one of the deeply frustrating aspects of covid has been the fact that the data has been so limited.
this is not because much of the data has not existed. it’s simply being cloistered and hidden.
this is not because agencies have been overwhelmed or unable to do so. it has been the systematic suppression and slanting of data in order to support political narratives. and the CDC has been among the very worst.
you can tell that covid is well and truly winding down now that even the new york times is calling them out on it. the busses are getting ready to depart. it’s time to throw some people under them.
it’s pretty clear that wallensky is getting set up as the “fall gal” for this and while she has certainly earned it, the CDC has been dismal from the very beginning. redfield was appalling. they have selected and published what can only be described as pseudoscience: studies that lacked control groups, studies that used truncation to cherry pick total failure into apparent efficacy, and frankly, outright fraud.
that makes claims such as these ring pretty false. (emphasis mine)
Kristen Nordlund, a spokeswoman for the C.D.C., said the agency has been slow to release the different streams of data “because basically, at the end of the day, it’s not yet ready for prime time.” She said the agency’s “priority when gathering any data is to ensure that it’s accurate and actionable.”Another reason is fear that the information might be misinterpreted, Ms. Nordlund said.
Kristen Nordlund, a spokeswoman for the C.D.C., said the agency has been slow to release the different streams of data “because basically, at the end of the day, it’s not yet ready for prime time.” She said the agency’s “priority when gathering any data is to ensure that it’s accurate and actionable.”
Another reason is fear that the information might be misinterpreted, Ms. Nordlund said.
there is a name for an alleged science and health body suppressing information because “it might be misinterpreted.”
it is not “open and honest scientific inquiry.”
this is the action of a clerisy or a cabal seeking to suppress analysis.
and after what the CDC has done all year to hide outcomes and push narratives, it’s proof that they have rotted utterly from the head down.
they have been dishonest from the start. they pushed the now infamous “mass general” hospital study to “prove masks work.” it was a hilarity of bad practice and made up conclusions. it lacked any control group whatsoever.
it was not based on regressions or correlations. it was some made up lines drawn on a set of artifact riddled data.
it’s easy to see. the blue lines are theirs. the red lines are mine.
they take the two odd outlier points from march 25-6 and extrapolate an exponential up from them. they chose another arbitrary point to start a downtrend. they ignore the infection period from exposure to detectable disease altogether.
this is the epidemiological equivalent or throwing chicken bones to augur the harvest.
ascribing a p value to it is ridiculous, especially with no control group.
the real trend shift was around april 20th, arguably a day or so prior.
this is the statewide data. it peaked on april 26th for that season in 2020 and, as this is a 7 day avg, we’d expect that peak to lag vs the raw data, likely by 5-7 days. so we’re in extremely tight alignment.
there is no real curve separation here. the mass general study was a rain dance taking credit for what was going to happen anyway.
this is WHY we use control group and why you cannot trust a study that lacks them.
the CDC knows this. they just made a wager that we didn’t.
it blew up in their face.
chastened by this, they next came out with the kansas counties study which purported to have a sound control group. this seemed a good natural experiment as a number of KS counties imposed mask mandates and a number did not. this ought to provide a good comparison.
this is the comparison they chose and used to claim that masks worked.
this study was outright fraud. they cherry picked this period and truncated the data to create an appearance of efficacy. we know this because, at the time that this study was released, the rest of the data below was already available.
the red boxes (added by me) are the period shown in the study.
clearly, covid season came and everyone got the same results.
and this was known when they published the truncated version. a lie of omission is still a lie.
they then pushed the widely derided and debunked “bangladesh study” that i wrote on HERE and HERE.
then, in desperation they cited this study that was literally based on opt in survey data and was so riddled with inclusion and reporting bias as to amount to gibberish.
this is a pattern of either such willful dishonesty or such incapability of assessing studies and data that it renders the notion of the CDC withholding data “to avoid misinterpretation” and to “combat misinformation” impossible to accept.
they are not protecting us, they are protecting their prerogative to control and promulgate the narrative.
this is not a group you can trust to give you the straight picture or to analyze data properly.
they should open their full data to everyone. now.
they should have done this from the start.
there has, since this whole saga began, been a concerted effort by the credentialed classes to smear and exclude all others from analysis. “the experts” did not want to be checked or assessed by “the amateurs.”
many of you may recall the MIT hit piece on “covid 19 skepticism.”
having been called out by name in this missive, certain internet felines took exception and had a bit to say about both science as an ivory tower clerisy
and about the nature of science as a process rather than an institution.
i wrote these quite early in my substackery when the audience was still small. i include them here because i think they hold important ideas and are worth perusing if you missed them.
“most fundamentally, the groups we studied believe that science is a process, not an institution.”“This study forces us to see that coronavirus skeptics champion science as a personal practice that prizes rationality and autonomy; for them, it is not a body of knowledge certified by an institution of experts.”"These individuals as a whole are extremely willing to help others who have trouble interpreting graphs with multiple forms of clarification: by helping people find the original sources so that they can replicate the analysis themselves, by referencing other reputable studies that come to the same conclusions, by reminding others to remain vigilant about the limitations of the data, and by answering questions about the implications of a specific graph."
“most fundamentally, the groups we studied believe that science is a process, not an institution.”
“This study forces us to see that coronavirus skeptics champion science as a personal practice that prizes rationality and autonomy; for them, it is not a body of knowledge certified by an institution of experts.”
"These individuals as a whole are extremely willing to help others who have trouble interpreting graphs with multiple forms of clarification: by helping people find the original sources so that they can replicate the analysis themselves, by referencing other reputable studies that come to the same conclusions, by reminding others to remain vigilant about the limitations of the data, and by answering questions about the implications of a specific graph."
it is astounding that such statements could be leveled by by anyone, much less MIT, while thinking them a criticism.
the implicit lack of understanding of science and scientific method reveled thereby is revelatory.
take a look at who they singled out. this will be a list of names familiar to many of you. this is the group that accreted into rational ground and other collaborative efforts and who pursued the data with relentless diligence and clarity. they sought facts, not justification for policy. they sought to engage not to silence those who would debate them for that is and must be the process of science
i am proud to call many of them my friends and to have made such contributions as i was able alongside and in collaboration with them.
and then a funny thing happened: these “amateurs” turned out to be not so amateur after all. sometimes they got it wrong, but mostly and more and more, they got it right.
they trounced the CDC, the FDA, the state agencies.
they made a mockery of these elevated faux experts who became the parroting class for talking points and campaigns of informational suppression, gaslighting, fraud, and self-serving curation.
they had this mostly solved in mid 2020, predicting seasonality, gompertz expression, mask and lockdown failure, vaccine risks and study issues, and all manner of measurement and definition issues from PCR to accounting “covid death” and “covid hospitalization.”
it has taken another 18 months for the “expert narrative” to finally catch up as their narratives became too threadbare to to stop the light any longer.
i would put the track records of that skeptic graph up against pretty much any expert or agency in the world with the possible exception and anders tegnell in sweden who got it right right from the start and frankly, had he been on twitter, he would have been one of us.
imagine what might have been avoided if the CDC has been forthright with the data from the beginning and invited rather than impeded collaboration.
the only people who fear having their work checked and validated are the people who know that their work will not withstand such scrutiny. it is the refuge of the charlatan, not the scientist.
left to its own devices, the credentialed class seeks primarily to protect itself from challenge, to retain tenure and status and we have seen such on vivid display lo these 2 long years.
they could have shared. they did not.
they could have pushed for and enabled research into treatment with existing drugs. instead they suppressed to to push barely tested and badly rushed inoculation modalities.
there is no basis for trust here and it’s time to move beyond this notion of the technocratic tyranny of unaccountable bureaucrats ascribing expert status to their political fiefdoms.
and if you think public health is bad, wait until you meet the “big climate” crowd who have decades of experience in erecting false expertise, adulterating data, and hectoring heretics into silence. they make facui and wallensky look like pikers and they too have big plans for you.
if we take nothing else away from these two years lost to ill conceived covidian policy it ought be this: “the experts™” are not expert. they are merely in positions of power.
this applies in every sphere of policy, not just those elucidated above and so must become the omnipresent lens through which we view these ideas and impositions lest they gather yet more unaccountable power and wreak further mischief upon us.
the road to technocratic serfdom would be better left untraveled.
Literally writing my article about Snohomish county hiding data as well. This is like the Bible being in Latin so the priests have to tell the commoners what it says. But then again, this is the predictable result of a top-down 'get everybody vaxxed' mindset instead of the mindset that simply wants to get quality information to the people so they can decide for themselves.
Even now, I don't know how you're so confident this is winding down. Now admittedly, my point of view is from California, but the FDA is currently discussing a fourth dose of the "vaccine". There are many workplaces that will require it. In addition, though they're bending in masks at the moment, they'll be bringing back mandates in mid-November. Even if covid is not a thing, it will "just make sense since it stopped the flu." They've already been forming that narrative. Oh, and Biden just extended the public health emergency.
I want to believe this is almost over, but I don't. Please talk me off the ledge.
Richard Feynman, one of the 20th centuries most eminent scientists, wrote: “Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.”
Comrade: If you're catching flak, you're probably over the target.
I stumbled into ES early in the spring of 2020 along with Berenson. This lead to finding a bad cat, and a bunch of other curious people who sniffed out a big problem. I owe them all a debt of gratitude as I exited the covid quarantine before the summer of 2020 allowing me to live my life as before with the exception of swatting away the nagging covid-karens and kens. Gracias to all of you!
The science didn't change, and the vaccines didn't start helping. The lies stopped working. Lies have a tendency to do that.
Spot on. And so many more folks are now willing to open their minds to this. They see the Canada debacle. They see the predictions and promises failing. They see kids still masked. Pitchfork, torches, and tar and feathers time for the "experts".
The data is necessary for the really smart among us to rationalize ignoring their lying eyes in favor of the Science, in order to accrue social status. Thats pretty much all that is keeping the NYT/NPR pravda going at this point. To manufacture progressive social status.
My own data was driving by the big VA building which was closed, but for the entire parking lot being an empty testing center, and right next door a line of cars a mile long waiting to slow roll by the retirement home as they wheeled out people in their last moments of life so the family could wave from inside the car. Then passing the grade-school on the way home and seeing all those beautiful little kids safely covered in face rags on the playground.
But then I am no Scientist. Just an observer of a very sick culture in a long war against reality. And like all wars against reality, they are often over long before the high status loses their heads.
But have you considered that your arguments are all invalid because you don't capitalize the first letters of your sentences?
The aburdity that Germany is actually still trying to get the mandatory vaccination through the German Bundestag despite the data that is available - simply appalling!
So much data being hidden. Data which would and could prevent countless lives. Take for example the lab leak theory. Lab leak theories are suddenly very much the MODE (RNA giving us the clue).
I had to read that blue-line-highlighted paragraph three times because though I consider myself pretty good at basic comprehension, it seemed to be offering you guys high praise. I mean my God! This is why it's always good to read one's own writing out loud; best absurdity catcher there is. (Unless there was some subversion within and this was a double secret handshake coded message that "I'm alive! Send help...)
I really, really, really admire the courage and perseverance of you and all your gatopals and gato-likeminds who've absolutely risked everything to not only discover the truth as best it could be hunted down, but to share it publicly. Because in times such as these, now and throughout history, it's not just the individual but the individual's beloved ones and colleagues made to suffer too; that's always been the one card they hold that can trump everything. I myself--just a random retired lady--must consider how far to go in letters to the editor so I don't risk any sort of potential repercussions to my offspring, and self-censorship don't come natural to me. You guys are Lamed Vavniks, but unhidden.
They fear what the population might do if they knew the truth.
I fear what the population will not do if they knew the truth.
El Gato Malo, I love your friends. Please continue on your journeys. We will follow.
“As a matter of fact, I can also define science another way: Science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.
When someone says, “Science teaches such and such,” he is using the word incorrectly. Science doesn’t teach anything; experience teaches it. If they say to you, “Science has shown such and such,” you might ask, “How does science show it? How did the scientists find out? How? What? Where?”
It should not be “science has shown” but “this experiment, this effect, has shown.” And you have as much right as anyone else, upon hearing about the experiments–but be patient and listen to all the evidence–to judge whether a sensible conclusion has been arrived at.”
--Richard Feynman's 1966 speech to National Science Teachers Association
Follow the science, indeed.
Yes. Hold your head up high, el gatito. You and the others above have undoubtedly been the truth tellers during this whole cluster.
You've kept me sane after reading articles that are deafeningly silent on actual data to back up ridiculous assertions like that it's okay to shut down schools for 1.5 years and that masks work. I've read, incredulously, so many stories that supposedly "prove" that such and such measures work and I've tried to find evidence to back up the assertions. But I always came up with nothing. Just "experts" repeating, Orwellian-style, the same Covid tropes that other "experts" are saying.
And anyone who dares to raise even the slightest question is immediately attacked with "you're a selfish, tin foil hat conspiracy nut!".
I was shocked to see the NY Times's article. It's almost as if they've just discovered that the primary journalistic standard is holding public officials to account and not purposefully spreading propaganda. But, as you alluded to, more likely the CDC is getting ready to make some changes in its leadership and they're using the Times as a mouthpiece.
And your warnings about climate change being used by the same class of "experts" to control people are prescient.
Perfect takedown of the Center for Diseased Communists. Well done, El Gato.
El Gato, Ethical Skeptic, Gummi Bear, Jordan Schachtel and Alex Berenson were the OG's on twitter in April of 2020. Throw Jeffrey A. Tucker and Stacey Rudin in there for good measure too. These people are heroes.
Narcissism of the credentialed class on full display. The are basically saying "science is what WE say it is" not what data shows. It is a classic form of gaslighting. Since they live in their own reality, they have no problem telling lies over and over, because they actually believe those lies (it shows the lengths to which their depraved minds will engage in cognitive dissonance in order to make the world make "sense" to them).
Prediction: it will destroy them. The rest of the academic world (that is not on the gravy train of the US government) starts showing that it was all a lie, they will have big problems. It has already started. It will snowball.
The last 2 years can be summed up in 5 words: You have been lied to.
I think it's time for a reckoning.
The Kansas study was also a data aggregation problem hiding the real result, which was no effect. Only 10 of the 24 masked counties showed improvement. 24 of the 82 non masked counties also showed improvement. And when you examine which counties showed improvement they were all clustered together showing it was more a regional effect as to when the virus hit where.
This is not new behavior on the part of the CDC. On the issue of vaccines, that "public health" institution has been hiding data it thinks we can't handle for decades.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s article on a previous CDC data-hiding scandal is enlightening:
Having studied climate change in a past life, I knew the dangers of narrative driven "science", but seeing the process happen in real time has been shocking to me. The fact that so many "experts" kept making predictions which proved to be utterly wrong, yet managed to get away with it time and time again with no consequences was infuriating (Exhibit A: Fauci). Then seeing the CDC blow up decades of credibility in just 2 years was tragic. They have been the worst source of misinformation throughout this pandemic. We need to completely rethink how that agency is led and managed - maybe they can recruit Tegnell, let him clean house, and build in legislative protections against political interference, because their performance has been utterly incompetent. I don't even blame Wollensky that much since the agency was just as bad in 2020.
This is good news for lawyers already working on the class action vaccine lawsuits. The govt is going to be forced to fund a trust fund. It's coming. Watch. This will dwarf the tobacco/asbestos/talcum powder suits by a factor of 1000.
Speaking of the "Kansas counties" studies -- I did a bit of digging a couple of months ago and reconstructed their list of masked vs. unmasked counties. It turns out that:
(1) Masked counties were a cluster of large urban/suburban counties around Kansas City.
(2) Unmasked counties were small rural counties, most of them hundreds of miles away.
So these were not otherwise-equivalent populations, and the authors apparently made zero attempt to control for any of the metric f***-ton of confounding variables.
Trust the government...it's all for you safety
Premeditated Genocide by the Medical Drug Cartel
Pfizer Documents Show FDA Knew of Death Risk
mRNA "Vaccines" Are Gene Therapy. May cause Undesirable Side Effects That Could Delay Or Prevent Their Regulatory Approval According To BioNTech SEC Filing
I think you should publish a book, first with your tweets, followed by your substack pieces. Encyclopedia style. Hard copy.
Oh my gosh, I love that last meme!
The main difference is amateur communities had a honest debate. They applied the correct procedure of science and they were not influenced by money and power.
Gato, I so appreciate you relentlessly writing about the data and making plain the corruption and hypocrisy. Your writing has been like north star for me in so many ways. I don't always like what you write, but it always adds value to me.
I just wrote a stack on this giant Beta test of a last two years, and I think in so many ways the data manipulation is just a way to push the ball down the field. These people don't give one good fuck about true data, just how it's presented to most effectively get their agenda across, as you say in your article.
They NUDGE AND NUDGE and POKE and eventually we just fall out of the bed, without realizing it. But once you're out of the bed and hit the floor, you wake up, and that's what I see happening right now. Lot's of sleepy heads waking up after so much nudging. We need many more though. Every single voice needs to wake up and scream about how hard that fall was and how there are a VERY FEW pushing THE VERY MANY out.
"We are not frightened anymore. We stood up. We stood up.
There are two of us. There will be more. They'll show up. Yeah they'll show up."
The graph of skeptics are who changed my perspective on life beginning in 2020. Every single one of you opened my eyes to the lies I’ve been fed my entire adult life by just analyzing Covid data. Thank you.
The most bizarre thing is that with official vaccination effectiveness figures of 10% and 18% for the two vaccines (so low as to be far within the bounds of confounding factors) in the U.K. after 25 weeks, the same scientists posting the figures are still pushing vaccination (with no long term plan and no shame). Even a fool can see it never was about health, the only people that can’t are wilfully deceiving themselves or acting maliciously (quite often both).
It's especially entertaining, that if you go back to the very beginning (Jan-Feb of 2020), when the only information the general public had about covid was from the WHO and CDC, the level of wrong/lies were ridiculously evident. They have been pushing narrative over science from the very beginning. "no evidence of h2h transmission, the risk to the american public is low, transmission is all droplet/surface based, no need to wear masks" etc. meanwhile, China was welding people in to buildings and disappearing doctors/journalists. Pepperidge farm remembers.
Well said as always. It seems that which is being censored is most likely the truth anymore.
They're losing so hard, they're not playing anymore.
Given the plans they have for our future, we should understand that, going forward, institutions like the CDC will never be held to account, either for what they've done or for what they will do. These people have an agenda, they're all in on furthering that agenda, and our focusing on anything that does not relate directly to that agenda helps them to keep moving toward their goal, unconcerned that more and more people will find out and try to stop them. If we do not stop their drive toward full control of the financial system, and the money we have in it, nothing about the kill shot data will matter much, since they will control virtually every aspect of our lives through their control and manipulation of our digital currency. Look at what is happening in Canada. Do you think Trudeau is at all concerned that the truckers know the shots don't work? He couldn't care less, but he does care about seizing their money and their possessions (and their children?). That's what TPTB are focused on, and that's what they will get away with soon if we are not careful. The U.S. government is actively working right now to take more control over the financial system, including cryptos, so they can get away with the kind of tactics that Trudeau and the Canadian government is using against dissident citizens.
I understand the urge to take these people to task, but, like most narcissistic elites, they couldn't care less about hypocrisy or getting caught with their masks down or anything else, so long as they are accomplishing their long-term goal of enslavement of the entire population (what's left of it, anyway). They are thumbing their noses at us while we complain about them hiding data because they know they carry "do anything and get away with it" badges.
Perfect quote “it blew up in their face”....didn’t plan on a bunch if doctors and nurses (MDs and PhDs) to know enough about the E in EUA- experimental. Okay, let me wait til we see what happens before I get MY shot. I would say the experiment failed big time. My resume might nit be as long as theirs but triple board certified heart surgeon, 49 yrs experience, i will stand up to any of those big shots who thing they are smartest person in the room. They are not. Maybe I am not either but folks like felllow Dallas cardiologist McCollough, or that other Robert (Malone) or this Robert who yes did some research with PCR looking at genetics of atherosclerotic plaque. We are ready.. questions little kittens? Gato Malo is superb, i thank my fellow high school bobcat Al (anesthesiologist) for putting me on the trail...
The Data must support The Science. Otherwise, it is not worthy of dissemination.
Note: The Science is a set of political statements, not science.
cdc releases only data that confessed under torture.....
You are one bad cat. Thanks for this spectacular summation of the situation.
It is glaringly obivious that the modern "expert class" are experts at nothing. Just like they failed us with Covid, they're failing us with Ukraine. You can't trust anything written in the MSM about Ukraine, and you surely can't trust what either Biden or Putin say. It's quite time consuming to personally assemble real experts for every issue, but I'm now in the process of trying to find true experts on Putin and Ukraine. If anyone has any suggestions, I'm all ears. The fact that you've found the Bad Cat indicates you have good judgment. Thanks.
FAA or FDA...same story. Too close to industry with revolving doors.
Maybe enough of NYT staff family members or friends are by now seriously hurt or even dead and everything points to vaccines that they cannot deny the reality any longer.
Couple things that might help with the massing decline in actual expertise of official experts (as documented by Fukuyama and others):
* rangevoting.org this above all. NOT ranked, that's garbage arguably worse than plurality
Btw Jed Limke is the biggest badass in the entire fucking world and he doesn't even have a wikipedia page wtf
John Ioannidis was an expert worth listening to:
It is amazing how they prop up useless rubbish data as policy guiding truths, but ivermectin, now with RR 0.30 [0.24-0.38] for early treatment according to ivmmeta.com - that is, we know pretty much for a fact that IVM results in an improvement of outcomes of between 62% and 76% - but still it is "horse paste".
"technocracy" is a spin on "totalitarian, arbitrary dictatorship with a council of court jesters".
great missive, gato!!! the cdc "only" continued the lies. none of this had anything to do with health from the release of the virus through what's happened until the present time. Like you said climate will be the next most public mission. there are many other tendrils working their way through the world that aren't as obvious. what a mess!
I'd like to see Gato analyze the CDC's rates of COVID-19 cases provided here: https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#rates-by-vaccine-status. The incidence rate is consistently lower for boosted v. fully vaccinated, but the incidence rates grow at similar rates for both. I did my own analysis, and it looks like the lower incidence rate for boosted is due to the lower initial value. If the boosted i.r. had started at the same level as the fully vaccinated i.r., the boosted i.r.'s would actually be higher overall, especially towards the end of the omicron surge. But I'm not sure I'm doing it right, so I'd love to see Gato take a stab at it!
I also saw the Scamdemic from Day 1.
First posted this on Medium in May, 2020.