Reading your posts (and those of others I follow on Substack) can be so humbling. I used to think of myself as a decently smart person. No more (other than being smart enough to stay away from the shots with only a basic bullshit detecting ability).
Thank God that we have access to people as smart as you to comb through this crap because otherwise, us average folks wouldn’t have a prayer.
Agreed Bad Cat! Thank you for again ripping back the curtain on these tiresome, relentless deceivers. A recent Rasmussen poll of 1000 random US adults found 32% of us are unvaxxed. That's ONE IN THREE. I'm unvaxxed, hear me roar, in numbers TOO BIG TO IGNORE.
The unvaxxed are a larger cohort than what the govt wants to acknowledge. They are still coming for us however. Next are higher auto insurance premiums!?
I remember talking to someone who was making a big deal of a model with backcasting accuracy. I told her, "there are two kinds of people in the world - those who understand statistics and those who don't". Thank goodness El Gato Malo is in the group that does!
Mark Twain aptly noted that there are lies, damn lies, and statistics. The left has been using manipulated models to make it dire, outrageous and totally phony and inaccurate climate change/global warming predictions for decades. Wanna see my hockey stick?
My model shows that they should have listened to my wife in the summer of 2020 who said that this thing is going to mutate into weakened variants by the time they roll out this never-before-attempted programming that is supposed to grow a duplicate of a viral spike protein that will likely be extinct by the time they start the planetary large-scale experiment. So that's actually my wife's model. She said, "You can't fake time."
In other news, they are passing out defib machines in Australia. "Don worry, mate... there's one within walk-about distance."
I spoke with members of a lifeline helicopter team recently who told me they've never had as many calls for cardiac arrest as they've had in the past year.
I am a volunteer EMT in a very rural area. Last February (2/2021) I went to a cardiac arrest call for a man with no cardiac history and good exercise habits. He finished his morning workout, sat down on the couch and died. When the medical examiner came to remove the body, she had only one question for the wife: "was he vaccinated?". Yes he was. As we moved the body to the ME's truck she told me that "he'd clotted up solid".
ME’s on the spot comment ahead of any post-mortem!!?? These people flippin know. Even if they’re not doing autopsies. They hear from funeral homes. Wonder what the official cause of death reads.
Anecdotes like yours still drop my jaw. Can’t “get used to it.”
What I do do, nearly daily, is say a thank you to the immortal souls of those who have left the planet in conjunction with these products; their lineup has done an incredible service to humanity. Same for the injured still here and suffering. Often raises a tear, like now. Painful. For some reason, some Plan beyond my ken, it has to happen this way...
I get confused all the time about Oz. Are they allowed to have walkabouts now? Is that now a generalized freedom, or is it it only in the event of a myocardial infarction?
@Bitter Clinger ~ Your wife's wisdom "You can't fake time" reminds me of the popular (advertising) slogan in the 1970's:
>"You can't fool Mother Nature."
I keep thinking of this with every new abomination they create for us. Consider, for example, the latest dystopian nightmare of new artificial womb pods and artificial breastmilk:
I'd be really paranoid and miserable after 8 bowls, but I would be less involved with destroying civilization than trying to figure out whether anyone else knew I was in the kitchen eating ice cream out of the carton.
😂😂🤣 Them old dayz. No going back. Though I do reflect that cracks in innocence definitely lengthened and widened as a result of activities. The Generation Gap Illustrated. A journey bound to wend and wind up in the present, stripped of the illusion, sans substances most of the way here. Quite the ride. Don’t take that to mean I’m all kinds o’ pleased. 😏 Limit that to pleased I’m awake and aware. Bowls no help here. Magic 8 ball possibly a better bet. Whew, how did this comment get here?
So does my gas powered car. It’s just that we rely on natural processes to turn the sun and CO2 into vegetation, bury it, ferment the stuff for about a million years before we pump it out of the ground and distill it to use in our cars. Just sayin’
Dec 15, 2022·edited Dec 15, 2022Liked by el gato malo
There is only one valid way to test a model: walk forward testing from the current day. Having traded the Russell equity futures markets for a living for twelve years, I shudder to think about how many successful market algorithms I discovered via backtesting--that were abject failures in the harsh light of the present tense. Whether it be curve-fitting, confirmation bias, or any number of other traps, models only hold water when they are accurate from Day Now forward. Since I day traded very short time frame charts, I had lots of opportunities to develop new 'systems' and then trade them in real time going forward using small position size. It was all pretty humbling until I realized that the only way a system will work is if its underlying logic depends upon immutable human nature. Even at small size it took me two years and a fair chunk of change to build a system that suited my personality and took advantage of basic human impulses.
You are right, EGM: if applied to the real world of markets, the modeling approach these bozos took would have blown up their trading account spectacularly.
this is how you pull down the cut of woo woo. you spot the part of the problem in which you happen to be expert and then see that they are not doing it correctly. so you grab that thread and start pulling to see where it goes.
iterate this across a whole internet and what happens is that the alleged pros wind up fighting the real pros at every turn and as those real pros gel into interdisciplinary teams to cooperate, it rapidly becomes more functional than entire academic fields and re-writes them in real time.
the last 3 years have upended epidemiology and exposed much of it and public health as fraud fields. and the genie is not going back in the bottle.
this has been a vast open source project to save society from the credentialed classes and authority guilds.
how does one not fall in love with this? it's just amazing what's been accomplished.
What is your best explanation for why these people are doing this? Surely they are not dumb. They know what they are doing and how they are just pushing shit out to keep the narrative going but to what end? Do they really believe they can keep all these plates in the air, the vax harms, the vax ineffectiveness, the likely lab leak and the seemingly coordinated plan to withhold treatment (see below thread)?
It is most difficult to process the fact that a small cadre of devious people would be so brazen to experiment with humanity in this way. I do not raise these issues with my friends/family (except my wife who tells me it is pointless as what I think is not going to change anything) and the prime reason for this is that nobody believes the people running the show could possibly be that corrupt and mendacious. But it sure seems as if that is the case. What is the end game?
Yes and that's the thing - they are not dumb* and not only 'alleged' pros. They are pros, just not at the game we think we're playing. We think in this case we're playing the Game of Life - Epidemiology Version. They feign as much, but that is just their schtick for the talent portion of the Miss Information Pageant in which we're clearly not participating. So yes, they are valueless and evil, devious. And I think we err when we use our 'values' to try to interpret their behavior.
* they are dumb though in their belief that wokism, socialism, marxism, or whatever other ism they align with will actually be good for humanity and that they won't eventually be sold out by their puppeteers
“And I think we err when we use our ‘values’ to try to interpret their behavior.”
Exactly. There are no shared values.
Personally/a personal situation, it’s exhausting trying to think like a deviant in an attempt to stay one measly half step ahead. The reveal is slow but the light of day is the best “counter intelligence”. They out themselves. No different here. The genie ain’t going back in the bottle.
And so right: the useless idiots who imagine some promised future for playing their role are in for a rude awakening when for expediency they will take the fall. I suspect most are in the dark about the top puppeteers. Of the few that know, it will only take one. When it’s their neck in the guillotine they might not feel so bound by worthless oaths. -? An old gray mare can hope.
They are profoundly self-important and their careers have been built on being the smart ones in the room no matter what and where the room is, and none of them are emotionally mature.
How many 12 yr. olds are willing to apologize when they've been very, very naughty? Brazen it out until a grownup grounds them.
What's irritating me a little bit these days is people imagining good plumbing and ultra-fast communication infrastructure mean human beings have made progress in any substantial way.
We is wut we wuz. Everything is power and resources and who controls 'em and who doles 'em out as patronage. To show weakness is fatal. If not bodily, to one's reputation. They will hang on until their fingertips shred away on the cliffside.
“they have slanted data, rigged studies, used mice to stand for people and biomarkers to stand for clinical efficacy. truly, the whole panoply of prevarication has been deployed to try to cover for the basic fact that these products barely worked...”
Wondering if you are still thinking the rest of the “science” of vaccines and virology don’t also have those same issues.
I agree with you but what do we do/think will happen? Do we just Twitter-size the whole "Even though we knew its wrong, we all clapped and played along" medical staff (which will be almost all). (it is tempting but...)
There is going to have to be both punishment and rehabilitation... I am having a hard time thinking of how that will happen...
(my best guess is a 12 step program, complete with extreme apologies)
The big problem is the fact that a lot less people read substack, and most follow MSM, so lots of people are going to parrot the 3 million lives saved and that becomes the popular belief all the while people are dropping dead suddenly all around them.
Maddening to know youre on the right side of history but most will never know they were ever wrong.
100% the truth. They will see the headline and that will be enough confirmation for them. The vaccines are great, better get my 6th shot before Christmas. Mindless drones. Even a semi educated working stuff like myself can pull up that study and realize it’s pure fiction, numbers made up out of whole cloth.
It's just more ammunition for the folks who stopped talking to you when they found out you took a hard pass on the jab. They don't care about the actual data.
Last night the other half and I were coming back from the niece's dance recital in a snowstorm. The pickup we were in was not in 4X4, so it was only in rear wheel drive, and you have to come up a monster hill on that street. And the back tires slid sideways. My husband, who drives on ice and snow all the time, quickly adjusted and we came up the hill.
I said to him, "It's a bit slick." He says, "The light never came on" (meaning the traction light). I reply, "But I felt the tires go." He said, "Yeah, but the light never came on." I said, "Well, what are we going to believe--the light or the tires?" He says (jokingly), "The light of course. We always believe the light, never the tires."
But that's the world. We always believe the light, never the tires.
They've been doing this all along. At one point, the UW (Gates-funded) model had the state I live in with more actual deaths than we had. Then I remember the article on how 250,000 people died because of Sturgis, when only about 200 people at Sturgis ever tested positive for COVID. It was "modeling." It's crazy that people fall for this stuff, but I blame our "education" system.
If they had believed their product was beneficial let alone anywhere near 95% effective they would have allowed their trials to complete instead of unblinding them and vaccinating almost everyone in the control group in Jan 2021 right as the program was rolling out. So now they are left with worthless models where they can input whatever data they decide while ignoring actual data, like the VAERS safety signal, all the died suddenly etc. Fortunately for them they have a system of experts that will vouch for this BS.
In the first place, the definition of [efficacy] is a bogus definition of a collaboration between the FDA and pharmaceutical companies.
As for where the fraud is, the phony definition is relative and does not consider the total number of clinical trial participants.
Effective rate ≡ (number of people who developed symptoms without vaccination - number of people who developed symptoms after vaccination) / number of people who developed symptoms without vaccination
is defined as, but in short, it is a cheat definition that does not consider the total number.
This definition was established for pharmaceutical companies to obtain marketing authorization for drugs from medical institutions. (Anne-Marie Yim)
An absolute efficacy rate of only 0.72% is calculated from Pfizer's initial clinical trial data.
Pfizer's initial published trial figures (trials typically have 4-5 phases)
Investigation total Onset Non-onset ｜Non-onset rate (this is my calculator calculation)
Number of people vaccinated 21,500 8 21,492 ｜ 99.962%
Number of people not vaccinated 21500 162 21338 | 99.246%
Certainly, according to the [pharmaceutical company's definition], the effective rate is (162-8) / 162 = 0.9506 = 95%,
Looking at the non-onset rate, it seems that there is not much difference whether the corona vaccine is given or not.
The difference in the number of affected people is 154 / 21,500 population = 0.72% is the true [absolute efficacy rate] of vaccination
Let's use our brains a little.
Even if the onset is 80 vaccinated / 1620 non-vaccinated, the efficacy rate is the same 95%,
Even if the onset is 800 vaccinated / 16200 non-vaccinated people, the efficacy rate is the same 95%, the meaning of the vaccine
The efficacy rate is 95% even if the onset is 1075 vaccinated / 21500 non-vaccinated people, so the significance of the vaccine is great
In this case, if you don't get vaccinated, you will develop the disease 100% of the time.
Even now, when I read papers, there are many papers that use this [cheating effectiveness rate] as the effectiveness rate.
Now ask them to work out the following: if you are vaccinated and MORE likely to catch Covid, how many more people died from Covid purely because their vaccine went into negative efficacy?
Wow. Imagine how many deaths were averted by the simple passage of time if we take Neil Ferguson’s models as “reality.” Can someone publish a piece showing his models v reality? We must be over 50 million lives saved (pre-pandemic). Or maybe publish the IPCC models from 20 years ago?
To think he is still listed at Imperial College London as vice dean of academic development public health/epidemiology 🤦🏼♀️. The only reason he is still in the game is the poor guy couldn’t keep his pants zipped up during the lockdown. Awww love has no bounds. 💋
William Briggs, a statistician who looked into the irregularities of the 2020 election, has been screaming at the top of his lungs about models saying only what they're programmed to say. Here's one of his recent essays.https://wmbriggs.substack.com/p/what-is-a-model
@Doc Holliday, super helpful in a way that your timing (Wm. Briggs’ timing) can only be described as not coincidental. Serendipitous 😉 Plan on citing statistician Briggs myself. Thank you for the link!
Excellent reading referral! Just as gay/lesbian advocacy went looking for a use for its established operations, the machine built to address smallpox was available for covid. Systems looking to survive must find their next “job”.
I just watched this. Shaking my head and muttering to myself “those bastards. Liars.” Africa is lucky - the lowest number of jabs, lowest covid cases, and lowest deaths. Leave them alone!!
Africa is a placebo. They can’t allow that as it they will try and blame excess deaths on covid. Rather than the vax. They need to eradicate the placebo
They’ve been plagued with scandal from the very beginning I remember 40 years ago in Cambridge England someone pointed out the UNICEF store, and said how they were scamming donations to pay for, and a top-heavy administration, and very little of the money made its way to charity
As a child our schools held contests to see who could collect the most donations for UNICEF. I am truly sorry that I collected a single cent for these lying, agenda pushing, sicko's. I have forwarded this to family members and pro-jab friends. Knowing the jabs don't prevent transmission even they may be taken back by the blatant lies.
Unfortunately the lies that the vaccines are reducing the risk of hospitalization and the severity of Covid are part of the narrative of safe and effective. The friends and family members who have taken the bait have been hooked with a treble hook. Catch and release was not part of this evil plan.
“Grateful for the vaccines because without them, I would have been sicker when I caught what they claimed to prevent.” These buffleheads are ridiculous.
I would guess those too, but I would guess non-injected status as the real key. I wonder if there are different places in Africa, some injected and some not, for a comparison in which use of Ivermectin and HCQ is the same.
"Here's some Men With Guns that say you have to. The chart was just to make you feel better about it, but if you're going to be an asshole about it, we'll dispense with the foreplay."
You should see how they hammer you if you question their models. But boy are they doozies of twisted biased methodology blatantly designed to produce an outcome.
okay, let me get out my calculator. 8,005,500,000 people in the world, give or take. 335,817,000 in the US. So, 4% of the population is in the US. 6,665,321 covid deaths in the world, 1,111,364 covid deaths in the US....so, 16% of the covid deaths were in the US. If you added 3 million to both covid death totals, that would have made 42% of the world covid deaths in the US.
I did this same simple arithmetic for my (extremely intelligent) daughter about 10 months ago when she was trying to tell me how great the "vaccine" is and how many lives were being saved, etc. I ran the same equation for several other countries around the world. Then I asked her how she could explain the disparities. To top things off, I got her to start reading El Gato. She now holds the opposite view. Did I not say she's a smart girl?
They Covidians still blame the unvaxxed for the high US death rate instead of placing the blame on the jabs where it belongs. I know someone who still blames Trump for the poor results here. It’s just too hard to deal with such stupidity.
Actually, I think hindcasting is more important than you think, as long as you are hindcasting with the same model you are using to forecast.
I'm sure the Bad Cat is aware of Steven E. Koonin's book Unsettled, but your readers should definitely know about this thoughtful examination of climate science. Koonin is a physicist who is in fact a leading authority on computer modeling of chaotic systems, and while he seems to maintain an open mind about most of the subjects he covers in the book, his chapter on models is scathing (I guess because on that subject he's really an expert). He apparently has no confidence at all in climate models, not least because (he suggests) some of them are produced in bad faith.
One of his tests for any climate model is to model the 20th century. We have all the data, just plug them into your model and see what you get. None of the models can accurately model the 20th century, especially not the two decades of cooling that occurred in the middle of the century. Koonin makes a reasonable case that if your model can't accurately model the 20th century, it's crap.
I recently read Koonin's book. I don't profess to grasp all of the science he laid on (I'm a historian, not natural sciences person) but my main take away from the book was that while there may well be general, slow, global warming observable over the last century or so, there is NO convincing evidence that this is caused by or even largely contributed to by human activity. Sitting in an atypically freezing UK, the memory of the summer heat alerts are already well beyond faded. What I did pick up a few weeks ago, though, is that there was a massive volcanic explosion near Tonga in ?January/?February this year, which is on record as sending the highest plume of stuff like ash into the upper atmosphere. Even with my really basic geophysics I can figure out that lots of ash and other volcanic material high up in the atmosphere will distribute around the globe and will have a cooling effect on global climate. Why did the MSM, e.g. the BBC here in UK, not even report this volcanic event until last month?
Reading your posts (and those of others I follow on Substack) can be so humbling. I used to think of myself as a decently smart person. No more (other than being smart enough to stay away from the shots with only a basic bullshit detecting ability).
Thank God that we have access to people as smart as you to comb through this crap because otherwise, us average folks wouldn’t have a prayer.
Agreed Bad Cat! Thank you for again ripping back the curtain on these tiresome, relentless deceivers. A recent Rasmussen poll of 1000 random US adults found 32% of us are unvaxxed. That's ONE IN THREE. I'm unvaxxed, hear me roar, in numbers TOO BIG TO IGNORE.
Another member of the all-important control group reporting for duty!
Pfizer said we weren't necessary, and that it was unethical. I guess the unethical part was interfering in their business model.
Me, too! Saluting our group.
A Third of UK adults are unvaccinated too . ..
Yeaaah!
The unvaxxed are a larger cohort than what the govt wants to acknowledge. They are still coming for us however. Next are higher auto insurance premiums!?
Yes!
I remember talking to someone who was making a big deal of a model with backcasting accuracy. I told her, "there are two kinds of people in the world - those who understand statistics and those who don't". Thank goodness El Gato Malo is in the group that does!
Mark Twain aptly noted that there are lies, damn lies, and statistics. The left has been using manipulated models to make it dire, outrageous and totally phony and inaccurate climate change/global warming predictions for decades. Wanna see my hockey stick?
That was biddees reply.
But AGW IS real! We just need to play the redefine game and take ownership...AGW = Anthropogenic Global WAR(mongering).
Same here… Much more of a common sense type person, rather than wow look at all this amazing statistical data!
Yes! My sentiments exactly.
My model shows that they should have listened to my wife in the summer of 2020 who said that this thing is going to mutate into weakened variants by the time they roll out this never-before-attempted programming that is supposed to grow a duplicate of a viral spike protein that will likely be extinct by the time they start the planetary large-scale experiment. So that's actually my wife's model. She said, "You can't fake time."
In other news, they are passing out defib machines in Australia. "Don worry, mate... there's one within walk-about distance."
I spoke with members of a lifeline helicopter team recently who told me they've never had as many calls for cardiac arrest as they've had in the past year.
Every day in my small town.
I am a volunteer EMT in a very rural area. Last February (2/2021) I went to a cardiac arrest call for a man with no cardiac history and good exercise habits. He finished his morning workout, sat down on the couch and died. When the medical examiner came to remove the body, she had only one question for the wife: "was he vaccinated?". Yes he was. As we moved the body to the ME's truck she told me that "he'd clotted up solid".
Terrifying!!!!
ME’s on the spot comment ahead of any post-mortem!!?? These people flippin know. Even if they’re not doing autopsies. They hear from funeral homes. Wonder what the official cause of death reads.
Anecdotes like yours still drop my jaw. Can’t “get used to it.”
What I do do, nearly daily, is say a thank you to the immortal souls of those who have left the planet in conjunction with these products; their lineup has done an incredible service to humanity. Same for the injured still here and suffering. Often raises a tear, like now. Painful. For some reason, some Plan beyond my ken, it has to happen this way...
Not giving up. Never complying.
I'm in the country. Helicopters all the time now.
I get confused all the time about Oz. Are they allowed to have walkabouts now? Is that now a generalized freedom, or is it it only in the event of a myocardial infarction?
Any confusion about Australia will be fixed by this video https://youtu.be/QO3BUpYFZvU
That reminds me of this- Australian green electric vehicle charging station https://www.bitchute.com/video/Tjo23nAYDBcB/
@Gigolo Joe ~ Fabulous! Thanks so much for sharing.
Just added this video to one of the newest sections in my "red pill" library:
> https://workflowy.com/s/beyond-covid-19/SoQPdY75WJteLUYx#/v_fd8c5c55a5f5_c08d9e7b70bf_f04b4cab05a02b8f
@Bitter Clinger ~ Your wife's wisdom "You can't fake time" reminds me of the popular (advertising) slogan in the 1970's:
>"You can't fool Mother Nature."
I keep thinking of this with every new abomination they create for us. Consider, for example, the latest dystopian nightmare of new artificial womb pods and artificial breastmilk:
> https://workflowy.com/s/beyond-covid-19/SoQPdY75WJteLUYx#/v_fd8c5c55a5f5_0e450cd7cbcb_f04b4cab05a02b8f
Ooh oooh! Now do “green” energy! Can I haz the sun run my Tesla? Magic 8 Ball says Yes!
Smoking 8 balls is what’s happening in “epidemiology.”
Haha smoking 8 balls
I read this as "smoking eight bowls". LOL, maybe that is the explanation for their disconnection from reality.
I wish they were smoking 8 bowls! I tend to be pretty chill after a little herb and not inclined to destroy the world.
I'd be really paranoid and miserable after 8 bowls, but I would be less involved with destroying civilization than trying to figure out whether anyone else knew I was in the kitchen eating ice cream out of the carton.
😂😂🤣 Them old dayz. No going back. Though I do reflect that cracks in innocence definitely lengthened and widened as a result of activities. The Generation Gap Illustrated. A journey bound to wend and wind up in the present, stripped of the illusion, sans substances most of the way here. Quite the ride. Don’t take that to mean I’m all kinds o’ pleased. 😏 Limit that to pleased I’m awake and aware. Bowls no help here. Magic 8 ball possibly a better bet. Whew, how did this comment get here?
😂
Either will work.
What's the range of a fully-charged Tesla - any Tesla- in -27C with ½' of snow covering the asphalt?
I'm curious, since the EUSSR is going to ban private citizens' ownership of petrol/diesel vehicles in the near future.
And we're supposed to swap out the roughly 400 000 000 such vehicles in the EUSSR inside 10-15 years.
Oh Rikard, you kill me sometimes...😂 You aren't supposed to swap out. You are supposed to walk...and die.
The old 8 ball is advanced technology. We just use dice.
Um, I hate to tell you what was actually *in* the 8 ball.....
Of course my Tesla runs on Solar energy, I PLUG IT IN every night!
So does my gas powered car. It’s just that we rely on natural processes to turn the sun and CO2 into vegetation, bury it, ferment the stuff for about a million years before we pump it out of the ground and distill it to use in our cars. Just sayin’
Have a bumper sticker on my car that says
Green Vehicle: The driver of this vehicle emits less than 1% of the toxic, greener-than-thou emissions of Tesla Drivers.
There is only one valid way to test a model: walk forward testing from the current day. Having traded the Russell equity futures markets for a living for twelve years, I shudder to think about how many successful market algorithms I discovered via backtesting--that were abject failures in the harsh light of the present tense. Whether it be curve-fitting, confirmation bias, or any number of other traps, models only hold water when they are accurate from Day Now forward. Since I day traded very short time frame charts, I had lots of opportunities to develop new 'systems' and then trade them in real time going forward using small position size. It was all pretty humbling until I realized that the only way a system will work is if its underlying logic depends upon immutable human nature. Even at small size it took me two years and a fair chunk of change to build a system that suited my personality and took advantage of basic human impulses.
You are right, EGM: if applied to the real world of markets, the modeling approach these bozos took would have blown up their trading account spectacularly.
exactly this.
this is how you pull down the cut of woo woo. you spot the part of the problem in which you happen to be expert and then see that they are not doing it correctly. so you grab that thread and start pulling to see where it goes.
iterate this across a whole internet and what happens is that the alleged pros wind up fighting the real pros at every turn and as those real pros gel into interdisciplinary teams to cooperate, it rapidly becomes more functional than entire academic fields and re-writes them in real time.
the last 3 years have upended epidemiology and exposed much of it and public health as fraud fields. and the genie is not going back in the bottle.
this has been a vast open source project to save society from the credentialed classes and authority guilds.
how does one not fall in love with this? it's just amazing what's been accomplished.
What is your best explanation for why these people are doing this? Surely they are not dumb. They know what they are doing and how they are just pushing shit out to keep the narrative going but to what end? Do they really believe they can keep all these plates in the air, the vax harms, the vax ineffectiveness, the likely lab leak and the seemingly coordinated plan to withhold treatment (see below thread)?
It is most difficult to process the fact that a small cadre of devious people would be so brazen to experiment with humanity in this way. I do not raise these issues with my friends/family (except my wife who tells me it is pointless as what I think is not going to change anything) and the prime reason for this is that nobody believes the people running the show could possibly be that corrupt and mendacious. But it sure seems as if that is the case. What is the end game?
https://twitter.com/TheJikky/status/1603327735853629441
Yes and that's the thing - they are not dumb* and not only 'alleged' pros. They are pros, just not at the game we think we're playing. We think in this case we're playing the Game of Life - Epidemiology Version. They feign as much, but that is just their schtick for the talent portion of the Miss Information Pageant in which we're clearly not participating. So yes, they are valueless and evil, devious. And I think we err when we use our 'values' to try to interpret their behavior.
* they are dumb though in their belief that wokism, socialism, marxism, or whatever other ism they align with will actually be good for humanity and that they won't eventually be sold out by their puppeteers
I am reminded of the time that I blew my friend's mind when I told him that poker isn't a card game, it's a betting game.
This is the same sort of thing.
“And I think we err when we use our ‘values’ to try to interpret their behavior.”
Exactly. There are no shared values.
Personally/a personal situation, it’s exhausting trying to think like a deviant in an attempt to stay one measly half step ahead. The reveal is slow but the light of day is the best “counter intelligence”. They out themselves. No different here. The genie ain’t going back in the bottle.
And so right: the useless idiots who imagine some promised future for playing their role are in for a rude awakening when for expediency they will take the fall. I suspect most are in the dark about the top puppeteers. Of the few that know, it will only take one. When it’s their neck in the guillotine they might not feel so bound by worthless oaths. -? An old gray mare can hope.
They are profoundly self-important and their careers have been built on being the smart ones in the room no matter what and where the room is, and none of them are emotionally mature.
How many 12 yr. olds are willing to apologize when they've been very, very naughty? Brazen it out until a grownup grounds them.
Lesson 1 in the mandatory seminar on business ethics that was part of basic econ:
"Never admit guilt!"
Not. Kidding.
What's irritating me a little bit these days is people imagining good plumbing and ultra-fast communication infrastructure mean human beings have made progress in any substantial way.
We is wut we wuz. Everything is power and resources and who controls 'em and who doles 'em out as patronage. To show weakness is fatal. If not bodily, to one's reputation. They will hang on until their fingertips shred away on the cliffside.
Lesson 1 sums up business ethics, eh?
Never saw that classroom. Probably some inner compass pointed me in another direction. Helpful insight, though at this stage it’s far from a surprise.
“they have slanted data, rigged studies, used mice to stand for people and biomarkers to stand for clinical efficacy. truly, the whole panoply of prevarication has been deployed to try to cover for the basic fact that these products barely worked...”
Wondering if you are still thinking the rest of the “science” of vaccines and virology don’t also have those same issues.
No, the genie sure ain't going back in the bottle!
Thousands were murdered by AZT for a virus that doesn't exist, and hundreds committed suicide after a positive result in a non-specific test for a virus that does't exist https://georgiedonny.substack.com/p/the-importance-of-intellectual-freedom
and now we're waking up.
We don't have to be experts in anything. just have some common sense and healthy scepticism
and when the scales fall from our eyes, it's all so blinking obvious that the emperor has no clothes https://georgiedonny.substack.com/p/seeing-is-believing
Jo
🐒
Wise Kitty:
I agree with you but what do we do/think will happen? Do we just Twitter-size the whole "Even though we knew its wrong, we all clapped and played along" medical staff (which will be almost all). (it is tempting but...)
There is going to have to be both punishment and rehabilitation... I am having a hard time thinking of how that will happen...
(my best guess is a 12 step program, complete with extreme apologies)
Investing with one's own money has a clarifying effect! As Nicholas Nassim Taleb says "if you don't have skin in the game, STFU!"
The big problem is the fact that a lot less people read substack, and most follow MSM, so lots of people are going to parrot the 3 million lives saved and that becomes the popular belief all the while people are dropping dead suddenly all around them.
Maddening to know youre on the right side of history but most will never know they were ever wrong.
100% the truth. They will see the headline and that will be enough confirmation for them. The vaccines are great, better get my 6th shot before Christmas. Mindless drones. Even a semi educated working stuff like myself can pull up that study and realize it’s pure fiction, numbers made up out of whole cloth.
Fauci has already cited the report in his interview with CNN...
(Rolls eyes)
It's just more ammunition for the folks who stopped talking to you when they found out you took a hard pass on the jab. They don't care about the actual data.
Last night the other half and I were coming back from the niece's dance recital in a snowstorm. The pickup we were in was not in 4X4, so it was only in rear wheel drive, and you have to come up a monster hill on that street. And the back tires slid sideways. My husband, who drives on ice and snow all the time, quickly adjusted and we came up the hill.
I said to him, "It's a bit slick." He says, "The light never came on" (meaning the traction light). I reply, "But I felt the tires go." He said, "Yeah, but the light never came on." I said, "Well, what are we going to believe--the light or the tires?" He says (jokingly), "The light of course. We always believe the light, never the tires."
But that's the world. We always believe the light, never the tires.
They've been doing this all along. At one point, the UW (Gates-funded) model had the state I live in with more actual deaths than we had. Then I remember the article on how 250,000 people died because of Sturgis, when only about 200 people at Sturgis ever tested positive for COVID. It was "modeling." It's crazy that people fall for this stuff, but I blame our "education" system.
There was one Covid related death after Sturgis 2020. The man had cancer and perhaps decided to make his final Sturgis trip. His Covid was incidental.
Perfect analogy! "The light of course. We always believe the light, never the tires" so very aptly sums up our approach to public health.
If they had believed their product was beneficial let alone anywhere near 95% effective they would have allowed their trials to complete instead of unblinding them and vaccinating almost everyone in the control group in Jan 2021 right as the program was rolling out. So now they are left with worthless models where they can input whatever data they decide while ignoring actual data, like the VAERS safety signal, all the died suddenly etc. Fortunately for them they have a system of experts that will vouch for this BS.
🎯🎯🎯
In the first place, the definition of [efficacy] is a bogus definition of a collaboration between the FDA and pharmaceutical companies.
As for where the fraud is, the phony definition is relative and does not consider the total number of clinical trial participants.
Effective rate ≡ (number of people who developed symptoms without vaccination - number of people who developed symptoms after vaccination) / number of people who developed symptoms without vaccination
is defined as, but in short, it is a cheat definition that does not consider the total number.
This definition was established for pharmaceutical companies to obtain marketing authorization for drugs from medical institutions. (Anne-Marie Yim)
An absolute efficacy rate of only 0.72% is calculated from Pfizer's initial clinical trial data.
Pfizer's initial published trial figures (trials typically have 4-5 phases)
Investigation total Onset Non-onset ｜Non-onset rate (this is my calculator calculation)
Number of people vaccinated 21,500 8 21,492 ｜ 99.962%
Number of people not vaccinated 21500 162 21338 | 99.246%
Certainly, according to the [pharmaceutical company's definition], the effective rate is (162-8) / 162 = 0.9506 = 95%,
Looking at the non-onset rate, it seems that there is not much difference whether the corona vaccine is given or not.
The difference in the number of affected people is 154 / 21,500 population = 0.72% is the true [absolute efficacy rate] of vaccination
Let's use our brains a little.
Even if the onset is 80 vaccinated / 1620 non-vaccinated, the efficacy rate is the same 95%,
Even if the onset is 800 vaccinated / 16200 non-vaccinated people, the efficacy rate is the same 95%, the meaning of the vaccine
The efficacy rate is 95% even if the onset is 1075 vaccinated / 21500 non-vaccinated people, so the significance of the vaccine is great
In this case, if you don't get vaccinated, you will develop the disease 100% of the time.
Even now, when I read papers, there are many papers that use this [cheating effectiveness rate] as the effectiveness rate.
Now ask them to work out the following: if you are vaccinated and MORE likely to catch Covid, how many more people died from Covid purely because their vaccine went into negative efficacy?
Wow. Imagine how many deaths were averted by the simple passage of time if we take Neil Ferguson’s models as “reality.” Can someone publish a piece showing his models v reality? We must be over 50 million lives saved (pre-pandemic). Or maybe publish the IPCC models from 20 years ago?
To think he is still listed at Imperial College London as vice dean of academic development public health/epidemiology 🤦🏼♀️. The only reason he is still in the game is the poor guy couldn’t keep his pants zipped up during the lockdown. Awww love has no bounds. 💋
William Briggs, a statistician who looked into the irregularities of the 2020 election, has been screaming at the top of his lungs about models saying only what they're programmed to say. Here's one of his recent essays.https://wmbriggs.substack.com/p/what-is-a-model
Thank you for the link. Briggs has brilliantly voiced the best description of the weakness inherent in ALL modeling that I have ever seen!
@Andy, I second.
@Doc Holliday, super helpful in a way that your timing (Wm. Briggs’ timing) can only be described as not coincidental. Serendipitous 😉 Plan on citing statistician Briggs myself. Thank you for the link!
Sure. His Substack is very interesting.
Excellent reading referral! Just as gay/lesbian advocacy went looking for a use for its established operations, the machine built to address smallpox was available for covid. Systems looking to survive must find their next “job”.
What an outstanding description of the flaws inherent in modeling! Thanks for the referral!!
https://twitter.com/backtolife_2023/status/1602532938134048769?s=20&t=GMFvx8WikHonLJmouM_vdA
Please watch and spread. This is UNICEF advert released 13th December. Terrifying. This isn't incompetence or money. This is DEPOP
I just watched this. Shaking my head and muttering to myself “those bastards. Liars.” Africa is lucky - the lowest number of jabs, lowest covid cases, and lowest deaths. Leave them alone!!
Africa is a placebo. They can’t allow that as it they will try and blame excess deaths on covid. Rather than the vax. They need to eradicate the placebo
Exactly. The Vax-Covidians always do their "Science" by eliminating the control group.
UNICEF should be shut down. Lying fucks.
Backup a few steps and get rid of the entire UN! : P
We only need to look as far as the UNs primary funder
They’ve been plagued with scandal from the very beginning I remember 40 years ago in Cambridge England someone pointed out the UNICEF store, and said how they were scamming donations to pay for, and a top-heavy administration, and very little of the money made its way to charity
As a child our schools held contests to see who could collect the most donations for UNICEF. I am truly sorry that I collected a single cent for these lying, agenda pushing, sicko's. I have forwarded this to family members and pro-jab friends. Knowing the jabs don't prevent transmission even they may be taken back by the blatant lies.
Unfortunately the lies that the vaccines are reducing the risk of hospitalization and the severity of Covid are part of the narrative of safe and effective. The friends and family members who have taken the bait have been hooked with a treble hook. Catch and release was not part of this evil plan.
“Grateful for the vaccines because without them, I would have been sicker when I caught what they claimed to prevent.” These buffleheads are ridiculous.
Gives a whole new meaning to “fishers of men”. God’s Word does not return void.
They sure are trying to get those Africans.
Less obesity and Ivermectin for river blindness and Hydro for malaria are probably the key factors working in favor of the Africans.
I would guess those too, but I would guess non-injected status as the real key. I wonder if there are different places in Africa, some injected and some not, for a comparison in which use of Ivermectin and HCQ is the same.
The replies to this tweet are priceless!
So many reasons to hate this
Covid is just a religion. The believers will listen to the preachers and facts are irrelevant.
Yes, but the Branch Covidians are just one sect of the religion known as Journal-ism. :P
Imagine how they feel, they try and try and we are still like "no, thanks, put that shit into the trash can". LOL.
"Here's some Men With Guns that say you have to. The chart was just to make you feel better about it, but if you're going to be an asshole about it, we'll dispense with the foreplay."
I see you also know the history of governments.
I just keep waiting for this one to cut the foreplay. It's no different.
Would that all of us were saying that. So many people I know getting sicker and sicker
projected outcomes with "models" is sort of like global warming.
You should see how they hammer you if you question their models. But boy are they doozies of twisted biased methodology blatantly designed to produce an outcome.
okay, let me get out my calculator. 8,005,500,000 people in the world, give or take. 335,817,000 in the US. So, 4% of the population is in the US. 6,665,321 covid deaths in the world, 1,111,364 covid deaths in the US....so, 16% of the covid deaths were in the US. If you added 3 million to both covid death totals, that would have made 42% of the world covid deaths in the US.
I guess it a good thing we had those vaccines!
I did this same simple arithmetic for my (extremely intelligent) daughter about 10 months ago when she was trying to tell me how great the "vaccine" is and how many lives were being saved, etc. I ran the same equation for several other countries around the world. Then I asked her how she could explain the disparities. To top things off, I got her to start reading El Gato. She now holds the opposite view. Did I not say she's a smart girl?
They Covidians still blame the unvaxxed for the high US death rate instead of placing the blame on the jabs where it belongs. I know someone who still blames Trump for the poor results here. It’s just too hard to deal with such stupidity.
Actually, I think hindcasting is more important than you think, as long as you are hindcasting with the same model you are using to forecast.
I'm sure the Bad Cat is aware of Steven E. Koonin's book Unsettled, but your readers should definitely know about this thoughtful examination of climate science. Koonin is a physicist who is in fact a leading authority on computer modeling of chaotic systems, and while he seems to maintain an open mind about most of the subjects he covers in the book, his chapter on models is scathing (I guess because on that subject he's really an expert). He apparently has no confidence at all in climate models, not least because (he suggests) some of them are produced in bad faith.
One of his tests for any climate model is to model the 20th century. We have all the data, just plug them into your model and see what you get. None of the models can accurately model the 20th century, especially not the two decades of cooling that occurred in the middle of the century. Koonin makes a reasonable case that if your model can't accurately model the 20th century, it's crap.
And they are all crap.
I recently read Koonin's book. I don't profess to grasp all of the science he laid on (I'm a historian, not natural sciences person) but my main take away from the book was that while there may well be general, slow, global warming observable over the last century or so, there is NO convincing evidence that this is caused by or even largely contributed to by human activity. Sitting in an atypically freezing UK, the memory of the summer heat alerts are already well beyond faded. What I did pick up a few weeks ago, though, is that there was a massive volcanic explosion near Tonga in ?January/?February this year, which is on record as sending the highest plume of stuff like ash into the upper atmosphere. Even with my really basic geophysics I can figure out that lots of ash and other volcanic material high up in the atmosphere will distribute around the globe and will have a cooling effect on global climate. Why did the MSM, e.g. the BBC here in UK, not even report this volcanic event until last month?