I'm not acquainted with him. But he sounds like America's answer to the infamous Neil Ferguson of Imperial College, London. Using sophisticated models, he is famous for making grossly erroneous projections about not one but several potential pandemics. Broadly speaking, these are the same guys who "prove" using computer simulations how our climate is going to hell.
I'm not acquainted with him. But he sounds like America's answer to the infamous Neil Ferguson of Imperial College, London. Using sophisticated models, he is famous for making grossly erroneous projections about not one but several potential pandemics. Broadly speaking, these are the same guys who "prove" using computer simulations how our climate is going to hell.
Old friend telling me about the farm he grew up on in Oregon. When the big old place was up for sale, the new family noticed there were a lot of cats on the property, and they were a bit flea infested.
My friend (his name was Moe) told them how to do a flea dip on all those cats, as they had done every spring.
Well, the family did the flea dip, but they thought a little extra poison would be a good idea, and they killed all the cats by accident.
oops.
2. In college I did some wood shop projects for classes, had to go to a local woodshop and buy some oak boards, in one case. There were 2 shops where you could buy wood, and the one I had picked had invested in a new wood drying system recently. I was supposed to dry the wood in half the time, a new invention by one of the college grads in the family.
Well, when I brought the boards to the woodshop, my boss cautioned me. He asked which mill I had bought the wood from and when I told him he rolled his eyes. He said that pretty much every piece of lumber from that mill did super crazy things on the table saw, bowing and popping and was very dangerous. The mill went broke because of it.I always use the lesson- you don't want to rush known processes, and things that worked out perfectly on paper only seldom work out that well in real life.
oops.
3. Highschool social studies teacher said this about how the human mind and heart work.
When the tuberculosis epidemics were raging in the late 1800s in England somewhere, the royal children kept dying from it. Soon the only person allowed to visit the castle was the milkman, because of course they had to have their milk for health.
Well, the tuberculosis was in the milk, but the people would not could not admit that might be the case, because of course milk is good for you.
Soon after the pathogen was found to be in the milk, ie the advent of microscopes of enough power to see it. OOPS.
I'm not acquainted with him. But he sounds like America's answer to the infamous Neil Ferguson of Imperial College, London. Using sophisticated models, he is famous for making grossly erroneous projections about not one but several potential pandemics. Broadly speaking, these are the same guys who "prove" using computer simulations how our climate is going to hell.
3 OOPS analogies to now....
1.
Old friend telling me about the farm he grew up on in Oregon. When the big old place was up for sale, the new family noticed there were a lot of cats on the property, and they were a bit flea infested.
My friend (his name was Moe) told them how to do a flea dip on all those cats, as they had done every spring.
Well, the family did the flea dip, but they thought a little extra poison would be a good idea, and they killed all the cats by accident.
oops.
2. In college I did some wood shop projects for classes, had to go to a local woodshop and buy some oak boards, in one case. There were 2 shops where you could buy wood, and the one I had picked had invested in a new wood drying system recently. I was supposed to dry the wood in half the time, a new invention by one of the college grads in the family.
Well, when I brought the boards to the woodshop, my boss cautioned me. He asked which mill I had bought the wood from and when I told him he rolled his eyes. He said that pretty much every piece of lumber from that mill did super crazy things on the table saw, bowing and popping and was very dangerous. The mill went broke because of it.I always use the lesson- you don't want to rush known processes, and things that worked out perfectly on paper only seldom work out that well in real life.
oops.
3. Highschool social studies teacher said this about how the human mind and heart work.
When the tuberculosis epidemics were raging in the late 1800s in England somewhere, the royal children kept dying from it. Soon the only person allowed to visit the castle was the milkman, because of course they had to have their milk for health.
Well, the tuberculosis was in the milk, but the people would not could not admit that might be the case, because of course milk is good for you.
Soon after the pathogen was found to be in the milk, ie the advent of microscopes of enough power to see it. OOPS.