i'm not sure that it is. it's a little tricky to adjust their data as they have been at such low sample rates it's hard to know how representative they are, but it looks like india upped their testing rate by 3X from mid march to now.
this dramatically accentuated the spike they had and gave the raw figures a tall aspect ratio that exaggerated the surge and its suddenness.
the raw data reads at 4.2 X the height of the 9/20 peak.
adjusted it's only 2X.
so i think that's most of the issue. testing is making new highs daily now while raw case counts plummet.
adjusted for testing, it's already down 60%+ from peak and % pos has dropped from 22% to 12
how come the the rise to decline of the gompertz for india is so narrow?
i'm not sure that it is. it's a little tricky to adjust their data as they have been at such low sample rates it's hard to know how representative they are, but it looks like india upped their testing rate by 3X from mid march to now.
this dramatically accentuated the spike they had and gave the raw figures a tall aspect ratio that exaggerated the surge and its suddenness.
the raw data reads at 4.2 X the height of the 9/20 peak.
adjusted it's only 2X.
so i think that's most of the issue. testing is making new highs daily now while raw case counts plummet.
adjusted for testing, it's already down 60%+ from peak and % pos has dropped from 22% to 12