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pfossible pfizer pfutures (and the regulators too)
an internet cat gazes into the crystal ball to find the low energy pathway for US outcomes
what follows is entirely speculative. i have no special knowledge of the political or legal actors here or their plans. i’m just making some base assumptions and trying to predict future outcomes because i think i see the low energy path through the descent to come, the one that things will tend to flow to. it’s possible or even probable that i’m just talking nonsense, but this looks interesting enough to be that i think it’s worth laying out and in my defense, i don’t do this a lot and the last time i did it was:
“masks are going to get mandated all over because it’s the low energy performative pathway to end/moderate hard lockdowns which are just too damaging while still looking like you’re doing something dramatic and making frightened people feel looked after.”
so, there is that…
ok, warning label attached. let’s start laying out salients and assumptions:
mRNA vaccines have failed on efficacy, are likely making covid spread and recurrence worse, and have a side effect profile orders of magnitude greater than any other vaccine.
this is rapidly becoming too big to hide and the data will out. the vaccinated failing to develop natural immunity and piling on side effects (many of them severe and debilitating, even deadly) with every round of boosters is going to simply be too obvious to miss. you can tell people it’s long covid, but the actuaries at insurers and med centers are going to see the truth. and so will the citizenry.
this will leak and momentum will build around it through advocacy groups, patient support, and insurers looking to be compensated for mounting losses. even if the US will not do the work, other countries will, especially the socialized health systems. some are already banning some of these vaccines in younger patients. class action lawyers are already salivating and potential plaintiffs are multiplying like bunnies in springtime.
this will create a great deal of pressure seeking resolution and that pressure will be highly mediagenic. families going BK to pay for vaccine induced myocarditis look highly sympathetic, especially when they were hectored and forced into jabs that were endlessly promoted by government agencies and pharma companies alike as safe and effective. they are going to want compensation and they are going to want justice.
and the government folk who did this will know they are in trouble. they may not say so in public, but they are seeing these numbers and know full well they are holding a losing hand if they ever really get called. and they are running out of bluff.
this fight is going to look more and more like a loser every day as more and more of the center loses faith. this will get amplified by new political blood post the november election and the inevitable hearings to come. a lot of people are going to be in a lot of trouble. and they will be looking for a way out.
and that way out is going to present itself.
and once they see it, everyone will flock.
i’ve seen and read a lot of clinical trials. all the information i have so far, which is far from complete but is only going to get juicer as more data is dumped in legal discovery, points to large scale deliberate and premeditated pfraud in the pfizer trial.
do we have the smoking gun yet? i’m not sure. but i suspect we will. anything that smells this pfishy has rotten poisson somewhere. early looks seem to show major manipulation of data and suppression of adverse events and possibly even surgishpere style data fabrication (as well as all manner of games played to make efficacy look high.)
if pfraud is proven, then all hell breaks loose.
it’s the way out of this that everyone wants because fraud is something of a universal solvent for contracts.
commit fraud, and the deal is off; promises and obligations and waivers are void. and unless i am misreading it badly, that would include the liability shield baked into an EUA (emergency use authorization) like those that cover pfizer and moderna. even if it doesn’t, congress can make it so. and they likely will.
(and make no mistake, if pfizer goes down, moderna is likely to join them. mRNA1273 has had more severe AE’s than even BNT16b2 and their trial did not seem to indicate that this would be so. fertile ground for inquiry.)
the minute someone shows fraud, it will be like applying a magnetic field to iron filings: they will all orient and point in a new direction. the cornered politicians and health agencies desperately looking to escape the mess they mandated and motivated will change jerseys in an inkling and wrap themselves in the mantle of victimhood and populism. after all, it’s what they do best and under pressure, you revert to what you know.
and they will be grateful for the way out. and so they will stop stonewalling and start pushing for culpability. it’s what gets them off the hook and back into proactive looking action.
“we wuz lied to!”
“shocked, yes shocked we are that big pharma would choose profits over safety!”
“how could anyone have known they’d fake the data!”
“and this is why you need big government to regulate those evil capitalistas!”
this is going to let all the elected miscreants squirt out and the carnival of congress-critters protesting their outrage at having been tricked by cunning and duplicitous big pharma and seizing the opportunity to demand panels, TV time, and new regulatory power and fiat will be an all singing all dancing escapade of escape artistry to make harry houdini himself stare in slack-jawed awe.
the fact they they never understood any of this will come to their aid.
they will all plead stupid.
“we relied on the guidance of experts! look at their credentials! how could we have put our view on a drug trial above theirs?”
and it will probably work.
sorry, but it will.
it will also let them shift blame to trump, which, obviously, they love to do. why did orange man do this to us? why did the trump FDA and fauci and brix do this? how did they let it happen and cause such harm. this will be the cherry on top for the tactical turncoats.
however, this sword has a second edge. it may be happy times in the capitol, but this is going to be like a skunk at a garden party at the FDA. to paraphrase club bablu’s favorite son:
it’s going to be a scapegoat rodeo.
heads will need to roll, careers will be ended.
people may want to ask gottlieb about his oddly early and profoundly prescient mid-term departure as FDA kingpin to go join the pfizer board.
the whole FDA has become dysfunction junction during covid, but the vaccine division has really sunk to lows i never could have imagined. its leaders quit in disgust. its panels were ignored then turned into rubber stamp assembly lines. they missed everything in the pfizer study structure, implementation, and reporting. this was not warp speed, it was warped science and with any luck, this newfound position under the hot interrogation lights will be enough to generate the impetus to restructure the agency top to bottom. forensic colonoscopes all around.
in such a scenario, pfizer (and likely moderna) are also going to be dragged in for questioning and sued in class actions until the cows come home. they will go straight from heroes to villains and the populist instincts of frightened politicians dying to throw them under the bus to save their own skins trump any plausible political donations and taking money from them will be death anyhow.
you’d be better off taking rubles.
whether they manage to pierce the corporate veil and frogmarch the execs off to club fed is 3 to 2 the field and pick em.
then the fun questions come. it’s time to play “who’s gonna squeal and who are they squealing on?”
FDA staffers likely caught piles of pressure from above. finding out from whom may become quite the game.
this gets hard to predict. will they drag the CDC and NIH down too? NIH seems likely. one of the really pointy questions no one seems to have really ever gotten anywhere near to answering is:
“just where did this mRNA tech come from and how could you possibly have had it so quickly?”
the development timeframes are way past implausible. somebody had an early start.
pfizer got theirs from bioNtech a previously nothing oncology company that billy gates just happened to buy about a third of in late 2019 right before they suddenly had a vaccine tech for pfizer to license into the most profitable drug in human history despite bioNtech having never worked on vaccines before.
the moderna vaxx used tech and patents straight from NIH to whom they have been paying royalties (possibly to individual staff as well) and the relationship to peter daszak and his merry band of gain of function aficionados look like a prime source. baric at UNC is also all tangled up in this. they likely had the biology/RNA mapped and characterized already and may well have been working on vaccines beforehand. their interest was always in reckless forms of inoculation, not weaponization.
this could land right in teflon tony’s lap. collins too. and their tall tales already look quite threadbare. you can only go to this well so many times…
the magic is gone, and the trust will go with it.
it’s going to end in show trials, massive lawsuits, recrimination, accusation, and populist grandstanding. the politicians will kiss your wallet and steal your baby and blame big pharma and try to take more power for themselves as they always do.
you can’t fix congress.
but we might get a real shot here to fix the health agencies and FDA, make them open, even open source, and perhaps put competitive systems with external audits and red team oppositional engagement in place.
if this comes to pass as prophesied (obviously, a BIG if) it will burn these agencies to the waterline and require reconstruction.
and maybe, just maybe, we could actually build them back better (or better still, get rid of most of their functions altogether and privatize them, but i doubt we have the political will).
but even just requiring all the data and processes to be open and not just “peer” reviewed but community reviewed would be a huge move forward and start the ball to eventual elimination rolling.
crises are, indeed, opportunities. and this crisis of confidence in public institutions is a vast one. let’s not miss it or let it turn to calls for more authority and regulation.
let’s announce our independence instead.
this all starts with a serious and all encompassing evaluation and analysis of the data used to approve these drugs. it was obviously astonishingly slipshod and corner-cut. but if it was fraud, then we can really make some changes.
that will be too enormous to not react to.
please dig on this, support the diggers, and pass on to elected leaders a sense that something here is deeply amis and that they should be paying attention and devoting resources to this.
we cannot un-ring this bell, but we CAN prevent it from ever taking such a toll again.
the society you save might be your own.