Once again, this is happening just like the 'seasonality theorists' said that it would. And when the wave dies off in a month or two, it won't be 'the rules' that did it, it will be spring. Again.
Data can be so, what's the word, "Inconvenient!" I simply cannot believe that a virus, already at or approaching endemic equilibrium, can be so hard to control with government mandates and police. Next thing, you'll be saying that wearing a facial Petri dish, A.K.A., a "face mask," is unlikely to keep me from coming into contact with the minimum infective dose of an aerosolized virus. Crazy talk!
Also, as part of the ramp-up, watch for a force-through of FDA approval. Probably some sort of twisted approximation of "compasionate-use." If I were betting, I'd guess they need to get rid of all the EUA limitations and subsequent lawsuits. Just wipe any legal challenges right off the table. This will need to happen right quick. Six-weeks out? Less? The info space will need to be prepped, so I would look for a steep uptick in the usual media tool Ding-types demanding FDA action and the usual political tools throwing it up against the wall to see what sticks and gauge the pushback.
Putting together data listed in the comments, so all they managed was to delay the inevitable. Vax rate is low (at best ~25% complete), previous exposure was almost nil, and it's mid-to-late winter in the Southern Hemisphere. So they're going to experience the wave we got in March 2020 here in metro NYC. Hope they're a little more willing to use certain pharmaceutical treatments, even aspirin plus steroids, than we have been through all this.
"President of Haiti Jovenel Moïse was reluctant to push for the vaxx in his poor country; He then flatly refused AstraZeneca, saying the stuff is dangerous. Sadly, he has been assassinated by a gang of Colombian mercenaries claiming to be DEA and some of them actually serving with the DEA. The killing was organised by a Florida-based security firm. The killers were trained by the US Army. As soon as the President of Haiti was murdered, the US called in the Marines and half a million doses of vaccine. Thus, this small rebellion against the Covid empire has been squashed.
Moise was bravely following in the footsteps of four African leaders who also tried to resist Covid rule. Tanzanian President, John Magufuli, a cheeky man, tested some papaya, a goat, and a sample of engine oil for Covid using WHO-supplied tests, and they all turned out positive. He rejected testing and declared Tanzania Covid-free. Immediately afterwards the London Guardian newspaper (in a section funded by Bill Gates) called for regime change. The US Council on Foreign Relations seconded the call, and presto! The man is dead. It has been persuasively argued that Tanzania was untouched by Covid because the population regularly used an easily available and inexpensive anti-malaria drug [Ivermection].
Magufuli was preceded by the President of Burundi, Pierre Nkurunziza, who did not allow WHO envoys into his country and refused to lock down and succumb to mass testing. He promptly died of a heart attack, just like Magufuli. The man who took his place immediately invited the WHO into the country and followed their instructions. Hamed Bakayoko, the Prime Minister of Ivory Coast and Ambrose Dlamini, who was prime minister of Eswatini (Swaziland) also died in suspicious circumstances. The suspicious circumstances around the assassinations are currently being covered up by Reuters fact checkers, who are claiming that “there is no evidence that leaders of Tanzania, Ivory Coast, eSwatini and Burundi were killed for refusing to vaccinate their countries against COVID-19.” That is one surefire way to know that they were assassinated." Israel Shamir
The crazy thing is that they seem to be implying that they need to get to zero community tranmission or 80% elig pop vaxxed before locklown will end. Meanwhile, Lifeline just had the most daily calls in its 58 year history. We are screwed
Seems about as effective as any other lockdown over the past 17 months.
Once again, this is happening just like the 'seasonality theorists' said that it would. And when the wave dies off in a month or two, it won't be 'the rules' that did it, it will be spring. Again.
now
'Would have been far worse without the lockdowns! ' For ANY facts a narrative can be made to fit with plausible deniability. Funny how that works.
But...but...lockdowns work!
Data can be so, what's the word, "Inconvenient!" I simply cannot believe that a virus, already at or approaching endemic equilibrium, can be so hard to control with government mandates and police. Next thing, you'll be saying that wearing a facial Petri dish, A.K.A., a "face mask," is unlikely to keep me from coming into contact with the minimum infective dose of an aerosolized virus. Crazy talk!
Jesus have these criminals not got the memo that ventilators are shit for most ICU pts?
Also, as part of the ramp-up, watch for a force-through of FDA approval. Probably some sort of twisted approximation of "compasionate-use." If I were betting, I'd guess they need to get rid of all the EUA limitations and subsequent lawsuits. Just wipe any legal challenges right off the table. This will need to happen right quick. Six-weeks out? Less? The info space will need to be prepped, so I would look for a steep uptick in the usual media tool Ding-types demanding FDA action and the usual political tools throwing it up against the wall to see what sticks and gauge the pushback.
Putting together data listed in the comments, so all they managed was to delay the inevitable. Vax rate is low (at best ~25% complete), previous exposure was almost nil, and it's mid-to-late winter in the Southern Hemisphere. So they're going to experience the wave we got in March 2020 here in metro NYC. Hope they're a little more willing to use certain pharmaceutical treatments, even aspirin plus steroids, than we have been through all this.
Imagine how much worse it would have been if...
Australia has lost its collective mind.
"President of Haiti Jovenel Moïse was reluctant to push for the vaxx in his poor country; He then flatly refused AstraZeneca, saying the stuff is dangerous. Sadly, he has been assassinated by a gang of Colombian mercenaries claiming to be DEA and some of them actually serving with the DEA. The killing was organised by a Florida-based security firm. The killers were trained by the US Army. As soon as the President of Haiti was murdered, the US called in the Marines and half a million doses of vaccine. Thus, this small rebellion against the Covid empire has been squashed.
Moise was bravely following in the footsteps of four African leaders who also tried to resist Covid rule. Tanzanian President, John Magufuli, a cheeky man, tested some papaya, a goat, and a sample of engine oil for Covid using WHO-supplied tests, and they all turned out positive. He rejected testing and declared Tanzania Covid-free. Immediately afterwards the London Guardian newspaper (in a section funded by Bill Gates) called for regime change. The US Council on Foreign Relations seconded the call, and presto! The man is dead. It has been persuasively argued that Tanzania was untouched by Covid because the population regularly used an easily available and inexpensive anti-malaria drug [Ivermection].
Magufuli was preceded by the President of Burundi, Pierre Nkurunziza, who did not allow WHO envoys into his country and refused to lock down and succumb to mass testing. He promptly died of a heart attack, just like Magufuli. The man who took his place immediately invited the WHO into the country and followed their instructions. Hamed Bakayoko, the Prime Minister of Ivory Coast and Ambrose Dlamini, who was prime minister of Eswatini (Swaziland) also died in suspicious circumstances. The suspicious circumstances around the assassinations are currently being covered up by Reuters fact checkers, who are claiming that “there is no evidence that leaders of Tanzania, Ivory Coast, eSwatini and Burundi were killed for refusing to vaccinate their countries against COVID-19.” That is one surefire way to know that they were assassinated." Israel Shamir
we just need 2 more weeks
the virus beats the oz army......
virus does what virus do....
scale matters too:
https://ourworldindata.org/explorers/coronavirus-data-explorer?zoomToSelection=true&time=2020-03-01..latest&pickerSort=asc&pickerMetric=total_vaccinations_per_hundred&Metric=Confirmed+deaths&Interval=7-day+rolling+average&Relative+to+Population=true&Align+outbreaks=false&country=AUS~GBR
But Andy Slavitt said this was unpossible! My world view is destroyed!
The crazy thing is that they seem to be implying that they need to get to zero community tranmission or 80% elig pop vaxxed before locklown will end. Meanwhile, Lifeline just had the most daily calls in its 58 year history. We are screwed
King Canute and the aerosol virus.
It started as a penal colony. Now it’s returning to its roots.
seems that might be a good advertisement for vaccination . or not?