1. How confident can we be about the variants claim? Not “do they really exist as separate, infective species”, but “in this population of people, some of whom get a positive PCR test, how confident are we that they’ve really got variant X & not Y?” I don’t think the PCR tests have been edited such that positive results are only possible if a particular variant is present. They’re surely relying on a 3rd party running full sequencing on a proportion of samples. I’m not sure every country can do this. The greatest capacity for this expertise is in UK, so it may even be the case that public health depts ‘contract out’ to labs in UK that sequencing.
2. In order to determine a case rate, don’t we need to know the number of tests run as well as the conditions of how the tests are run? Yet we rarely see “positive test results per 10,000 tests” or similar or “operational false positive rate was shown to be <0.1%”. I know we’ve come to depend upon the Our World In Data etc, but how many people know that the operators of such databases are the perpetrators themselves? For example, one of the two most-used global databases is Johns Hopkins University, who are lavishly funded by you know who philanthropaths.
Not that any of this is a surprise, I’m outing myself as a total non-believer in the reliability of these data series. They might be being made up as far as I’m concerned!
Thank you, Gato, for your indefatigable work. In asking the above, to be clear, I am not gratuitously throwing doubt on your hypothesis-making. 🤗
Great article! We do not quite know yet why some variants prefer some countries and not others. So far ba.5 spreads nicely and seems to be doing "great" in Portugal, UK, Germany, and seems to be progressing in USA also.
Lesser mortality may be a mirage if each Covid infection takes our immune systems down 20% (a number thrown just for example) and some people are reinfected often (and will be reinfected MORE often as their immunity is worn down).
I am expecting more bad things than good things to be honest.
Igor and el gato....THANK YOU. Thank you for actually doing the work to look into all this nonsense. Like I have stated before...I am being told one thing yet seeing another. Orwell would be proud.
The gene-transfer jabs shut down the toll-like receptors, which are a critical part of the immune systems way of responding to viral infection. THe Jab shuts them down to increase the life of the mRNA in the body. Essentially it is giving the jabbed V-AIDS to a greater or lesser degree.
Now that is the science... the science of eugenics
Dr. Vliet last August shared the animal studies that showed all the vaxxed cats (sorry Gato) and ferrets died from ADE. Dr. Vanden Bossche said a few weeks ago on The Highwire the vaxx are driving variants that could because more deadly. Mark Skidmore on Lighthouse shared an Expose article that shows Canada cases hospitalized and deaths are way up for vaxxed.
Thank you-An exellent and worthwhile overview! Lest we lose sight of the forest for the trees, despite all of this bona fide data analysis--may we now cut to the chase and enact a moratorium on the experimental drug agenda? How is it possible that there are still people who cannot fathom the idea of a bioweapon?...or a profiteering/control agenda?
Anecdotal evidence. I fly back to PR for my Abuelo’s funeral. It turns into a superspreader event as my aunt, uncle, great aunt, and two cousins all get Covid. All of them vaccinated and boosted. Meanwhile, those of us visiting from the states got nothing. Me unvaccinated while my brother and other aunt were vaccinated after infection. By the way, I saw more masks on the island that I have seen in a year. Had to leave one of the panaderias as I refused to put on a mask.
I've been following the Walgreens test data for a couple months. The number of tests and the positivity rates by vaxx status have gone up and down, but the unvaxxed consistently represent ~25% of the tests and ~20% of the positives (all ages). On average, ~80% of the positives have had at least one jab, and ~50% of the positives have had three jabs. Three jabs doesn't seem to do much for the over 65s before or after the 5 month mark.
Per their slides, it appears that BA4-5 have not blown through yet. Perhaps this would be a good data source to monitor infections at least.
Walgreens (81,489 tests) positivity rate by vaxx status 06/18/2022 through 06/24/2022:
24.9% Unvaxxed
32.5% I Dose
33.5%. 2 Doses > 5 months ago
19.8%. 2 Doses <= 5 months ago
36.0% 3 Doses > 5 months ago
24.8%. 3 Doses <= 5 months ago
=========
78.9% of the people who tested positive had at least one jab.
47.2% of the people who tested positive had three jabs.
68.0% of the people who tested positive age 65+ had three jabs.
Unvaxxed comprise 25.7% of the tests and 21.1% of the positives.
"what would be REALLY interesting to get at would be a sense of just how much more contagious BA really is vs how much of the additional spread is coming from vaccines."
I like the term "Intrinsic infectiousness" used by Geert Vanden Bossche to disinguish from Ab-mediated enhancement of viral infection. I believe GVB posits that "intrinsic" infectiousness has not changed that dramatically across variants. Most of the increase in infectiousness is from vaccine Ab -induced enhancement. In a sane world, the data to compare R for vaccinated and unvaccinated populations would be widely available.
I will almost certainly be being dumb here, but:
1. How confident can we be about the variants claim? Not “do they really exist as separate, infective species”, but “in this population of people, some of whom get a positive PCR test, how confident are we that they’ve really got variant X & not Y?” I don’t think the PCR tests have been edited such that positive results are only possible if a particular variant is present. They’re surely relying on a 3rd party running full sequencing on a proportion of samples. I’m not sure every country can do this. The greatest capacity for this expertise is in UK, so it may even be the case that public health depts ‘contract out’ to labs in UK that sequencing.
2. In order to determine a case rate, don’t we need to know the number of tests run as well as the conditions of how the tests are run? Yet we rarely see “positive test results per 10,000 tests” or similar or “operational false positive rate was shown to be <0.1%”. I know we’ve come to depend upon the Our World In Data etc, but how many people know that the operators of such databases are the perpetrators themselves? For example, one of the two most-used global databases is Johns Hopkins University, who are lavishly funded by you know who philanthropaths.
Not that any of this is a surprise, I’m outing myself as a total non-believer in the reliability of these data series. They might be being made up as far as I’m concerned!
Thank you, Gato, for your indefatigable work. In asking the above, to be clear, I am not gratuitously throwing doubt on your hypothesis-making. 🤗
Could the difference be because Portugal has BA.5.1 while Spain does not? Take a look here: https://outbreak.info/situation-reports?pango=BA.5.1&selected=PRT&loc=PRT&loc=ESP&overlay=false
Same with South Africa - they had BA.5 but not BA.5.1 like Portugal.
On that same site you can compare BA.5 and BA.5.1. One of the mutations that is different regards: L37F
This study says L37F is associated with more severe outcomes.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33179934/
I don't know if that mutation is worse for vaccinated, or bad for everyone.
In my country, Romania:
- only 40% of the population is vaxxed;
- only 27% is mRNA vaxxed;
- only 10% are boostered;
- only 0,004% are double boostered...
...yet the vaxxed demographic gives over 65% of the current infections.
LE According to the latest data (today) during the week 20-26 VI 63% of the infections were among vaccinated.
This is the 3rd week in a row when the percentage of the infected vaccinated jumps clearly over 60%.
- 6-12 VI: 61,8%;
- 13-19 VI: 65,1%;
- 20-26 VI: 63%.
Great article! We do not quite know yet why some variants prefer some countries and not others. So far ba.5 spreads nicely and seems to be doing "great" in Portugal, UK, Germany, and seems to be progressing in USA also.
Lesser mortality may be a mirage if each Covid infection takes our immune systems down 20% (a number thrown just for example) and some people are reinfected often (and will be reinfected MORE often as their immunity is worn down).
I am expecting more bad things than good things to be honest.
"(hey, that’s science for you and if you’re not trying to actively disprove your theories, you’re doing it wrong)" **
** inverse applies to Fauci funded SettledScience™
Sometimes you gotta burn down the village to save it.
They load the clip in omnicolour
Said they pack the nine, they fire it at prime time
The sleeping gas, every home was like Alcatraz
And motherfuckers lost their minds
No escape from the mass mind rape
Play it again Jack and then rewind the tape
And then play it again and again and again
Until your mind is locked in
Believin' all the lies that they're tellin' ya
Buyin' all the products that they're sellin' ya
They say, "Jump" and you say, "How high?"
You brain-dead, you got a fuckin' bullet in your head
Bullet in your head, a bullet in your head
A bullet in your head, a bullet in your head!
Bunch of junkies going from spoon to needle...
You betcha. Leaky vaccine immune suppression = lethal variants for the jabbed.
Why the f@<k are these "vaccines" still getting jabbed into people?
Igor and el gato....THANK YOU. Thank you for actually doing the work to look into all this nonsense. Like I have stated before...I am being told one thing yet seeing another. Orwell would be proud.
Your work is keeping me sane. Keep it up!
The gene-transfer jabs shut down the toll-like receptors, which are a critical part of the immune systems way of responding to viral infection. THe Jab shuts them down to increase the life of the mRNA in the body. Essentially it is giving the jabbed V-AIDS to a greater or lesser degree.
Now that is the science... the science of eugenics
Eugyppius comparison of hyper-vaccinated versus less vaccinated in Germany.
https://www.eugyppius.com/p/omicron-ba5-prefers-hypervaccinated
Dr. Vliet last August shared the animal studies that showed all the vaxxed cats (sorry Gato) and ferrets died from ADE. Dr. Vanden Bossche said a few weeks ago on The Highwire the vaxx are driving variants that could because more deadly. Mark Skidmore on Lighthouse shared an Expose article that shows Canada cases hospitalized and deaths are way up for vaxxed.
Pet hobby horse indeed.
Thank you-An exellent and worthwhile overview! Lest we lose sight of the forest for the trees, despite all of this bona fide data analysis--may we now cut to the chase and enact a moratorium on the experimental drug agenda? How is it possible that there are still people who cannot fathom the idea of a bioweapon?...or a profiteering/control agenda?
Anecdotal evidence. I fly back to PR for my Abuelo’s funeral. It turns into a superspreader event as my aunt, uncle, great aunt, and two cousins all get Covid. All of them vaccinated and boosted. Meanwhile, those of us visiting from the states got nothing. Me unvaccinated while my brother and other aunt were vaccinated after infection. By the way, I saw more masks on the island that I have seen in a year. Had to leave one of the panaderias as I refused to put on a mask.
I've been following the Walgreens test data for a couple months. The number of tests and the positivity rates by vaxx status have gone up and down, but the unvaxxed consistently represent ~25% of the tests and ~20% of the positives (all ages). On average, ~80% of the positives have had at least one jab, and ~50% of the positives have had three jabs. Three jabs doesn't seem to do much for the over 65s before or after the 5 month mark.
Per their slides, it appears that BA4-5 have not blown through yet. Perhaps this would be a good data source to monitor infections at least.
Walgreens (81,489 tests) positivity rate by vaxx status 06/18/2022 through 06/24/2022:
24.9% Unvaxxed
32.5% I Dose
33.5%. 2 Doses > 5 months ago
19.8%. 2 Doses <= 5 months ago
36.0% 3 Doses > 5 months ago
24.8%. 3 Doses <= 5 months ago
=========
78.9% of the people who tested positive had at least one jab.
47.2% of the people who tested positive had three jabs.
68.0% of the people who tested positive age 65+ had three jabs.
Unvaxxed comprise 25.7% of the tests and 21.1% of the positives.
=========
Slide 3
https://www.walgreens.com/businesssolutions/covid-19-index.jsp?fbclid=IwAR32Mert5ffj-JTsy5yd3_akJXzmPAUo3tSYRdu8Rc1l6rS31ZYTJHsmSgM
"what would be REALLY interesting to get at would be a sense of just how much more contagious BA really is vs how much of the additional spread is coming from vaccines."
I like the term "Intrinsic infectiousness" used by Geert Vanden Bossche to disinguish from Ab-mediated enhancement of viral infection. I believe GVB posits that "intrinsic" infectiousness has not changed that dramatically across variants. Most of the increase in infectiousness is from vaccine Ab -induced enhancement. In a sane world, the data to compare R for vaccinated and unvaccinated populations would be widely available.