But you’re ignoring the Gavin Newsom rule: When Covid numbers rise in Red states, it’s because the stupid rednecks are misbehaving. When they rise in Blue states, it must be seasonality.
It was still moderately refreshing to see King Newsom, recently unearthed, from his fireside bunker, admit that seasonality is an actual concept, even if only applicable to the virtuous.
Guttermouth, I consider Newsom to be such a sub-human hypocrite that I have a hard time not wishing bad mojo on him. Finish him off? Mmmmm, no not that extreme, but a real nasty case of covid that can't be denied and a long, difficult though complete recuperation would be fine with me.
I've been considering wishing for someone's death or permanent injury to be the line not to cross, because it was what they were doing from day 1- anyone who won't get the jab, wear the mask, should be systematically destroyed, denied healthcare, bleed out on the street, lined up and shot, etc.
I thought about it as the thing the better person shouldn't do. Don't be SORRY when a reprehensible person dies, but don't WISH it.
Maybe that was thoroughly precious of me. Anyway, done with that now.
See below. And look I love Gato and maybe this picture is something else and I am mistaken. But if I'm not I apologize for bringing light to it, taking solace only in the simple fact that he/she voluntarily posted it here and I don't really think Gato makes mistakes like that.
Spain here. I expect the same pattern. This last summer was worst than the previous one, but it was better than the winter. People here are deeply in love with the vaccines, so the fact that the summer was better than the winter was understood as a confirmation that the jab is wonderful. People is also in love with the masks. I think they would marry the jab in first place but they would keep the mask as a lover. So, when the wave comes they will blame the unvaxxed and the unmasked. Impossible to make them think that if vaccine-summer was worst than non-vaccine-summer and the same happens in winter, perhaps the jab does not work. I do not, there is something in the jab that makes people’s brain inaccesible.
I studied past vaccine pandemics and vaccine performance. In nearly every case an external factor complicated health issues, the pandemic virus is simply an opportunist cleaning up the weak, the old and un-healthy. These factors include, starvation and nutrition deficiency, obesity, old age, and environmental poisoning. And yet, the Pasteur based germ-theory warriors fail to address these issues with a cult like drive to push whatever latest technology fix they have. (Great Post Borigato)
I'm in Northern California. My daughter is a nurse in a skilled nursing/rehab facility. People are there because they are 1) unhealthy 2) old and often with dementia. Not healthy people, lotsa comorbidities. A few weeks ago there was a big uptick in "CASES" (i.e. positive tests). They again had to set up a covid ward. Also, all of them were vaccinated. Their illnesses didn't go beyond some sniffles in a few of them. No one died. They're all in their 70's and 80s for the most part. One of them weighs 400 lbs, she didn't even get sniffles. The covid ward was just eliminated again and they're all back in the general population and testing negative. Big woof.
She even had a patient who is 104. She was positive, also had barely a few sniffles, and recovered quite nicely. I'm not sure if she had the vax or not, but most of the folks in this facility did get vaccinated a number of months back. Not vaccinated by choice, I'll add.
Very nice. What these graphs won't show is "Covid-like illness" which now seems to have a new acronym CLI. That seems to me a key wild card this winter. That and all the people in their 30s and 40s dropping dead of heart attacks.
Monsieur Bad Cat - I think at this point the covid death numbers are a poor indicator of what is actually happening and instead you need to look at all cause death of vaccinated verse unvaccinated. This is for two reasons - (1) - vaccinated people that die and have covid positive test are often categorized as not from covid, and (2) - vaccinated people can get another coronavirus and test negative and have the immunological reaction to that virus fail and perish. So, I think you at least need to consider including that data in your analysis if it is available. Thank you for your great work.
I have been pointing to the obvious seasonality for over a year now. I had hoped the vaccines would have a significant effect, and held that hope well into July as the Summer wave was displaced about 4-5 weeks later in the year across the Sunbelt states, but it was obvious by August 1st that the seasonality just arrived a month later in the US. What I see right now is that all the Sunbelt states still got the deep trough from the Summer wave, but that trough just arrived in the 2nd half of October rather than the 2nd half of September like it did last year. The northern half of the country, though, had a Summer wave that came late in the Summer, and they aren't really getting a trough for the most part- just plateau. Just in the last week, though, the cases are starting turn upward in pretty much every single state in the US, and in the states where it isn't turning up, they aren't declining very rapidly any longer or at all.
In Europe, I have been watching Germany and Poland. Poland troughed down to about 100-300 cases/day back in August, but started showing 10,000/day this week. Something similar happened in Germany, but their trough was a little higher.
In short, seasonality can't be denied any longer- the evidence is simply too great at this point. I still have some hope the vaccines will attenuate the CFRs, and the UK seems to indicate that is a valid hope, but even there deaths are starting to rise up through the 200-300/day range. If the UK is at 500/day by the end of the month, then it will indicate to me that the vaccines are nearly worthless given that we burned a lot of dry tinder last year which is going to skew the death rate to a lower side all by itself.
It is bizarre that people still have faith in them. The CDC has been wrong *so* many times in these past two years. Ditto for the WHO... yet people seem to crave having authorities telling them what to believe.
Terrible graphs for Belgium too. Look at the admissions (ziekenhuisopnames) the number of patients (ziekenhuisbezetting) and the deaths (overlijdens). They have been down to 3 this summer, now the deaths are back up to 22.
Looks like the deaths per million in most places, at it's peak, was around 8/million. Off peak numbers look to be around 3/million or less. I don't mean to be insensitive, but who cares? Is it worth ruining lives over this? I bet more people are killed every day falling down the stairs.
Not to say anything about the numbers killed in car accidents. If they want to do something, they could forbid cars, would also save the air quality, forbid oil companies, would save both air and water, and forbid masks, would save the oceans (28 tonnes of masks have been dumped in the ocean! Not mine)
Come on now, save something for the next emergency (climate change)! Internal combustion engines, and the fuel that makes them go, are the next targets for these immensely pragmatic politicians/The ScienceTM devotees.
Those states are testing at much higher levels this Summer than last Summer. If I were to graph the cases/day for those states normalized for testing levels, I bet I would find that the Summer waves were roughly equivalent year to year. Just for example- this Summer/early fall, Idaho has been running 6-9K COVID tests/day. Last Summer/early Fall, they were running 1.5-3K/day.
To state the obvious: The fact of covid seasonality demolishes the arguments for lockdowns. From the seasonality standpoint, people tend to stay inside when it is extremely hot (late summer in the Deep South) and in the extreme cold (winter in the North). Their voluntary behavior, thus, mimics lockdown mandates. (Maybe even more so than lockdowns because the shut ins are voluntary instead of compelled.) Covid always spikes when this behavior occurs.
Respiratory viruses tend to be seasonal, and this one doesn't seem to be the exception. But alas, The Party is ignoring this, as it would shatter all the witchcraft they have put us for almost 2 years.
And from DW: In Germany they are saying the vax rates aren't high enough, and are now thinking introducing restrictions for the unvaxxed. So if the jab didn't work, let's double down on it. Clever!
No wonder the saying "Humans are the only animals that trip over the same stone twice" (and I would add: more than twice!)
I don't accept that those in power believe coercing people to take the vaccine will help. It's much more likely a method of redirecting the public's growing frustration and anger on those whom the authoritarians hates most - the minority who are defying them. It's a twofer.
Even the trials suggested less than 1% absolute risk reduction, at the peak of the supposed effectiveness of those who tolerated 2 jabs. So … the vaccines were already known to be a bust as a public health measure to everyone who bothered to look but the fools and scoundrels. But … think if the all the new billionaires and profits for Moderna and Pfizer, guaranteed by insane government diktats the world round. Now that is what I call an effective vaccine program. So much many that a digital injection of money in this official or expert bank account or that one (off shore of course) is just a small cost of doing business. Big Bird is even on the take, for Christ's sake.
But you’re ignoring the Gavin Newsom rule: When Covid numbers rise in Red states, it’s because the stupid rednecks are misbehaving. When they rise in Blue states, it must be seasonality.
It was still moderately refreshing to see King Newsom, recently unearthed, from his fireside bunker, admit that seasonality is an actual concept, even if only applicable to the virtuous.
Yes, that gives us some hope. And where there’s Hope, there’s Simpson.
Seasonality is "costing all of us"
Gavin is more all-in on boosters than any other public figure I've seen talk. We'll see how that goes.
Maybe if we're lucky the next one he takes will finish the job.
Yes, I said it. I've crossed the rubicon. Weirdly, I don't feel different yet.
Guttermouth, I consider Newsom to be such a sub-human hypocrite that I have a hard time not wishing bad mojo on him. Finish him off? Mmmmm, no not that extreme, but a real nasty case of covid that can't be denied and a long, difficult though complete recuperation would be fine with me.
I’d settle for a side effect of losing his hair.
I've been saying "FINISH HIM!" in the Mortal Kombat game voice ever since his "disappearance".
I've been considering wishing for someone's death or permanent injury to be the line not to cross, because it was what they were doing from day 1- anyone who won't get the jab, wear the mask, should be systematically destroyed, denied healthcare, bleed out on the street, lined up and shot, etc.
I thought about it as the thing the better person shouldn't do. Don't be SORRY when a reprehensible person dies, but don't WISH it.
Maybe that was thoroughly precious of me. Anyway, done with that now.
If you haven't already, eugyppius is doing an excellent series on the confluence of globalist evil and bureaucratic dumb:
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/stupid-and-evil-in-equal-measures (part 1 of 3)
https://eugyppius.substack.com/p/stupid-and-evil-in-equal-measure (part 2 of 3)
I believe he's gone premium now, but is well worth it- easily what I'd pay the gato for his time and effort.
Whenever someone replies to you using your name I always get a fright that they hate your opinion so much that they call you "Guttermouth".
It's from a Bree Sharp song. 😊
I believe Gato is a lady.
On what do you base such a belief?
See below. And look I love Gato and maybe this picture is something else and I am mistaken. But if I'm not I apologize for bringing light to it, taking solace only in the simple fact that he/she voluntarily posted it here and I don't really think Gato makes mistakes like that.
Reeeeally? Interesting.
Reflection in second to last picture. Maybe it's someone else, who knows. Just a hunch
https://boriquagato.substack.com/p/sweden-and-covid
#takeyourvitaminD
Spain here. I expect the same pattern. This last summer was worst than the previous one, but it was better than the winter. People here are deeply in love with the vaccines, so the fact that the summer was better than the winter was understood as a confirmation that the jab is wonderful. People is also in love with the masks. I think they would marry the jab in first place but they would keep the mask as a lover. So, when the wave comes they will blame the unvaxxed and the unmasked. Impossible to make them think that if vaccine-summer was worst than non-vaccine-summer and the same happens in winter, perhaps the jab does not work. I do not, there is something in the jab that makes people’s brain inaccesible.
I think we're discovering that stupidity is a spike protein that crosses the blood-brain barrier.
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/the-vaxx-is-a-state-sponsored-religion
I studied past vaccine pandemics and vaccine performance. In nearly every case an external factor complicated health issues, the pandemic virus is simply an opportunist cleaning up the weak, the old and un-healthy. These factors include, starvation and nutrition deficiency, obesity, old age, and environmental poisoning. And yet, the Pasteur based germ-theory warriors fail to address these issues with a cult like drive to push whatever latest technology fix they have. (Great Post Borigato)
It is amazing to see the prospect of the medical silver bullet attract so much capital and the sales pitch drive so many sales. In the end, myth.
In a crazy twist we are actually lucky that the injection is so useless. We are starting to look glaringly smart.
It's the Terrain
I'm in Northern California. My daughter is a nurse in a skilled nursing/rehab facility. People are there because they are 1) unhealthy 2) old and often with dementia. Not healthy people, lotsa comorbidities. A few weeks ago there was a big uptick in "CASES" (i.e. positive tests). They again had to set up a covid ward. Also, all of them were vaccinated. Their illnesses didn't go beyond some sniffles in a few of them. No one died. They're all in their 70's and 80s for the most part. One of them weighs 400 lbs, she didn't even get sniffles. The covid ward was just eliminated again and they're all back in the general population and testing negative. Big woof.
That’s good to hear.
She even had a patient who is 104. She was positive, also had barely a few sniffles, and recovered quite nicely. I'm not sure if she had the vax or not, but most of the folks in this facility did get vaccinated a number of months back. Not vaccinated by choice, I'll add.
I keep wondering if there is an environment cause yet to be discovered. This would certainly be in keeping with the polio, aids, zika program.
The Vaxx is a State-sponsored religion.
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/the-vaxx-is-a-state-sponsored-religion
Very nice. What these graphs won't show is "Covid-like illness" which now seems to have a new acronym CLI. That seems to me a key wild card this winter. That and all the people in their 30s and 40s dropping dead of heart attacks.
Wait for them to blame it on "climate change".
Susan - no meat for you!
I was joking when I wrote this
but lo and behold:
"B.C. doctor clinically diagnoses patient as suffering from 'climate change"
https://www.timescolonist.com/bc-news/bc-doctor-clinically-diagnoses-patient-as-suffering-from-climate-change-4723540?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
I would love to get those heat maps and animate them in to a 2-year loop. The visualization would be amazing.
What was the source of those maps -- the original data?
I think those are from the NY Times
Here's one:
https://www.savi.org/2020/10/09/animated-map-of-new-u-s-covid-19-cases-over-time/
very nice! not as predictable as I thought it would be
Monsieur Bad Cat - I think at this point the covid death numbers are a poor indicator of what is actually happening and instead you need to look at all cause death of vaccinated verse unvaccinated. This is for two reasons - (1) - vaccinated people that die and have covid positive test are often categorized as not from covid, and (2) - vaccinated people can get another coronavirus and test negative and have the immunological reaction to that virus fail and perish. So, I think you at least need to consider including that data in your analysis if it is available. Thank you for your great work.
I think this will be increasingly important if we continue to see a wave of "Covid Like Illness" (CLI).
I have been pointing to the obvious seasonality for over a year now. I had hoped the vaccines would have a significant effect, and held that hope well into July as the Summer wave was displaced about 4-5 weeks later in the year across the Sunbelt states, but it was obvious by August 1st that the seasonality just arrived a month later in the US. What I see right now is that all the Sunbelt states still got the deep trough from the Summer wave, but that trough just arrived in the 2nd half of October rather than the 2nd half of September like it did last year. The northern half of the country, though, had a Summer wave that came late in the Summer, and they aren't really getting a trough for the most part- just plateau. Just in the last week, though, the cases are starting turn upward in pretty much every single state in the US, and in the states where it isn't turning up, they aren't declining very rapidly any longer or at all.
In Europe, I have been watching Germany and Poland. Poland troughed down to about 100-300 cases/day back in August, but started showing 10,000/day this week. Something similar happened in Germany, but their trough was a little higher.
In short, seasonality can't be denied any longer- the evidence is simply too great at this point. I still have some hope the vaccines will attenuate the CFRs, and the UK seems to indicate that is a valid hope, but even there deaths are starting to rise up through the 200-300/day range. If the UK is at 500/day by the end of the month, then it will indicate to me that the vaccines are nearly worthless given that we burned a lot of dry tinder last year which is going to skew the death rate to a lower side all by itself.
Funny, the CDC recently said "There's no evidence of seasonality". What a bunch of clowns.
It is bizarre that people still have faith in them. The CDC has been wrong *so* many times in these past two years. Ditto for the WHO... yet people seem to crave having authorities telling them what to believe.
The Vaxx is the new religion.
https://markoshinskie8de.substack.com/p/the-vaxx-is-a-state-sponsored-religion
https://www.hln.be/binnenland/overzicht-hoe-evolueren-de-coronabesmettingen-ziekenhuisopnames-en-overlijdens-bekijk-hier-de-laatste-cijfers-uit-belgie-en-uw-regio~aea1699e/?utm_campaign=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_userid=&utm_source=hln&utm_content=daily&ctm_ctid=16f74cb186970f994fc6bf8ee2ba2c52
Terrible graphs for Belgium too. Look at the admissions (ziekenhuisopnames) the number of patients (ziekenhuisbezetting) and the deaths (overlijdens). They have been down to 3 this summer, now the deaths are back up to 22.
Looks like the deaths per million in most places, at it's peak, was around 8/million. Off peak numbers look to be around 3/million or less. I don't mean to be insensitive, but who cares? Is it worth ruining lives over this? I bet more people are killed every day falling down the stairs.
Not to say anything about the numbers killed in car accidents. If they want to do something, they could forbid cars, would also save the air quality, forbid oil companies, would save both air and water, and forbid masks, would save the oceans (28 tonnes of masks have been dumped in the ocean! Not mine)
Come on now, save something for the next emergency (climate change)! Internal combustion engines, and the fuel that makes them go, are the next targets for these immensely pragmatic politicians/The ScienceTM devotees.
Do you think the enormous Covid spike in Idaho, Montana and Utah over the summer fits this pattern? Much worse spike this year than summer 2020.
Those states are testing at much higher levels this Summer than last Summer. If I were to graph the cases/day for those states normalized for testing levels, I bet I would find that the Summer waves were roughly equivalent year to year. Just for example- this Summer/early fall, Idaho has been running 6-9K COVID tests/day. Last Summer/early Fall, they were running 1.5-3K/day.
Idaho had MUCH higher deaths this summer, though. They hit a peak of around 7/day last summer. This summer? 27/day
To state the obvious: The fact of covid seasonality demolishes the arguments for lockdowns. From the seasonality standpoint, people tend to stay inside when it is extremely hot (late summer in the Deep South) and in the extreme cold (winter in the North). Their voluntary behavior, thus, mimics lockdown mandates. (Maybe even more so than lockdowns because the shut ins are voluntary instead of compelled.) Covid always spikes when this behavior occurs.
Seasonality continues to trump anything we do, and winter is coming.
https://simulationcommander.substack.com/p/seasonality-a-story-in-pictures
Don’t say Trump!!! 😱
The virus will go crazy and people will die!! 🧟♂️
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eXWhbUUE4ko
LOLOL! I love Remy!
😂 😂 😂
Awesome find big time thanks!!
Winter is a social construct.
Dave - it's racist too
I was going to say more chauvinistic, but I'll give you racist as well.
Respiratory viruses tend to be seasonal, and this one doesn't seem to be the exception. But alas, The Party is ignoring this, as it would shatter all the witchcraft they have put us for almost 2 years.
And from DW: In Germany they are saying the vax rates aren't high enough, and are now thinking introducing restrictions for the unvaxxed. So if the jab didn't work, let's double down on it. Clever!
No wonder the saying "Humans are the only animals that trip over the same stone twice" (and I would add: more than twice!)
P.S. Crap, the spammers found substack.
I don't accept that those in power believe coercing people to take the vaccine will help. It's much more likely a method of redirecting the public's growing frustration and anger on those whom the authoritarians hates most - the minority who are defying them. It's a twofer.
Which is why the target rates are always higher than the surveys show tolerance for. To provide plenty of scapegoats.
agree
Not only did we trip over that stone twice, apparently over 80 million people elected it to be President.
Even the trials suggested less than 1% absolute risk reduction, at the peak of the supposed effectiveness of those who tolerated 2 jabs. So … the vaccines were already known to be a bust as a public health measure to everyone who bothered to look but the fools and scoundrels. But … think if the all the new billionaires and profits for Moderna and Pfizer, guaranteed by insane government diktats the world round. Now that is what I call an effective vaccine program. So much many that a digital injection of money in this official or expert bank account or that one (off shore of course) is just a small cost of doing business. Big Bird is even on the take, for Christ's sake.
It's going to be blamed squarely on less of the population masking up. No need to look closer.
http://imgur.com/a/27INK6K
Keep blogging Gato. I think they are catching on. Even Topol.