john ionnidas, who has been one of the few top epidemiologists to have been not just right but vocal on covid all along, has just published a global IFR (infection fatality rate) estimate based on the up to date data. it’s 0.15%. that’s in line with a pretty typical flu (like 2017-18) and was generally less dangerous than influenza for children and those who were not obese or possessed of cardio/pulmonary complications.
the ludicrous and ineffective response here was swerving the car to miss a squirrel and running it into an oak tree.
lockdowns, masks, and closures saved us from nothing and cost us much. protecting the vulnerable would have worked better at 2% the cost.
instead of listening to this calm man of reason and science, we went on an insane, baseless joyride because guys like fauci sleep in their suits with TV ready hair and no one believed we could ever have been taken in so badly and/or allow such total frauds to hold positions running public health agencies.
well, now you know. never again guys. never again.
People need to understand, that in some places, the IFR will be higher. But it's mainly due to the bad health services quality and lack of health infrastructure.
Also, it's clear than IFR will change in different regions. The study clearly states that. 0,05 to Africa and Asia (Cross-Immunity???) and 0,3 to 0,4% in Europa and Americas.
I’m quite sure this is not the face he made when he first saw Ferguson’s ridiculous models many pre-curve-flattening months ago. Gato, Ioannidis, and relatively few others have told us the truth all along. Grateful for the truth-tellers.
Having followed Ioannidis for a long time, when he came out during early Covid saying things were a screwy with the official messaging, I was scratching my head. I'm glad he's being vindicated by reality.
Prof. Ioannidis is a longtime intellectual hero of mine. My first clue that the reaction to the virus was insane and irreversible was the way he was treated after he published this: https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/17/a-fiasco-in-the-making-as-the-coronavirus-pandemic-takes-hold-we-are-making-decisions-without-reliable-data/
So true. I'm glad I can follow you somewhere. Truth speakers have been targeted and hard to find.
People need to understand, that in some places, the IFR will be higher. But it's mainly due to the bad health services quality and lack of health infrastructure.
Also, it's clear than IFR will change in different regions. The study clearly states that. 0,05 to Africa and Asia (Cross-Immunity???) and 0,3 to 0,4% in Europa and Americas.
I’m quite sure this is not the face he made when he first saw Ferguson’s ridiculous models many pre-curve-flattening months ago. Gato, Ioannidis, and relatively few others have told us the truth all along. Grateful for the truth-tellers.
Having followed Ioannidis for a long time, when he came out during early Covid saying things were a screwy with the official messaging, I was scratching my head. I'm glad he's being vindicated by reality.
Cat - can you provide the link to the two charts above or clearer images? Those should be spread far and wide.