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Brian Mowrey's avatar

Another way of putting it is that if 1,000 young adults take a preventative medical intervention to prevent 1 hospitalization (using https://www.statista.com/statistics/1122354/covid-19-us-hospital-rate-by-age/ ), 999 of them took it for nothing.

However, this correct analysis of the ambiguousness of the Duke data skips the most important point: The 364 test-confirmed positives from last week haven't even had time to develop severe symptoms yet.

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