303 Comments

Great analysis! 2 things I would like to see:

R2 for all states

More focus on boosters - anyone unvaccinated now will basically never get the shots unless they are tied down and jabbed. The active question is whether the "fully vaccinated" double jabbed will recover from their shots if they wait long enough, or if they have done permanent damage. And, what their best course of action is going forward.

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Meanwhile, the western countries - US and Canada quite prominently - continue to require injections for foreign nationals to enter, amongst other restrictions (Canadian citizens who reenter their country without the mystery juice still have to quarantine for two weeks, for instance). For Science Believers our governments seem remarkably impervious to empirical tests of hypotheses. As you've noted, their current tactic seems to be just refusing to collect or release data that's inconvenient to their dogma.

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Even rabidly pro-vaxers (like my mom) are understanding that this is happening. She had a "covid scare" a few weeks ago (she's double boosted) due to an "exposure". Now, my 79 yo aunt, who is double boosted and immune compromised due to a prolonged chemo course for stage 4 ovarian cancer has tested positive. My mom is "very worried" (as she should be) -- and suddenly no mention of "thank God she's boosted." The women in my family are extraordinarily long-lived and healthy -- my grandmother was 106 1/2 when she died, and had only been in assisted living 6 months. Her mother lived to 92 with diabetes -- but I find I now have a constant low-level anxiety about my mom and aunt because of these stupid jabs. At least every email doesn't end in "and I DO wish you'd get vaccinated" anymore.

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And yet, the CDC continues to triple down on the get vaxxed/boosted message. I don't think they will EVER admit that it's not working. It will always be the fault of those who did not comply, whether it's for the initial series or for the nth booster.

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I think we also have to consider that the high vaxxed states have a higher concentration of pussies who are more likely to go to the hospital over a case of the sniffles.

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Could Tennessee be an outlier because of people moving in from blue states? I am curious about the size of population changes in these states. Is it large enough to effect the comparison of 2021 vs. 2022

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it's like groundhog day

good thing someone enjoys crunching data :)

EDIT: I did a thing.

https://themariachiyears.substack.com/p/of-groundhogs-and-gatos

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In my small local hospital in Michigan, our COVID numbers were low over the last few months, just a couple of cases, and we even had some days last week when there were zero COVID hospitalizations. The few hospitalizations were almost exclusively vaccinated; I think there was only one vaccinated inpatient in the last month or so. Then last week it went from 2 vaccinated to 4 vaccinated on Friday. On Monday, there were 7, and guess what? They no longer classify inpatients by vaccination status, after all these months of breaking them out! I believe they know that the numbers are not going to look good for the vaccine pushers who make up the hospital administration and most of the medical staff.

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It's entirely bizarre that this math even has to be done at all. Think about where we started vs. Where we now:

Started: vaccines make you a dead end for the virus. You can't get it, you certainly won't be hospitalized and you definitely won't die.

Where we are: vaccinated make up the majority of cases, hospitalizations and deaths.

And we're still fiddling with the data as if WE have something to prove. We've let them move the goalposts so far that we're now playing an entirely different game. We have to hold them to the original standard.

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Depressing to see what I regard as certainly too high as percentages for "lowest vaccinated." I myself am living in an extremely highly-vaccinated area of a lower vaccinated rate (63.3%) state. I just looked at vaccinated status for hospitalizations statewide:

Unvaccinated: 13.3% (as of 7/11)

Vaccinations fully up to date: 32.2% (as of 7/11)

Vaccinations partially up to date: 23.3% (as of 7/11)

Unknown: 31.1% (as of 7/11)

You'd think that would tell them something...

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And the state where I live, WA is doubling down on "mandating" jabs and boosters for state employees. To help kill off people more quickly they are trying to breech our power producing dams to "save the salmon". The upside-down world is alive and well in WEF run WA.

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It is so hot here in TN that we get summer colds from staying packed indoors. It’s muggy, buggy and extremely hot here.

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“This starts to get awfully compelling to ignore.”

Oh yeah? Watch them.

Too late for them to ever admit this was a mistake—will never happen.

Thanks for fighting the good fight.

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a spoiler: the injected do not care about ANY of this info.

they will switch their line from "the injection keeps me safe from hospitalization and death" to "the injection keeps me safe from death."

when the death rates go up, their line will probably be something like "without the injection, I wouldn't be strong enough to make it to the hospital to get treated."

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Well, your problem, Gato, is that you treat people without at least 3 booster shots as vaccinated. If you haven't had at least 4 boosters, then you are unvaccinated according to CNN. Sorry, but that is how the science works.

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"if vaccines work to stop severe outcomes, then why aren't they working?"

I think we just need a few more boosters. Then they'll start working. 😉

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