the hospitalization numbers, including numbers in ICU and deaths in my own area. In my area, younger people are indeed being hospitalized in greater numbers and some are critically ill and have been placed on a ventilator, though we know that’s usually the wrong choice. Deaths have ticked up steadily too over the last month to month and a half. Delta’s greater contagiousness, if that is true, could alone explain the increased hospitalizations since they seem to be getting much sicker much faster due to high viral loads perhaps. People were getting badly symptomatic on day 8-10 last year, now it’s moved down to day 4-5 where they are progressing to low oxygen levels. Kory and Marik corroborate that younger and younger people are being affected, likely due to those higher viral loads impacting them sooner. Anyway, as a retired ICU nurse and then an NP in internal medicine for a total of 34 years, something is definitely different with these variant, no question about it.

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cmpalmer75's avatar

I do recommend you watch this interview of Vanden Bossche and Malone conducted by Philip McMillan of Vejon Health. It's long (~2 hours), but it make give insight. For example, Vanden Bossche has a theory as to why the case rate in the UK is hovering on a high plateau (also seen in Israel) that may play a role in the rising delta CFR.

https://www.facebook.com/162851011009411/videos/871272056853663

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-kingdom

https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/israel

Thanks for all you do.

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