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The latest Public Health England technical report dropped today...

SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern and variants under investigation in England/Technical briefing 22/September 3, 2021

Public Health England reports that Delta is the dominant variant in the UK. This variant accounted for 99% of sequenced and 98% genotyped cases from July 25 through July 31, 2021 in England (PHE technical briefing 20/August 8 ). PHE has not updated this data since.

PHE last reported the Delta variant Case Fatality Rate (CFR) of ~0.2% - 0.3% in early July (PHE technical briefing 18/July 9). PHE has not updated the CFR since.

PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values from routinely undertaken tests in England show that Ct values (and by inference viral load) are similar between individuals who are unvaccinated and vaccinated.

Delta in England as of 8/29/2021...

Unvaxxed: 219,716 cases/536 deaths/0.2440%

Unvaxxed <50: 212,989 cases/99 deaths/0.0465%

Unvaxxed 50+: 6,724 cases/437 deaths/6.499%

Fully Vaxxed: 113,823 cases/1,091 deaths/0.9585%

Fully Vaxxed <50: 62,403 cases/37 deaths/0.0593%

Fully Vaxxed 50+: 51,420 cases/1,054 deaths/2.450%

50,119 Unlinked Infections

108,870 Partially Vaxxed Infections

113,823 Fully Vaxxed Infections

219,716 Unvaxxed Infections

Partially/Fully Vaxxed infections have surpassed Unvaxxed infections.

1.9 times more infections in Unvaxxed versus Fully Vaxxed.

(2.5 times more infections in Unvaxxed versus Fully Vaxxed as of August 15)

(3.2 times more infections in Unvaxxed versus Fully Vaxxed as of August 8)

~60.7% of deaths were in fully vaxxed.

~64.1% of deaths were in fully vaxxed 50+.

~68.6% of deaths were in fully/partially vaxxed.

555 more deaths of fully vaxxed than unvaxxed.

617 more deaths of fully vaxxed than unvaxxed in 50+ cohort.

697 more deaths of fully/partially vaxxed than unvaxxed.

745 more deaths of fully/partially vaxxed than unvaxxed in 50+ cohort.

We don’t have the prior health status of those who died in any of the cohorts.

We don’t know the breakdown of “vaccines” taken by the vaxxed.

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1014926/Technical_Briefing_22_21_09_02.pdf

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1012401/Technical_Briefing_21.pdf

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1009243/Technical_Briefing_20.pdf

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1001358/Variants_of_Concern_VOC_Technical_Briefing_18.pdf

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Thank you for this synopsis.

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I thought you might be interested in this article which perhaps is no news to you: from 2018, it details the evolution of vaccine resistance in several viral and bacterial pathogens.

https://www.quantamagazine.org/how-vaccines-can-drive-pathogens-to-evolve-20180510

The question for us now I think is how this will play out with COVID. If vaccination driven variants are just more infectious, we may get herd immunity faster, ending the pandemic phase faster. But if more deadly variants result, likely only in some populations, the whole enterprise is a net negative. Depending the time it takes for COVID to evolve .vs. vaccines.

I keep wondering if... why.. big pharma isn't worried that the eventual truth coming out will provoke some massive backlash. Like what's happened to the tobacco industry. Unlikely though if, by analogy, smoking cigarettes is required by law and paid for by the government, lol.

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I suppose another difference between big pharma and cigarette companies is that cigarette companies still had to fear lawsuits.

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Thank you. Months ago, Geert Vanden Bossche raised the alarm about the risks of mass vaccinations in the middle of a pandemic. He was attacked and/or dismissed from all quarters. Perhaps it will accelerate herd immunity, but the risk that something really dangerous will spin off is always there. If they do "create" a Marek's type bug, it will be dangerous for everyone...vaxxed or not...because they cannot inject 7.5 billion people faster than the virus can spread...and these "vaxxines" are not durable.

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Very interesting. Just curious, when referring to cases above (for example: Unvaxxed: 219,716 cases/536 deaths/0.2440%), are those true cases or just infections in general?

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These are confirmed Delta infections. They are a subset of all infections, but PHE still reports that Delta is the predominant variant.

From above...

"Public Health England reports that Delta is the dominant variant in the UK. This variant accounted for 99% of sequenced and 98% genotyped cases from July 25 through July 31, 2021 in England (PHE technical briefing 20/August 8 ). PHE has not updated this data since."

Table 5. Attendance to emergency care and deaths of sequenced and genotyped Delta cases in England by vaccination status (1 February 2021 to 29 August 2021)

pages 21-22

https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1014926/Technical_Briefing_22_21_09_02.pdf

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Thank you.

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I wonder if you know what is the relationship between days since jab and vaccine status for the purposes of the analysis?

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No, I don't. The technical reports are cumulative data on the Delta variant, which became a real concern in May-June. Delta has been the dominant variant for most of the summer.

The ratio of Delta infections in the unvaxxed to fully vaxxed has dropped from 6.7 as of June 2 to 1.9 as of August 29, so the gap is closing. Does that say something about vaxx failure over time? I can't say. Maybe.

I think this data set does raise questions about the level of protection the vaxxes provide to the people most at risk (50+). A fully vaxxed person was less likely to be infected, less likely to seek care, less likely to be hospitalized...but more of them died. I would have expected more deaths in the unvaxxed 50+ cohort, even though there were a smaller number of infections, because they are alleged to be the most at risk...and likely didn't take the vaxx because they couldn't.

All data points are moving over time, and we don't have all the information we need to really understand what's going on. I'm not a data person, but something has always felt off in these reports. IMO, they undermine the mainstream narrative.

https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-novel-sars-cov-2-variant-variant-of-concern-20201201

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> politics has no place in medicine. none.

Agreed 100%. Sadly, it's deep in the scientific community. I believe science on public health matters cannot be trusted, as evidenced in the phony HCQ study (Surgisphere). "Peer review" means nothing any more.

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author

so much science now depends upon government grants.

pay the piper, call the tune.

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Not to mention that the news media gets a huge amount of funding from Big Pharma in the form of advertising dollars, the CDC gets a decent amount of donations from Big Pharma, as does the WHO (also, the Bill and Melinda Gates foundation).

I have heard as well that many of the universities that are putting out pro-mask studies and pro-COVID vax studies also receive a decent amount of funding from major pharmaceutical companies.

We can't really trust most of what we hear.

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It’s been like that for a while. If you’re a woman of childbearing age and followed the ‘studies’ that justified elective inductions and more interventions in birth from the last two decades you know most such studies were mapped out to prove as much intervention as possible is the correct answer. $$$

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The entire mainstream medical establishment is financed and controlled by the US federal government. There is medicare which dictates how docs are paid to see the over 65 crowd. The medical community uses alphanumeric codes that were developed by the US government and the AMA . All major medical insurance companies in the US and controlled and regulated by the various state government and federal government. There is medicaid for low income people which also happens to be the largest funder of long term nursing home care in the US

The entire medical research community including grants , professor salaries are controlled and financed by various government agencies like the NIH.

Even before covid we were living in a medical fascist corporatist state.

It is not surprising that all the activity surrounding covid became nakedly political

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been that way for a long time... radon, ozone, come to mind.

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indeed, total us r&d spending is dominated by the war machine, nih, dot and nasa.

all of which are optimized for lobbying.

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public health experts are not medical experts.

the inly medical expertise that matters to me is how my pcp interprets my symptoms, the quality of his referrals, and my history as well as my views on quality of life, that is between me and my pcp whom i will fire at the first irritation.

public health experts are politicians using faux authority and panic porn propaganda to push the end of the rights of man.

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When doctors traded that very expensive, hard to get credibility they got from med school for the credibility of Joe Biden.... I'd say that was a mistake. But, nevermind. I'm not a doctor so they know better than me.

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author

doctors are notoriously among the worst investors around.

ask any stockbroker.

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I'll take an insurance actuary every day of the week and twice on Sunday.

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Not great pilots, either, witness the B-35 Bonanza, nicknamed the "Doctor Killer."

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Im a doc and ive basically divested myself from dollars

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Mrs. Biden is also a doctor!

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There are plenty of villains in this outstanding post but lets give special mention to Amy Siskind who spouts stupefying amounts of Pavlovian partisanship at any and all cost while at the same time pretending merely to be a equity-driven-justice-advocate-for-the-people. It's as if the entire DSM-VI were bundled in her cortex.

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The notorious Siskind asked after the election, "Can we burn down the suburbs now?"

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So happy to be following you on substack! Really missed you on Twitter.

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If the government took over the food supply like it did in the Chinese and soviet societies we would soon all starve. When government takes over other areas of the society like education , banking, and healthcare and medical research, it takes much longer for the ROT to set in and for people to notice. But now its obvious to anyone with half a brain cell:

Every major public institution in the US is a failure

The post office, social security, medicare, SCOTUS, most of the judiciary, public schools, the healthcare system (70-80 percent controlled by government), the military, and of course , most importantly, the DOLLAR itself.

Real sound Money is always an everywhere free market phenomenon. There has never been a society or nation that existed on a purely Fiat currency that survived. Soon we are going to have if not hyper inflation then. An extremely high inflation and a dollar collapse.

I don’t think most people are prepared for how bad it’s going to get in the United States

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I love most of your posts and find them true sanity savers. But in this case, I'm puzzled. I truly don't see how you can decry the lack of public trust of authorities in the US in regards to Covid - you wish they'd hidden their lies and corruption more competently, so they'd have a larger percentage of united faithful followers?

From the perspective of a Canadian whose research finds a boatload of valid health reasons to refuse the corona-chan inoculation, I would rather our public trust in politicians and health bureaucrats was as much in tatters as in the US - I'd feel I stood a better chance of survival against the flood of living restrictions our authorities are slowly but steadily imposing, and know they can get away with imposing on such a compliant population.

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He would rather they were actually trustworthy.

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author

i would actually rather that they have no power over me, to be honest.

but i think greg missed the point. i'm not saying we should trust them or that i would have preferred we not see them for what they are, i'm saying that given the manner in which they have behaved, they have no right to bemoan the people not trusting them.

further, i find serious fault with them not seeing this and instead projecting it onto "the stupid masses" who will not "do as they are told by their betters."

therein lies the issue. there was never a time we could trust these people, it's just that we used to be able to ignore them.

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I don't think it's projection at all (in the psychological sense). I think it's entirely strategic. The first rule of political bodies and corporations is "admit no fault." This is escapegoating.

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Thank you for clarifying, yes I missed the point.

I'd also suggest that anyone who feels they are entitled to wield power over others and feed from the public trough, is unlikely to possess either humility or self-awareness needed to see they've done anything wrong.

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I alwasy thought canada was one emergency away from a totalitarian socialist dictatorship. And now thats what u have. The canadian healthcare system is a disaster. It has no flexibility or resiliency. And now bc of a very real emergency , the system cant handle any shock or overflow bc its a rigid centrally planned system. So bc of the government failure, the people are punished

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I had the same take (though I have now read egm's clarification reply). I feel sorry for the countries who didn't politicize the virus and the "vaccine" enough.

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When you lay down with dogs you get up with fleas

When you lay down with politicians your reputation flees

Doctors have just joined the exclusive club of used care salesman, ambulance chasing lawyers and politicians

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The Russians have a healthy distrust of the government. Nothing like 70 years of tyrannical soviet rule to make one question government edicts and mandates.

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Love reading everything you write!

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Agreed! Better than any therapist out there. A source hope, which i have in the first time in my life fully lost.

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“much of the rest of the world did not fall prey to this”

This sound like wishful thinking. I have been trying to make sense of the political discourse in several countries I am familiar with (living there or having lived there - more or less autocratic up to 2019) and none of them came close to a convincing argument on any action they took from testing, masking, curfews, lockdowns, vaccines or domestic health passports.

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I have to wonder how many of the ",planning to" crowd are either lying or only doing so due to extreme coercion?

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my god! the hearts kitty is gorgeous!

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founding

Your research and writing is incredible. I found you on Twitter and you are the reason I came to substack.

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Your second law... spot on!

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Perhaps OT, but an equal surprise to me is the low percent vaccinated in Australia, Japan, South Korea. I know in Australia there is a lot of vaxx (and pass) hesitancy, perhaps they answered "plan to" instead of "uncertain./unwilling" out of fear of the Aussie state surveillance apparatus. But Japan and South Korea? I figured they'd have a much higher number by now.

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vaxx hesitancy is a shibboleth the lemming and their masters use to denigrate any one who questions the hypotheses that were shoddily proven oi the vaxxes media blitz (testing seems to be not the proper view) as well the total lack of safety data.

in the face of ignored/hidden research on the dangers of the vaxx as it introduces spike protini in to your body.

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I would absolutely answer "plan to" to anyone that I thought was going to ultimately use that poll against me. (So, all of them.) Actually, I'd probably say I was vaccinated so it would maybe go into the same database that sends me harassing phone calls from a state I no longer live in.

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Vaccine hesitancy in Australia has plummeted ever since the summer breakout https://melbourneinstitute.unimelb.edu.au/publications/research-insights/ttpn/vaccination-report

Japan and South Korea are not totally surprising, both polities are in a decades-long "progress" hangover. And weirdly it seems like recent high immigration might drive vaccine eagerness.

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There’s an all out propaganda war on Ivermectin at this point. I’ll reserve my judgement on its efficacy but articles like the one below are clearly misinformation in an attempt to delegitimize its possibilities.

https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/gunshot-victims-horse-dewormer-ivermectin-oklahoma-hospitals-covid-1220608/

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Morning Consult is a joke according to Rich Baris, one of the more accurate pollsters. Watch his latest vids (Peoples_pundit on youtube) for more accurate vaccine sentiments. Morning Consult was off by double digits in the last national election.

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The truth was never so eloquently stated!

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Got my "First Scientific Fraud Kit" in the mail today! It has a microscope: https://secretsun.blogspot.com/2021/08/if-you-believe-they-put-meme-on-moon.html

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My most favorite meme ever!!!

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