Sorry. This whole thing stinks to high heaven. The only thing that's preventing the FBI from "solving" this case is those pesky cellphone videos.
I mean how does the ladder get there?
Are we to believe he just carried it and a long gun from an economy sized car?
Are we to believe he just set it there right before the assassination attempt without anyone noticing?
If he set it up before how did they miss that it also happened to be the closest elevated surface with a clear shot? I mean without the ladder his whole operation doesn't happen.
How did he know the roof would remain unguarded?
Does this sound like the actions of a lone wolf?
What about the bomb in his car? Why bring it if his only objective was to kill Trump?
this is a useful primer on how the security was likely structured.
SS was likely in close and at "outside 500-1000m" the middle donut was local law enforcement and it seems to have been integrated poorly. missing a ladder behind bushes sounds like a dumb cop move. i don't think it pays to over estimate how good these people are. my buddy (former seal) used to laugh about how easy it would be to just walk though the SS. remember those fence jumpers at the fricking white house? this is not the infallible team they try to project the image of.
leaving that spot open is a ridiculous charlie foxtrot, but it may be nothing beyond "everyone thought someone else was doing it."
i watched the videos pretty carefully and it looks to me like the counter snipers we surprised as hell by the initial shots and had to take their range focus WAY in. it sounds like the radio systems are not linked to the locals.
the whole thing is pretty keystone cops once you dig into it.
the bombs are weird. maybe they were for in case he got away? these things are always full of strange detail. assuming rationality and reason pervade every fact can be dangerous.
look, maybe something nasty did happen here, i have no ability to rule it out. but i'd be very cautious about presuming so when "these people are not actually that good at what they do, it's mostly that they are so rarely tested" may also serve as explanator. i think we need to keep that as our null hypothesis.
i've just done a lot of analysis work around complex systems and activities. you can always find all kind of sinister seeming linkages and post facto, it's always clear what people should have known or listened to. in real time, it's a pile of 100 tiles. the next day, it's obvious which two mattered.
conspiracies are hard to run and to hide than people think and evidence afterward has a certain rorschach nature to it. we're all always looking for patterns.
i'm not saying we've disproven any plot, but i have not yet seen anything that de facto seems to require or prove one either. so my base prior tend to be "stupidity, complex systems, and randomness" until we can find a sound reason to reject that as a null hypothesis.
Agreed. But….in a normal situation where half or more of the people at work that day are sleepwalking, the accumulation of small errors seems plausible. But these are life and death situations that demand critical acuity. Similar to a heart operation. Everyone knows without question you can’t ‘same old, same old’ your way through it.
>>>>>>but i have not yet seen anything that de facto seems to require or prove one either<<<<<<
And you won't.
You are ONLY going to see what the powers that be want you to see
we are being told that the 20 year old - alleged - perp had a a clear criminal record -no social media footprints - had no ID on him - so WITHIN 8 hours from the criminal event the FBI used DNA to identify him.
That is pure unadulterated bullshit.
Until that issue is cleared NOTHING they say is trustworthy - reason Alejandro "El Pendejo" Majorkas won't let Cheatle testify before the House or conduct press conferences.
"Don’t ascribe to malice what can be plainly explained by stupidity."
~ Hanlon's Razor
That said, the stench is rather overpowering, especially given the long-standing track record of the praetorian agencies, not to mention, as gato notes, the unprecedented level of pure bile we have been subjected just in the last few weeks clearly intended to ratchet up covid-like levels of hysteria.
The Orange Terror was not the only one who dodged a fatal bullet. I shudder to think of what might have come to pass had he not.
And there have been many unexplained suspiciously timely deaths surrounding a lot of political corruption. It’s not like these people or these kinds of people haven’t done it before.
Looks like you might be right about Newsom getting the bid tho. Several reports coming out saying Bidens exit from race is imminent....like before the weekend.
The Bad Guys messed up an exposed themselves. A great "silver lining" of Covid is we now have a much better idea of who the real villains ("threats to the world") are. We can use this info to our advantage going forward.
It seems there are only two real choices: intentional malice or massive incompetence on the part of the security team (I believe this is how Erik Prince stated it). I think that is correct. Normally, they don’t allow access to buildings at such proximity, but man some of the videos of the ladies “protecting” Trump were pretty indicting from a competence standpoint. And you know the local cops were in over their heads.
However, the Alphabet agencies have a history of radicalizing loser-types and setting them loose with means and motive. Does anyone still believe that Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone? The CIA, FBI, and State Dept. all do this: see color revolutions, “terror plots”, and all of the unanswered questions surrounding them all.
But gato is right in calling for calm, cool reason at this point. Who knows? We may never.
We're sunk as a society - and our children and grandchildren will have dismal long-term futures - unless we have a massive purge of the top echelons of leadership in every important organization. If Donald Trump understands this and starts taking action to run-off and expose hundreds of thousands of sociopaths and dumb asses in leadership positions, he will be a historic president.
Really draining the swamp won't be easy. Some of these people will try to kill you to protect the swamp.
Many of us 'ultra' MAGA Trump supporters have been concerned about the level of 'jingoistic hate' coming from the Dems/progressives/leftists and that it clearly was intended to eventually manipulate and motivate their gullible and not overly bright base to assassinate The Donald. However, the ever-so much more intelligent 'moderates' pooh-poohed us as tinfoil hat conspiracy theorists. Aux contraire. It's the self-important, oh-so-civil establishment 'conservatives' who have been lost in a self-created fantasy world that has existed only in their imaginations. We are dealing with people, complex and often not smart, and others who manipulate these unfortunates on a historically regular basis. The reality is that people are often NOT NICE, and are often dangerously so. Our history is one of constant wars and violence against one another from the time we first stood erect. To think it's otherwise leads to what we just experienced this weekend. And in spite of assurances to the contrary from all the 'experts', I doubt the violence is over.
Precisely said Bill. I am not prone to hero worship, but that ridiculous display of clearly incompetent females was an unmitigated disaster, let alone a complete embarrassment.
I am one badass female mama bear that would (and maybe could) tear anyone to shreds if you fecked with my loved ones. However, God didn't divine me a man! I am not built to do the job of protecting a 6 ft 2" powerhouse of a man. Period. End of story.
The females SS on Trump's detail were a total embarrassment. But I noticed when Trump entered the RNC convention his SS detail were a lot of very large, serious looking MEN.
These swamp people are scared that their illegal, immoral, and utterly perverse doings will be exposed. When a rat like that feels cornered, watch out!
in a certain sense, the game theory here requires us to act as though this was not a plot.
if it wasn't, then this was the correct take.
if it was, then we have a very dangerous IC in place so our goal must be to remove it. the best way to remove it is to take the presidency. the best way to take the presidency is to win the middle. the middle tends to reject "plot" claims as "conspiracies." so, take the high road, act brave and purposeful, and go sell the vision not the victimhood or the "plot."
likely the best way to remove such plotters as might exist is to act as though they don't, get power, then clean house.
perhaps this is one of those game theory constructs where the dominant strategy is the same regardless of the start state.
Well, there's not a single city burning after the assassination attempt. We're calm. Maybe too calm. But it does draw very myopic attention to the "otherside".
The SS detail for that rally was incompetent or pd to respond poorly. Either way, it's ALL ON VID for the world to see.
As far as the shooter, the govt is really excelling at activating killers.... if you get my meaning. Very easy to get psychopaths to do all the awful things when the wicked rhetoric from MSM never stops. Programming is extremely easy, given what we saw during covid.
There is a third possibility: A dash of both intentional malice and incompetence. The incompetence part Gato touched on in another comment, but the malice was (if other internet commenters could be trusted) providing Trump with security levels appropriate for a former POTUS, rather than for an active candidate for POTUS. Regardless of whether this is true, it is 100% guaranteed that most democrats have been encouraging such behavior with wild rhetoric, which one must be certain can lead to this (see, e.g., the 2017 Congressional baseball shooting).
The local cops who climbed a ladder and saw a gunman and who did not engage must be fired. Bare minimum. Maybe even indicted. Is ‘Dereliction of Duty’ indictable?
>>>>>>>It seems there are only two real choices: intentional malice or massive incompetence <<<<<<<
Respectfully disagree.
Special Counsel John Durham found out that the FBI had INTENTIONALLY disregarded the Law in order to persecute President Trump.
FBI AGents from DC broke protocol when they personally conducted the Mar-A-Lago Raid instead of transferring the case to the US Attorney - SD FLA and to Local Agents.
Then they bragged that their order included an authority to shoot President Trump.
"Special Counsel" Jackass Smith was forced to admit that evidence submitted to Judge Canon was FAKE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Yeah. Covid convinced me it’s not stupidity. Yes. There are useful idiots. But I’m sure there was a lot of intentional stuff that contributed. I didn’t say caused but contributed. The DEI stuff? That’s not stupid, there are smart people behind it using a bunch of useful idiots.
$20 says it comes out eventually that the feds “knew of him.” Knew of him and had talked to him.
Guarantee he had support. Was it the entire organization? No, but enough evil people exist in this organization.
Over time I’ve become more convinced “don’t attribute to malevolence what you can attribute to stupidity” is much like the phrase “conspiracy theorist.”
The average person is rather dumb and therefore they think everyone is dumb and just makes mistakes.
I think that a bunch of poorly trained DEI hires understaffing an event an event where some, especially perhaps the newer agents, were charged with defending who they are absolutely certain is Literally Hitler could completely be the simplest explanation.
It's amazing how unfathomable incompetence and malevolent intent can look alike, or even a mix of the two. Oh look a shooter on that unsecured roof, let's give one free shot. That said, I agree with you. Based on all the past history, guilty until proven massively, unfathomably incompetent. With regard to unification, that's what Trump's Term 1 was. If he learns from that total failure, term 2 should be get on board or get out of the way.
Re malice or stupidity: 1. If those in charge really didn’t care whether he lives or dies there is little distinction. 2. They might think ‘if he dies on my shift on some level a lot of people will be happy with me’.
I also can’t rule something else out. Something I am Seeing everywhere. Vax fuzziness. The number of mistakes I am seeing from formerly competent professionals is insane.
As one considers the options of 1) our government is incompetent or 2) our government conspired to assassinate a Presidential candidate, I think it would be valuable to consider how the USSS "sees" Trump with regard to protection. There's alot of commentary from experience SEALS/Snipers discussing holes in the protective coverage but I'm not sure they're considering the possibility that the USSS may not be providing Trump with Presidential protection but rather, Former POTUS protection and Rival Candidate Protection. I think the current POTUS enjoys a high level of protection and Trumps is less "robust" because he's only a former and only a frontrunner candidate. While it seems obvious to everyone that Trump needs maximum protection particularly at these public events, I think that upper level partisans at the SS could easily provide him with reduced coverage and "get away with it".... and it seems like they did that.
While this doesn't void the possibility of the shooter having inside help/knowledge, it provides USSS with plausible deniability and a bureautic explanation/talking point during a Senate hearing/investigation.
My guess is that will be the spin/excuse/explanation. That is, current presidents get much larger Secret Service attention than a candidate for president. The reality is Donald Trump would be the person at the top of any list of possible/likely "assassination attempts."
So you deploy more resources for the most likely threat. (The reason Trump was the most likely assassination candidate is numerous powerful people - like the President of the United States - keep calling him a grave threat to the world and democracy.)
No smart "risk analysis" was performed ... because we are being led by the obtuse.
Because of Trump's rally schedule his regular SS team was working to the point of burnout. Requests for additional SS to ease the burden were repeatedly denied. Only one of his regular SS team was present at Saturday's rally, the rest being temps brought in only a day or two before the rally.
I'm pretty sure the team size is the former president detail level. And the performance surely suggests B team players.
I once slipped down a step at a Rockets game and grabbed HW Bush's shoulder to steady myself. I was a bit tipsy. His SS detail just glanced at me, nothing more. Overweight, seemingly bored.
That's part of the problem. But one cannot look at this without recognizing how DC works and who needs Trump gone. They could and will do it if that's the only option remaining.
Investigators could perhaps easily find out when the ladder was NOT there. (Maintenance or grounds employees of the Window plant business could tell them this). You might luck-out and find surveillance footage of when the shooter put it against the wall (if he did this). You could also easily find out what law enforcement officer(s) was supposed to do a security sweep of this business/area and why they didn't "flag" this ladder (or discover it). This person would/might be a suspect in a possible conspiracy to make it possible that the shooter had access to the roof.
Handy excuse: “The ladder was placed the day before by the US SS. That roof was supposed to be manned. We forgot to man it.” The obvious question would be ‘how did the shooter know it would be there?’ But that wouldn’t be asked.
"Investigators believe Crooks made his way to the spot where he fired from by scaling an air conditioning unit of an adjacent building accessible from the ground and pulling himself up onto the roof, sources said"
Sparking! We agree on all your questions and points. And do we really think we'll hear a clear explanation? Haven't seen a lot of humility out of DC for decades.
It definitely smells but I can’t see a 20 year old kid being the conspiracy triggerman. And to El Gato’s point re: incompetence, look no further than the heavier-set female SS agent who kept trying to holster her pistol at the Suburban and after 3-4 attempts just pulls it back up. At least her trigger finger wasn’t inside the trigger guard or someone else could have been shot. Just totally pathetic.
Agree. A 20 year old nerd who couldn't make the rifle team in HS? Surely if it was some sort of government/dark cabal conspiracy they would at least used a more competent perp. Then again, our government is not currently known for competence.
AT first the FBI claimed that it could not crack his iphone - then they claimed that it had "encrypted data which connected the iphone to a foreign country" - so they are going to claim that he was talking to someone in Iran, China, Russia or North Korea.
Instead od admitting that he was talking to someone in the Biden Junta,
our null hypothesis needs to be that all events in the major news are manipulated and controlled by the cabal who own all the pieces on the chess board, who have a many-generations-long agenda, and who are VERY good at this manipulation and control game. Our job becomes sorting out how the narration manipulation benefits the cabal and what they're planning to do with it. Therein lie the likely culprits and the purpose. The cabal wants WWIII, stable coin / CBDC, and they're gearing up the bird flu scam bonus round. How would this event step us toward those? It seems to me a wounded "tough guy" Trump everyone has rallied behind could easily sell us WWIII as the "greatest" war and JPMorgan's stable coin as the "greatest" currency and the bird flu jabs as the "greatest vaccine ever" and the people would cheer. Biden / insert-replacement-puppet-here? not so much. It's their game to manufacture consent. They'll install whoever serves that purpose most efficiently.
Yeah I abandoned any illusions that there are two “parties” a long time ago. We’re watching cabal puppet theater. I’d say it’s more just observing reality than cynicism. I mean we all just lived through the covid psyop, right? The GLOBAL covid psyop. These folks control not just the US, but the world. Of course they control the US political game.
This happens over and over again - the "first responders" we all put on a pedestal are incompetent or freeze when they shouldn't and/or are afraid to put their lives at risks when shooters are killing people. There's multiple examples of this going back to Columbine.
But, still, we're all conditioned to trust the police, FBI, Secret Service ... CIA. They are the experts and professionals.
The "watchdog" press doesn't question or challenge these people and agencies. They wait for a "statement" from these groups telling them what happened. That "confirms" the truth.
Basically, we are "being led by the obtuse" (and/or proven liars). Saturday's event is yet another example of this.
Actually Bill, rather than wait for the statement they fall all over themselves praising what a great job the agents on the ground did . . . until someone who actually knows something about high level security points out 17 different fuckups by that group and how many different times Trump was left exposed despite the dog pile.
Yep. It bugs me how the pack media always waits for the press conference or the official statement to confirm what happened.
Often, the people who screwed up, get to tell us what really happened. This happened in Covid every day for years. We kept listening to experts who had been wrong about every single point they made for years.
I heard that the counter-sniper had the assassin in his sights for three minutes but was not allowed by the SS officer in charge to take the shot. If it was just an odd fact here and there, I don't think it would be a big deal, but when you get so many "coincidences" you start wondering.
Does anyone know if those counter-snipers have access to radios? Surely, they do, but in the close-up photos of the counter-snipers nearest Trump I can't see any ear pieces. You would think with so many witnesses screaming, "There's a man on the roof! he has a gun!" some cop would have reported this on his radio device ... and the SS would have heard this and got Trump off the stage before the shots started.
Lots of common-sense questions have yet to be answered.
Really....in 2024....we don't know how to coordinate communications between law enforcement agencies with ample opportunity to plan...at an event that obviously requires good communication? Are we using Vietnam era radios and walkie-talkies? Just absurd.
Have you watched any of the crewed space flights to the ISS? The audio coms from the capsule - still on the ground - sound as bad as in the 1960s. We should be hearing them in 7.1 channel surround sound by now.
Think about that. You have a huge rally - with 30,000 people. You've got cops spread throughout the area who, one presumes, are looking for potential assassins. They find one with a gun on a roof ... and yet they have no means of getting this information to the Secret Service agents who are just a couple of steps away from the target of the assassination.
... Nor, perhaps, do the counter-snipers know anything about what eye-witnesses are screaming 130 yards away.
All that training and all those "security experts" and this is what happens.
The answer to that is to set up a central security hub. One person with a multi-band radio that can monitor all the different frequencies and relay communications between services. This is basic security stuff.
Yes -- this is how we do it in Civil Air Patrol. There is a central communications person at the incident command center monitoring and relaying. Sometimes it's not even different frequencies, but the fact we have assets that are too distant to communicate directly.
Actually, JL, the Romans had similar communications problems in Britain, 2000 years ago. And no doubt, Pharaoh's armies, 2000 years before that, were plagued with them too.
Hi Andy! Yes, of course you are correct, the ability of separate elements of a mission force to communicate with one another has been - since the dawn of human conflict a critical component in the success or failure of a military operation. Development of com systems is an evolving science, but the problem of who's on such and such a freq and where's everybody else? is a problem that was critical in WWII because of wireless com system importance and the speed at which new systems were being introduced to the battlefield. Seemed to be largely sorted out by Vietnam and the solid-state systems coming on line. Since then we've refined the systems so well thru the several generations of digital electronic communication evolutions that there are no further excuses beyond inter-agency ineptitude.
Questions that will never be answered. The narrative is already being spun. This was a lone wolf, a nut. Im sure some sort of manifesto or journal will surface. The semantics will be forgotten, or explained away. Most likely this DEI hire in charge will step aside with her full pension to show that something is being done. Ladders, unmanned rooftops, communications, all will be ignored away.
It's clear from the video that the countersniper had the shooter in his sights for a while. His rifle doesn't move when he finally takes the shot. However, his reaction does indicate surprise when the sniper starts firing.
I have zero experience shooting rifles at targets over longish distances. But I don't understand how the countersniper can have the shooter sufficiently sighted to take him out in a couple seconds when he starts firing, but not have a sufficient view of him to identify him 100% as a threat to the president. Maybe someone with sniper experience or training can comment on that.
But even if we accept that not taking the shot was a reasonable call due to the risk of killing an innocent, getting the president off the stage until they confirm or debunk the threat is a relatively low-risk option that wasn't taken. Just one more factor in the "incompetency or malice" assessment.
Sorry. This whole thing stinks to high heaven. The only thing that's preventing the FBI from "solving" this case is those pesky cellphone videos.
I mean how does the ladder get there?
Are we to believe he just carried it and a long gun from an economy sized car?
Are we to believe he just set it there right before the assassination attempt without anyone noticing?
If he set it up before how did they miss that it also happened to be the closest elevated surface with a clear shot? I mean without the ladder his whole operation doesn't happen.
How did he know the roof would remain unguarded?
Does this sound like the actions of a lone wolf?
What about the bomb in his car? Why bring it if his only objective was to kill Trump?
I could go on forever....
https://x.com/LtTimMcMillan/status/1812383798740324380
this is a useful primer on how the security was likely structured.
SS was likely in close and at "outside 500-1000m" the middle donut was local law enforcement and it seems to have been integrated poorly. missing a ladder behind bushes sounds like a dumb cop move. i don't think it pays to over estimate how good these people are. my buddy (former seal) used to laugh about how easy it would be to just walk though the SS. remember those fence jumpers at the fricking white house? this is not the infallible team they try to project the image of.
leaving that spot open is a ridiculous charlie foxtrot, but it may be nothing beyond "everyone thought someone else was doing it."
i watched the videos pretty carefully and it looks to me like the counter snipers we surprised as hell by the initial shots and had to take their range focus WAY in. it sounds like the radio systems are not linked to the locals.
the whole thing is pretty keystone cops once you dig into it.
the bombs are weird. maybe they were for in case he got away? these things are always full of strange detail. assuming rationality and reason pervade every fact can be dangerous.
look, maybe something nasty did happen here, i have no ability to rule it out. but i'd be very cautious about presuming so when "these people are not actually that good at what they do, it's mostly that they are so rarely tested" may also serve as explanator. i think we need to keep that as our null hypothesis.
yeah. i get what your saying...like 122 sequential human errors that led to Chernobyl.
you make a compelling case...but still...i'm torn after watching all the deliberate stuff that's happened over the last 8 years.
I think that actually lends itself to Occam's Razor
it's a difficult post facto task. after the culprit is found, which of 10,000 clues the detective "should have seen" are always obvious.
You seem very sure of yourself given the environment we live in.
I'm not sure either way. But I can tell you the events leading up to the attempt and after stink like a decapitated catfish in milk.
i've just done a lot of analysis work around complex systems and activities. you can always find all kind of sinister seeming linkages and post facto, it's always clear what people should have known or listened to. in real time, it's a pile of 100 tiles. the next day, it's obvious which two mattered.
conspiracies are hard to run and to hide than people think and evidence afterward has a certain rorschach nature to it. we're all always looking for patterns.
i'm not saying we've disproven any plot, but i have not yet seen anything that de facto seems to require or prove one either. so my base prior tend to be "stupidity, complex systems, and randomness" until we can find a sound reason to reject that as a null hypothesis.
Maybe this guy was just trying to impress Jody Foster...lol
I agree. I'm just speculating. That's all.
If we disagree it'll break 4 years of me agreeing with you.
Cheers!
Agreed. But….in a normal situation where half or more of the people at work that day are sleepwalking, the accumulation of small errors seems plausible. But these are life and death situations that demand critical acuity. Similar to a heart operation. Everyone knows without question you can’t ‘same old, same old’ your way through it.
>>>>>>but i have not yet seen anything that de facto seems to require or prove one either<<<<<<
And you won't.
You are ONLY going to see what the powers that be want you to see
we are being told that the 20 year old - alleged - perp had a a clear criminal record -no social media footprints - had no ID on him - so WITHIN 8 hours from the criminal event the FBI used DNA to identify him.
That is pure unadulterated bullshit.
Until that issue is cleared NOTHING they say is trustworthy - reason Alejandro "El Pendejo" Majorkas won't let Cheatle testify before the House or conduct press conferences.
The system is rigged.
"Don’t ascribe to malice what can be plainly explained by stupidity."
~ Hanlon's Razor
That said, the stench is rather overpowering, especially given the long-standing track record of the praetorian agencies, not to mention, as gato notes, the unprecedented level of pure bile we have been subjected just in the last few weeks clearly intended to ratchet up covid-like levels of hysteria.
The Orange Terror was not the only one who dodged a fatal bullet. I shudder to think of what might have come to pass had he not.
It wouldn't have been pretty.
That I don't think is speculation.
This can’t be explained by stupidity. That is the issue. And Cheadle’s lies add to the stink.
Especially if you’ve read JFK and the Unspeakable. It’s not like this is their (IC) first rodeo.
And there have been many unexplained suspiciously timely deaths surrounding a lot of political corruption. It’s not like these people or these kinds of people haven’t done it before.
100 percent...!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
And on that point , WHY are they STILL refusing to relase JFK's archives 65 years after the fact. ?!?!?!?!?!?
Looks like you might be right about Newsom getting the bid tho. Several reports coming out saying Bidens exit from race is imminent....like before the weekend.
It's gonna be interesting....buckle up.
Not so fast , Ryan.
Synopsis : The Deep State giveth and the Deep State taketh Away .
Reminder Biden was SELECTED & INSTALLED by the Deep State,
Democrat Politicians
vs
National Security State
It is true that from a POLITICAL STANDPOINT Biden is a Liability to the Democrat Party.
But Biden knows that the NATIONAL SECURITY STATE WANTS AND NEEDS BIDEN »»»» BIDEN ONLY ««««<
The National Security State can easily STEAL the election again.
CIA Agents John Brennan , James Clapper and Victoria Nuland will see to it: They want to
1- perpetuate the Ukranian Proxy War - Ukraine is their Colony Victoria Nuland created it - she just stated “NO WAY TRUMP WILL WIN”
twitter.com/runews/status/1812574457833…
2- Trump must be punished for dissing the CIA and intelligence agencies
twitter.com/runews/status/1812574457833…
The CIA found it easier to shoot President Trump than using their VAULT 7 UMBRAGE Techniques.
twitter.com/runews/status/1812574457833…
Can't disagree
Agreed Ryan. Covid made us alert and very suspicious of all things authoritarian.
The Bad Guys messed up an exposed themselves. A great "silver lining" of Covid is we now have a much better idea of who the real villains ("threats to the world") are. We can use this info to our advantage going forward.
agree 100% Bill
It seems there are only two real choices: intentional malice or massive incompetence on the part of the security team (I believe this is how Erik Prince stated it). I think that is correct. Normally, they don’t allow access to buildings at such proximity, but man some of the videos of the ladies “protecting” Trump were pretty indicting from a competence standpoint. And you know the local cops were in over their heads.
However, the Alphabet agencies have a history of radicalizing loser-types and setting them loose with means and motive. Does anyone still believe that Lee Harvey Oswald acted alone? The CIA, FBI, and State Dept. all do this: see color revolutions, “terror plots”, and all of the unanswered questions surrounding them all.
But gato is right in calling for calm, cool reason at this point. Who knows? We may never.
We're sunk as a society - and our children and grandchildren will have dismal long-term futures - unless we have a massive purge of the top echelons of leadership in every important organization. If Donald Trump understands this and starts taking action to run-off and expose hundreds of thousands of sociopaths and dumb asses in leadership positions, he will be a historic president.
Really draining the swamp won't be easy. Some of these people will try to kill you to protect the swamp.
Many of us 'ultra' MAGA Trump supporters have been concerned about the level of 'jingoistic hate' coming from the Dems/progressives/leftists and that it clearly was intended to eventually manipulate and motivate their gullible and not overly bright base to assassinate The Donald. However, the ever-so much more intelligent 'moderates' pooh-poohed us as tinfoil hat conspiracy theorists. Aux contraire. It's the self-important, oh-so-civil establishment 'conservatives' who have been lost in a self-created fantasy world that has existed only in their imaginations. We are dealing with people, complex and often not smart, and others who manipulate these unfortunates on a historically regular basis. The reality is that people are often NOT NICE, and are often dangerously so. Our history is one of constant wars and violence against one another from the time we first stood erect. To think it's otherwise leads to what we just experienced this weekend. And in spite of assurances to the contrary from all the 'experts', I doubt the violence is over.
Precisely said Bill. I am not prone to hero worship, but that ridiculous display of clearly incompetent females was an unmitigated disaster, let alone a complete embarrassment.
I am one badass female mama bear that would (and maybe could) tear anyone to shreds if you fecked with my loved ones. However, God didn't divine me a man! I am not built to do the job of protecting a 6 ft 2" powerhouse of a man. Period. End of story.
It's just basic "scientific" human anatomy. There's a reason, for thousands of years, that militaries didn't recruit females to fight wars.
Some women could do this, but they are the exception.
The females SS on Trump's detail were a total embarrassment. But I noticed when Trump entered the RNC convention his SS detail were a lot of very large, serious looking MEN.
These swamp people are scared that their illegal, immoral, and utterly perverse doings will be exposed. When a rat like that feels cornered, watch out!
He needs a big chainsaw like Javier Milei has! And he needs to say "You're Fired" to more bureaucrats than Milei did!
Bad news Bill
Tucker Carlson:
Socialist Demon Rats have prepared over 100 NUISANCE Lawsuits in order to PARALYZE a future President Trump Administration.
Obama-Biden Deep State Appointees will refuse to provide clearances to President Trumps nominees.
Right!
i think we're all calm here. the worst thing we can do is not be calm.
gato wrote about that in a piece a couple months ago.
That right now is the acid test that will determine if we stand behind our convictions.
to do otherwise would be a self-own
in a certain sense, the game theory here requires us to act as though this was not a plot.
if it wasn't, then this was the correct take.
if it was, then we have a very dangerous IC in place so our goal must be to remove it. the best way to remove it is to take the presidency. the best way to take the presidency is to win the middle. the middle tends to reject "plot" claims as "conspiracies." so, take the high road, act brave and purposeful, and go sell the vision not the victimhood or the "plot."
likely the best way to remove such plotters as might exist is to act as though they don't, get power, then clean house.
perhaps this is one of those game theory constructs where the dominant strategy is the same regardless of the start state.
Last paragraph...very good point
have you seen the meme "100 million pissed off Republicans. 0 cities destroyed." ?
no. but i'm looking for it now...because i want to dunk on a friend with TDS
Well, there's not a single city burning after the assassination attempt. We're calm. Maybe too calm. But it does draw very myopic attention to the "otherside".
The SS detail for that rally was incompetent or pd to respond poorly. Either way, it's ALL ON VID for the world to see.
As far as the shooter, the govt is really excelling at activating killers.... if you get my meaning. Very easy to get psychopaths to do all the awful things when the wicked rhetoric from MSM never stops. Programming is extremely easy, given what we saw during covid.
Thx gato!
Another awesome thread here! Love this community!
There is a third possibility: A dash of both intentional malice and incompetence. The incompetence part Gato touched on in another comment, but the malice was (if other internet commenters could be trusted) providing Trump with security levels appropriate for a former POTUS, rather than for an active candidate for POTUS. Regardless of whether this is true, it is 100% guaranteed that most democrats have been encouraging such behavior with wild rhetoric, which one must be certain can lead to this (see, e.g., the 2017 Congressional baseball shooting).
The local cops who climbed a ladder and saw a gunman and who did not engage must be fired. Bare minimum. Maybe even indicted. Is ‘Dereliction of Duty’ indictable?
>>>>>>>It seems there are only two real choices: intentional malice or massive incompetence <<<<<<<
Respectfully disagree.
Special Counsel John Durham found out that the FBI had INTENTIONALLY disregarded the Law in order to persecute President Trump.
FBI AGents from DC broke protocol when they personally conducted the Mar-A-Lago Raid instead of transferring the case to the US Attorney - SD FLA and to Local Agents.
Then they bragged that their order included an authority to shoot President Trump.
"Special Counsel" Jackass Smith was forced to admit that evidence submitted to Judge Canon was FAKE !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Yeah. Covid convinced me it’s not stupidity. Yes. There are useful idiots. But I’m sure there was a lot of intentional stuff that contributed. I didn’t say caused but contributed. The DEI stuff? That’s not stupid, there are smart people behind it using a bunch of useful idiots.
$20 says it comes out eventually that the feds “knew of him.” Knew of him and had talked to him.
Guarantee he had support. Was it the entire organization? No, but enough evil people exist in this organization.
Over time I’ve become more convinced “don’t attribute to malevolence what you can attribute to stupidity” is much like the phrase “conspiracy theorist.”
The average person is rather dumb and therefore they think everyone is dumb and just makes mistakes.
Or "correlation isn't causation". It's the new garlic and wooden stake blanket magic words.
"Occam's Razor"
I think that a bunch of poorly trained DEI hires understaffing an event an event where some, especially perhaps the newer agents, were charged with defending who they are absolutely certain is Literally Hitler could completely be the simplest explanation.
Isn't that what I'm saying if you read the body of my comments?
I'd go with Hanlon's Razor:
"Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity."
Or Sheftalls...which is inverse...;]
I'm not ruling out a combo....yet
It's amazing how unfathomable incompetence and malevolent intent can look alike, or even a mix of the two. Oh look a shooter on that unsecured roof, let's give one free shot. That said, I agree with you. Based on all the past history, guilty until proven massively, unfathomably incompetent. With regard to unification, that's what Trump's Term 1 was. If he learns from that total failure, term 2 should be get on board or get out of the way.
Re malice or stupidity: 1. If those in charge really didn’t care whether he lives or dies there is little distinction. 2. They might think ‘if he dies on my shift on some level a lot of people will be happy with me’.
I also can’t rule something else out. Something I am Seeing everywhere. Vax fuzziness. The number of mistakes I am seeing from formerly competent professionals is insane.
ding ding ding! sprinkle a few other toxins in and voila!
As one considers the options of 1) our government is incompetent or 2) our government conspired to assassinate a Presidential candidate, I think it would be valuable to consider how the USSS "sees" Trump with regard to protection. There's alot of commentary from experience SEALS/Snipers discussing holes in the protective coverage but I'm not sure they're considering the possibility that the USSS may not be providing Trump with Presidential protection but rather, Former POTUS protection and Rival Candidate Protection. I think the current POTUS enjoys a high level of protection and Trumps is less "robust" because he's only a former and only a frontrunner candidate. While it seems obvious to everyone that Trump needs maximum protection particularly at these public events, I think that upper level partisans at the SS could easily provide him with reduced coverage and "get away with it".... and it seems like they did that.
While this doesn't void the possibility of the shooter having inside help/knowledge, it provides USSS with plausible deniability and a bureautic explanation/talking point during a Senate hearing/investigation.
My guess is that will be the spin/excuse/explanation. That is, current presidents get much larger Secret Service attention than a candidate for president. The reality is Donald Trump would be the person at the top of any list of possible/likely "assassination attempts."
So you deploy more resources for the most likely threat. (The reason Trump was the most likely assassination candidate is numerous powerful people - like the President of the United States - keep calling him a grave threat to the world and democracy.)
No smart "risk analysis" was performed ... because we are being led by the obtuse.
Because of Trump's rally schedule his regular SS team was working to the point of burnout. Requests for additional SS to ease the burden were repeatedly denied. Only one of his regular SS team was present at Saturday's rally, the rest being temps brought in only a day or two before the rally.
I'm pretty sure the team size is the former president detail level. And the performance surely suggests B team players.
I once slipped down a step at a Rockets game and grabbed HW Bush's shoulder to steady myself. I was a bit tipsy. His SS detail just glanced at me, nothing more. Overweight, seemingly bored.
That's part of the problem. But one cannot look at this without recognizing how DC works and who needs Trump gone. They could and will do it if that's the only option remaining.
Sorry. Not trying to abuse my responses, but what's your contacts thoughts about when the ladder was placed?
Seems to me that is the fulcrum. It begets a lot of ancillary questions.
Investigators could perhaps easily find out when the ladder was NOT there. (Maintenance or grounds employees of the Window plant business could tell them this). You might luck-out and find surveillance footage of when the shooter put it against the wall (if he did this). You could also easily find out what law enforcement officer(s) was supposed to do a security sweep of this business/area and why they didn't "flag" this ladder (or discover it). This person would/might be a suspect in a possible conspiracy to make it possible that the shooter had access to the roof.
Handy excuse: “The ladder was placed the day before by the US SS. That roof was supposed to be manned. We forgot to man it.” The obvious question would be ‘how did the shooter know it would be there?’ But that wouldn’t be asked.
"Investigators believe Crooks made his way to the spot where he fired from by scaling an air conditioning unit of an adjacent building accessible from the ground and pulling himself up onto the roof, sources said"
https://abc7.com/post/trump-assassination-attempt-fbi-examines-thomas-matthew-crooks/15064141/
regardless...i thought my post would spark some conversation...:}
I've only written one arm-chair QB piece about Saturday's event, but in that event I highlighted the significance of the ladder.
Sparking! We agree on all your questions and points. And do we really think we'll hear a clear explanation? Haven't seen a lot of humility out of DC for decades.
You can run a muck for miles without transparency and accountability
But you can't make it drink.
Maybe I need to explain. You can lead amuck to water......
;]
Hi suannee!
It definitely smells but I can’t see a 20 year old kid being the conspiracy triggerman. And to El Gato’s point re: incompetence, look no further than the heavier-set female SS agent who kept trying to holster her pistol at the Suburban and after 3-4 attempts just pulls it back up. At least her trigger finger wasn’t inside the trigger guard or someone else could have been shot. Just totally pathetic.
Agree. A 20 year old nerd who couldn't make the rifle team in HS? Surely if it was some sort of government/dark cabal conspiracy they would at least used a more competent perp. Then again, our government is not currently known for competence.
AT first the FBI claimed that it could not crack his iphone - then they claimed that it had "encrypted data which connected the iphone to a foreign country" - so they are going to claim that he was talking to someone in Iran, China, Russia or North Korea.
Instead od admitting that he was talking to someone in the Biden Junta,
our null hypothesis needs to be that all events in the major news are manipulated and controlled by the cabal who own all the pieces on the chess board, who have a many-generations-long agenda, and who are VERY good at this manipulation and control game. Our job becomes sorting out how the narration manipulation benefits the cabal and what they're planning to do with it. Therein lie the likely culprits and the purpose. The cabal wants WWIII, stable coin / CBDC, and they're gearing up the bird flu scam bonus round. How would this event step us toward those? It seems to me a wounded "tough guy" Trump everyone has rallied behind could easily sell us WWIII as the "greatest" war and JPMorgan's stable coin as the "greatest" currency and the bird flu jabs as the "greatest vaccine ever" and the people would cheer. Biden / insert-replacement-puppet-here? not so much. It's their game to manufacture consent. They'll install whoever serves that purpose most efficiently.
A fellow cynic! me too.
Yeah I abandoned any illusions that there are two “parties” a long time ago. We’re watching cabal puppet theater. I’d say it’s more just observing reality than cynicism. I mean we all just lived through the covid psyop, right? The GLOBAL covid psyop. These folks control not just the US, but the world. Of course they control the US political game.
Yes. And those who don't believe the weather is manipulated and, thus, crops and food supplies are affected, are blinder than blind. IMO anyway.
NAILED IT
This happens over and over again - the "first responders" we all put on a pedestal are incompetent or freeze when they shouldn't and/or are afraid to put their lives at risks when shooters are killing people. There's multiple examples of this going back to Columbine.
But, still, we're all conditioned to trust the police, FBI, Secret Service ... CIA. They are the experts and professionals.
The "watchdog" press doesn't question or challenge these people and agencies. They wait for a "statement" from these groups telling them what happened. That "confirms" the truth.
Basically, we are "being led by the obtuse" (and/or proven liars). Saturday's event is yet another example of this.
https://billricejr.substack.com/p/take-aways-from-yesterdays-near-miss
Actually Bill, rather than wait for the statement they fall all over themselves praising what a great job the agents on the ground did . . . until someone who actually knows something about high level security points out 17 different fuckups by that group and how many different times Trump was left exposed despite the dog pile.
Yep. It bugs me how the pack media always waits for the press conference or the official statement to confirm what happened.
Often, the people who screwed up, get to tell us what really happened. This happened in Covid every day for years. We kept listening to experts who had been wrong about every single point they made for years.
You and Ryan both make very good points. We don't know how this happened, and I'm afraid we may never know.
Sorry, but the shooter was about 125m away, so "outside 500m" is a bullshit excuse.
Sure. How smart can someone be who is willing to stand between a bullet and a politician? LOL
I agree
I heard that the counter-sniper had the assassin in his sights for three minutes but was not allowed by the SS officer in charge to take the shot. If it was just an odd fact here and there, I don't think it would be a big deal, but when you get so many "coincidences" you start wondering.
Does anyone know if those counter-snipers have access to radios? Surely, they do, but in the close-up photos of the counter-snipers nearest Trump I can't see any ear pieces. You would think with so many witnesses screaming, "There's a man on the roof! he has a gun!" some cop would have reported this on his radio device ... and the SS would have heard this and got Trump off the stage before the shots started.
Lots of common-sense questions have yet to be answered.
Really....in 2024....we don't know how to coordinate communications between law enforcement agencies with ample opportunity to plan...at an event that obviously requires good communication? Are we using Vietnam era radios and walkie-talkies? Just absurd.
maybe they don't know how to buy stuff on AMAZON!
Have you watched any of the crewed space flights to the ISS? The audio coms from the capsule - still on the ground - sound as bad as in the 1960s. We should be hearing them in 7.1 channel surround sound by now.
none of the different law authorities radios could communicate effectively/efficiently because they are not on the same "frequency".
Think about that. You have a huge rally - with 30,000 people. You've got cops spread throughout the area who, one presumes, are looking for potential assassins. They find one with a gun on a roof ... and yet they have no means of getting this information to the Secret Service agents who are just a couple of steps away from the target of the assassination.
... Nor, perhaps, do the counter-snipers know anything about what eye-witnesses are screaming 130 yards away.
All that training and all those "security experts" and this is what happens.
The answer to that is to set up a central security hub. One person with a multi-band radio that can monitor all the different frequencies and relay communications between services. This is basic security stuff.
Yes -- this is how we do it in Civil Air Patrol. There is a central communications person at the incident command center monitoring and relaying. Sometimes it's not even different frequencies, but the fact we have assets that are too distant to communicate directly.
Central Command and Control. Tripple C baby!
wasn't that what supposedly happened with J6? That ruse was swallowed that time ...
Yup. You are correct
That's just great. That problem goes back to WWII. And we are still workin' on it!
Actually, JL, the Romans had similar communications problems in Britain, 2000 years ago. And no doubt, Pharaoh's armies, 2000 years before that, were plagued with them too.
Hi Andy! Yes, of course you are correct, the ability of separate elements of a mission force to communicate with one another has been - since the dawn of human conflict a critical component in the success or failure of a military operation. Development of com systems is an evolving science, but the problem of who's on such and such a freq and where's everybody else? is a problem that was critical in WWII because of wireless com system importance and the speed at which new systems were being introduced to the battlefield. Seemed to be largely sorted out by Vietnam and the solid-state systems coming on line. Since then we've refined the systems so well thru the several generations of digital electronic communication evolutions that there are no further excuses beyond inter-agency ineptitude.
The "Fog of War" extends far beyond the actual Battlesapce, it turns out.
Oh geez. Screwed once again by holy technology.
Questions that will never be answered. The narrative is already being spun. This was a lone wolf, a nut. Im sure some sort of manifesto or journal will surface. The semantics will be forgotten, or explained away. Most likely this DEI hire in charge will step aside with her full pension to show that something is being done. Ladders, unmanned rooftops, communications, all will be ignored away.
If there were no radio communications, this is eerily similar to what happened in 9-11 in lack of coordination amongst federal/state/local agencies.
The 2nd counter-sniper, behind the 1st, clearly has a voice communications -he could have been talking with someone.
It's clear from the video that the countersniper had the shooter in his sights for a while. His rifle doesn't move when he finally takes the shot. However, his reaction does indicate surprise when the sniper starts firing.
I have zero experience shooting rifles at targets over longish distances. But I don't understand how the countersniper can have the shooter sufficiently sighted to take him out in a couple seconds when he starts firing, but not have a sufficient view of him to identify him 100% as a threat to the president. Maybe someone with sniper experience or training can comment on that.
But even if we accept that not taking the shot was a reasonable call due to the risk of killing an innocent, getting the president off the stage until they confirm or debunk the threat is a relatively low-risk option that wasn't taken. Just one more factor in the "incompetency or malice" assessment.