swedish birthrate data: october is the worst decline yet
sorry nordic lovers, i wish i had better news
i took another look recently at the swedish births data and the worrying trends there that seem so perfectly aligned with the adoption of covid vaccines, drugs known to collect in testes and ovaries and with demonstrated ability to suppress sperm, perhaps quite durably in a subset of the population.
the drop in birth rate was dramatic and seemingly unprecedented, at least in the last 25 years for which i have data.
this led to some competing possible explanations and cause me to lay out some forward testable hypothesis back in july.
you can see the rest on timing, explanation, and supporting data on a priori reasons to suspect fertility interference below:
the october data is now out and it is a further collapse to the worst readings yet seen on per capita birth rate decline. (down a shocking 13.2% vs year ago)
all the raw data for these charts is available HERE.
births are highly seasonal and so are most usefully compared month vs month.
as can be readily seen, 2022 has been a wide divergence from prior years.
this really pops when you look at it on a % change vs prior year standpoint
levels are at alarming lows and collapsing.
but this is a fairly short timeframe, so i zoomed out to 25 years (full dataset)
the first 10 months of the year were 85.6%, 85.7%, and 85.5% of full year births in the 3 prior years and this very tight alignment allows for high confidence projection of full 2022 (shown in red to make it clear this is a calculated and not actual figure)
clearly, this seems a very sharp drop.
and seeing it in % terms makes this more clear:
the standard deviation of this series pre 2022 is 2.1%. so we’re now well in excess of 4 std dev on this excursion.
this is a highly “normal” series in terms of distribution. (it’s bell curve shaped)
and this means there is a ~99.9% chance of any given value in such a series being less than 4 std dev from mean. we’re at greater than 1 in 1000 outlier status, a “once in a millennia” event. (barring external forcing like war or some other disruption of birth rates)
many have asked about stillbirths as a possibly confirmatory proxy. i looked at it and can see no pattern. that would seem to point at this being a conception or early term issue.
and it’s far from isolated.
as gatopal™ igor points out:
UK stopped updating live birth statistics in its UKHSA Vaccine reports - the last update stopped at June 2022 with a 15.3% decline in live births year-on-year
germany appears to be down over 9% as well with similar timing.
this decline seems widespread, unprecedented apart from wartime, the timing is well past “provocative,” and we have multiple strong a priori reasons to expect a vaccine effect on ability to conceive.
and even attempts to cover that up.
and that last one is especially worrying as, if this is indeed an issue, it’s one we need to understand and fast.
it’s one we should have studied LONG before these products were allowed anywhere near breeding age humans (or those younger) especially with a vaccine and especially one using a never before used in humans modality that was known to be extremely problematic in terms side effects and systemic impact, especially auto-immune.
the data to easily put this to bed in definitive fashion by looking at relative declines in vaxxed vs unvaxxed birthrates is available in nearly any single payor health system.
the analysis would be trivial. i could sit down with justin hart and bang it out in a day.
(and we would both be thrilled to do it. seriously, call us)
but instead of the sort of all hands on deck attention one would expect from a health agency in the face of such a powerful and atypical signal on such an important matter, we’re getting absolutely nothing.
studies about what happens when you read rilke to nematodes are getting more funding and interest than this.
at a certain point, this utter lack of curiosity becomes an indictment of, if not complicity, at least of culpability in cover up.
what, after all, is public health supposed to be for if not this?
if this sort of mischief with the very basis of societal perpetuation is insufficient to rouse the alleged watchmen from their slumber, how is one not to ask some VERY pointed questions not only about whether they have any use at all, but perhaps just who and what they are guarding?
perhaps it is something other than our well being…
i shall end this piece the same way i ended the last:
“i cannot overstate how badly i want this not to be true to the point where even doing this research makes me unsettled, but if it is true, we need to know.
reality is not optional and even the hardest of truths are still truths and better polestars by which to plan than even the most pleasing of lies.
and so i renew the call to the governments and agencies that have the data needed to make this research definitive:
please release it and let’s get to the bottom of this.”