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the hypothesis that the vaxxes work (whatever that is today) has a troubling probability to be false. all tests have type i and ii error and we have no idea what cdc estimated those to be!

the vaxxes have no safety observations therefore the consumer risk of taking one is too high for a rational decision maker.

the observed test "efficacy" was "tweeked", and the test population lacked minorities and elderly.

the vaxxed breakthrough cases are horrifying, 75% of provincetown, ma outbreak positive tests are two dose vaxxed. note ma is in hope simpson low season!

and implying case fatality rate is lower ignores the observation that delta cfr is very slight compared to last year.

the vaccines have not made c19 any more endemic than coincidental evolution and declining cases last spring is more likely hope simpson seasonality....

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