187 Comments

There are essentially no consequences for them if they get things wrong. Sure, in theory, their reputation can suffer, but people's memories are short, and in all probability the same is true of the experts themselves, who conveniently forget all the times their "feels over reals" epistemological yardstick led them astray. Easy to forget when it keeps getting you engagement.

If Musk wanted to really improve his platform, he should expand the community notes feature to include some kind of prediction tracking. "While it is too early to tell if this prediction is accurate, this account has a 5.3% accuracy rating based on previous tweets."

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Being wrong is no handicap, for sure. Look at Neil Ferguson-- that dimwit has never been right about ANYTHING, yet he is revered as if he speaks from Mt Sinai

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Unfortunately, it's not about being right or wrong, it's about being useful. Hence why some "experts" seem to fail upwards over and over again.

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every employee rises to their level of incompetence.

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At this stage I am convinced that is why they keep him. He will always come back with a hysterical prediction.

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Well of course you're right, how else are you going to protect a Plandemic?

Make it appear as if people are battling a pandemic so they're unaware they've joined a battalion to wage war against each other to protect a Plandemic.

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Sooo... kinda like Brian Stelter?

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Yes, but lustier.

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... but lus...

wut?

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Married paramour took the tube to do something with him. Can’t imagine how at 6 feet apart but I’m sure he found a way. Do ya think he thought of this as his last tangos?

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Huh?

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Most people don’t know that he testified in court, March 2020, that his looney predictions were rubbish and that mainly highly compromised folks atbtye end of life would die. And of course he traveled while Covid positive to see his mistress. So that tells you how seriously he took the “Pandemic”

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The FED anyone…?

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Like that 'feels over reals'--thanks!

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We have moved from a thinking based society to an emotion based society.

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emotion based panicking is the simplest method of hustling someone into agreement and compliance. "No time to waste" "Children are threatened" "Be afraid of consequences of not acting" It is hard to figure out the next move when under stress like that, and we are not encouraged to think things through before times.

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really hilarious! Thanks!

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Well said. And, that's hilarious!

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Perhaps that was one of the flaws of the C0VID psyop. They wanted 100% compliance, but essentially, they gave people a year to figure out if they wanted it or not. Some were OK with an experimental injection; many were not, so they did not get their 100% compliance worldwide.

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Common sense is no longer common. Emotional outrage is virtuous.

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Reason/Emotion always are operative. I agree that one may dominate over others, whether in the indivudual, a small group or even a civilization. As much as I admire the Englightenment and all it gave the worlld, recently I learnt that even with it, not all is well, especially with the (then) revolutionary social or philosophical beleifs, such that all people were -- or at least should be made to be -- as equal as possible. In my opinion, that one belief alone (I call it Egalitariansim) is in the "magical thinking" domain, and is utterly at odds with what we know about how the natural world works.

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Or you could state it this way:

"While it is too early to tell if this prediction is accurate, it is recommended bullshit meter batteries be charged 94.7% based on previous tweets from this account. "

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Those damned NiCd batteries aren't what they used to be.

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Not a bad idea, having a tracker to see how accurate an augur is.

Some fan-driven gaming/hobby-sites use rumour-trackers to keep stats on which rumour-mongers are credible and which ones are click-baiters.

It works rather well, and has had a positive impact on debates which can get ridiculously heated given the subject.

Question is, what would it cost to implement such a thing on Twitter and how would you establish it as being trustworthy, given the history of not only Twitter but all media, private and public?

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qui custodiet custodes?

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that was what bluchecks were supposed to be all about. That didn't work. It turned into nomenklatura and the "blue-cheka"

I wonder if there could be the twitter notes/back-talk tracking similar to the likes/retweet ratio?

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Yes, a lot of these so-called experts should be under "custodial" care. 🤪

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To try and answer properly, would open code work?

I've got zero technical knowledge or apitutde applicable, so any code-monkey or slide ruler-jockey reading, feel free to point and laugh.

('Cause anything you can build, us Neanderthals can break, so there! Nyah!)

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Well... (from memory, mind you)

That text talks about the eunuchs set to guard roman ladies of high social standing during a religious festival. The eunuchs were supposed to - if requested to - ahem, service the ladies, so they could enjoy themselves without fear of pregnancy.

But who ensures the eunuchs do their job right or are indeed eunuchs in the first place, and that the ladies do not smuggle their favourite in among them?

I may be mixing two different accounts of old Rome though. Caveat lector, as the classicists said.

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With censorship at an all time high, I'm wondering if a tracker would give accurate results.

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Yup. It's the abuse of power. Without consequences. If there is no impact on reputations, the lowest common denominator wins.

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But what would the numbers be if we controlled for the Eric Feigl-Ding factor?!?

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That is funny 😆

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Poor Cassandra....he's so misunderstood...

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🤣😂🤣😂🤣👏👏

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They have utterly lost the plot and lost the trust, what little there was. Out here in the streets the anger over their endless"the sky is falling" "the covid is going to kill you" "you have to mask up to protect everyone" has left the credentialed in the sewer. The more concerning part of this is their proximity to power and power gathers their hot air and uses this to grow their agenda. Stay still and strong, my frens. It's only going to get crazier.

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We're being led by the obtuse ... or people somewhere on the sociopath spectrum. These people are everywhere ... in every important organization. And they become the leaders of these organizations. If you go against the Current Thing, you will not remain in that organization or move up the career ladder. It's all Catch-22 type madness.

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Let's hope their hot air balloon carries them up, up, and away into the stratosphere......without breathing equipment (or a winter coat)

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YASSSSSSSSSSSSS

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I worked at an educational institution and meetings were held there in which attendees were told to generalize the risk of monkeypox to "everyone" so as not to appear insensitive. It smacked of the same thing that had happened with COVID (albeit for a different flavor of ideological reason), where we had that bizarre pressure not to insinuate that it could be mild for most and severe only for a select, especially at-risk group.

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Ah, the ol’ Fauci HIV gambit… still as effective as never…

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"the ol’ Fauci HIV gambit"

Failed upward for four decades only to end up as the highest paid BigFedGov employee in history.

Plus I hear retired BigFedGov peeps have great benefits.

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400 million in Moderna kickbacks last year alone is a pretty good perk. Not all for Phuckci of course but I’m sure he gets his

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It is difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.

Upton Sinclair

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I recall that "everyone is at risk" hoax. After a few months, it became obvious to any sentient being that anal sex among homosexual men was the main risk factor, save a few unfortunate souls who got tainted blood or were on the "down low" as they say in the black community. The same with flogging the monkey pox scare. Almost all of it in an attempt to keep people from thinking it was another gay disease, which is exactly what it turned out to be.

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Because diabetes, heart disease, chronic pulmonary obstruction are kind of with you long-term, but obesity--that one, you could see a change in a week!

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That select group being men that fucked other random men at gay orgies. Pretty much 1/100000000 of people. So, no, you actually weren’t gonna offend anyone, including normal homosexual men that steer clear of orgies.

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Well, it worked so well in resolving HIV/AIDS, why not trot it out again?

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The only real friend I’ve ever had block me and disappear from my life without explanation (and without any real arguments prior-she just ghosted and then I figured it out), is a prog-lefty woman on disability who spends her entire day amped on the current thing on twitter. When I suggested that twitter wasn’t a healthy place for all social interaction, she got angry with me.

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She got angry because you threatened her existence, her identity. She chose her fake life over you. Her loss.

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I have experienced this as well, except mine (they weren't friends just 25+ year old high school and college friends on the evil faycebook)are from NJ and they insult and scream before they flounce away in a huff...buh bye!

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My mom lost her best friend of 30 years. Her friend went completely Covid crazy. My mom did not. It’s really sad.

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I would say that while “Twitter wasn’t a healthy place for all social interaction” is generally true, I also believe that depends entirely who you’re “listening” to on Twitter! I’ve found some remarkable, albeit black pilled, highly informative people on that platform. I’ve gone on to read their research, follow them on Locals or Rumble and subscribe to their Substack.

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Yeah, I’m not opposed to twitter. My issue was that it was becoming her entire social orbit, which meant an echo-chamber of a particularly victim-heavy ideology.

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It’s a troll farm of bored people trying to turn everything into some sort of grievance. Its quit funny actually, I live looking at comment threads of politicians and pundits. Unhinged responses to the most mundane topics.

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Totally agree. Easy for any of us to remain in a bubble on Twitter, regardless of which “side” were on. It’s important to step away from all social media as well as technology in general to regain some perspective. That’s why I garden!

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Sorry Sarah, what a horror this has been. I hope you have other relationships and make new ones.

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Thank you-I was fortunate, I feel. This was the only one that totally disappeared, and I knew she was a person who would drop a friend she enjoyed over politics, and then be sad she was lonely.

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The American Academy of Pediatrics teamed up with Stanford’s Virality Project and sent us ready made tweets that were supposed to debunk what they call “Bad Actors.” Basically AAP & Virality call the people telling the truth including their own Board Certified Members “Bad Actors.” I’m still getting emails with rest made tweets. Videos on how to “debunk” & intervene against “bad actors” like me. I got an email last week with 3 videos & it was all about how to shut up truth tellers, doctors and parents alike. The social scientist giving the lecture kept calling the good people, the public health docs and the MDs who believe the CDC & these other bald faced liars. We live in a sick, inverted world.

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Now you know why my substack’s motto is AAP Delenda Est. They’re seriously twisted:

https://thefederalist.com/2023/04/28/prescription-for-parents-vet-your-childs-doctors-they-no-longer-deserve-your-trust/

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THAT'S what needs more exposure. These ridiculous tweets all seem AI genned: "write a few tweets triggering outrage and inflaming the gullible about contrived dangers of monkeypox" ... And seeding this bs out via "members" of corrupt globalist distributors like the AAP who know their members are more than happy to push the buttons they're told to push.

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Lol, perfect example of what results from giving "participation trophies" to a generation of kids, now grown adults!🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️🤦‍♀️🤨

Yep, the "experts" bar is not the only one that's slipped- its across the board and in every industry, we have at least 2x generations that dont know quality or genuine when they see it. 🤨🤔🤦‍♀️Flash forward another 10 years and a "genuine antique IKEA" will be the new standard of quality.😐😑

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I have some IKEA shelves, "Nicklas" if I recall correctly, that are already ~35 years old, and were made in a nation that no longer exists (Yugoslavia.) They may not be technically antinques, but I am (>60)!

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It might give you a chuckle then if I tell you that even a small "Niklas"-piece (like, the smallest section only three shelves high) can easily run you $250 or more on a domestic auction site.

You might have furniture worth five-digit amounts?

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Actually, as Satan's Doorknob implies below, some of the older Ikea "antiques" are actually pretty well made. I've got a '90s Ikea clothes tree that is super useful and well designed--I can't believe it was discontinued and that its design has never been copied or done by anyone else. Also have "Billy" bookcases from the '90s (Ikea may still be making these).

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The reason IKEA's stuff was well-made in the 1990s was that the founder, Ingvar Kamprad, was alive and well and had an active hand in everything.

No design got the go-ahead without him looking it over personally to see it lived up to his demands for quality, efficiency and affordability balanced against profitability.

He was a regular working man of humble origin and never into the bourgeois nouveau riche-trap. The man was a billionaire and would still return his own empty bottles for recycling to collect the deposit (about 10 cents/bottle) - memorably, when Stockholm City increased the cost of garbage collection in the archipelago where he had a summer cottage, he demanded to get in writing with the calculations shown and sourced, what was the cause of the need to raise the fee. For the eq. of a $5 rise. A principled man, much beloved here in Sweden and sorely missed.

After his demise, the bean-counters and the designer-fags took over. Sic transit gloria IKEA.

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Rikard, thanks for the info.

I still can't believe that with all the people out there who love the modern look, that nobody revisits any of the Ikea-designed stuff from back then and sells similar now. Old movies keep getting remade, but good old designed furniture is ignored.

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Remaking an old design without changing it is seen as "uncreative" I think.

Also, the wood used in IKEA furniture up until the 2000s were mainly from Sweden, where it had grown at its natural pace, making it high quality. Today, most wood used was planted in the 1950s-1970s and have been stressed to grow very fast, making it much less durable.

A comparison would be my wooden window-frames, made by hand in 1922 by a carpentry-master (meaning 20+ years practical experience) from wood (Nordic Spruce) that was carefully selected by him, and which had grown for at least 75 years. It hasn't degraded, rotted, no mold can find purchase, or anything - and it's not impregnated. Wood grown at its natural pace is simply superior and doesn't need to be impregnated unless it will be in steady contact with soil or perpetually wet.

My mother's house has windows from the 1970s, factory made. They need replacing.

(Rants off into the sunset)

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"participation trophies"

I think this is more true than we realize but with this twist:

Giving Participation Trophies to That Kid Who Picked His Nose in Right Field Hoping The Other Team's First Baseman Doesn't Bat Lefty didn't mess things up. That kid's still picking his nose somewhere. But it's the Kids of Moderate-to-Reasonable Ability and Achievement Who Somehow Skated By who seem to be in charge.

They're not completely ineffective and simultaneously glom onto all manner of charitable causes.

They Aim to Make People... Better. And I Don't Hold to That.

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Believe Nothing You Hear, and Only One Half That You See.

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I suspect a similar study conducted over traditional “media” would yield similar results, because the economics are similar: scare sells.

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I was always amused at how we were told that A) this was a “novel” coronavirus, and B) we should follow the advice of experts.

How exactly could someone be an expert in something that was supposedly brand new?

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The experts ARE the artificial intelligence.

Everyone's saying computer robots etc.; nope- to my mind the experts have been programmed - they are the robots.

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I love the economic analysis/discussion in this post & in the comments, but - honestly - do we have to start thinking MORE cynically? Are these people really people or government plants/bots? Is Twitter real or government psy-warfare against us? When something is THIS bad, don't you have to wonder if it's DELIBERATELY bad? If 99% of McD's burgers are poisoned, would you really believe McD is just a poorly run place or that it just has the wrong incentives? Wouldn't you begin to ask if McD's is out to get you?

I think we need to embrace the possibility that the government is waging psychological-warfare against us - are they truly out to get us? And I know that sounds crazy, but can we keep giving them the benefit of the doubt? At this point, isn't it starting to look deliberate?

To me, beyond this study, the biggest worry is the evidence that Fauci et al steered doctors away from what we actually knew about COVID in order to push not just the vaccine but THIS particular vaccine. Why? I mean I get vaccines - that can be explained by the usual greed/incompetence stuff, but why this particular vaccine? It's as if the whole point of everything they did was to get this particular vaccine into everybody...but why? That seems awfully deliberate. They'd have made the same $, enjoyed the same power w/ any vaccine, so why the focus on this one?

And maybe it doesn't matter. At this point, our government has been so perfectly awful that who cares why they've been that perfectly awful. If 99% of McDs burgers were poisoned, would you care why? Isn't the response the same? Regardless?

Long and short, I think everybody needs to ask, "Hans, are we the baddies?"

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My question from the start: why this particular jab? Why? To track and kill? To cause a slow death? To distract from something else? To marinate and prepare us for another plannedemic? Or a serious catastrophe? A real one? For the money, shits and giggles? To test who will and will not comply? Why? I’m always asking why this particular pretend jab? Why?

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Amen, amen! Hard to understand why they were pushing this jab w/o reaching some pretty horrifying conclusions.

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From early February of 2020, I have posted innumerable times on Facebook telling my myriad of followers (okay, maybe 20) to relax and wash their hands. It didn’t work-- the frightened chose to remain that way and the rational remained rational. As old as I am, I was stunned that no one could be convinced by facts.

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They're programmed!

-flesh & blood robots-

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“inevitably”

There are two kinds of people:

1. Those who confidently extrapolate from incomplete data.

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That could have been: "Those who confidently extrapolate from fabricated data".

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I have friends who loved Twitter from the jump. I could never understand why. It seemed like all it did was give one a false sense of importance because you could (seemingly) watch your own tweet "echo" throughout the Net and see its reach.

All I see in Twitter is a giant megaphone; I predicted to a friend WAAAYYY back that the US government would never allow that kind of tool to be in the hands of the Plebes. You could get some people saying the Wrong ThingK and it get trending - and that could be Very Bad for Govt indeed.

It was only a matter of time before the govt would ensure that no one except their chosen voices would be amplified.

This is how Twitter works - govt blares NOISE so loud that it drowns out all other Signal. Once the govt drowns out all other signals with noise, it then can (and does) select for amplification ONLY that which it wants to be heard.

I'll bet if someone were to dig down on those accounts, you'd find Statist Turtles all the way down.

Matt Taibbi scratched the Twitter files and all that shook out were govt asshats - CIA, FBI, NGOs, all of them driving the algorithm.

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Most people do their jobs at a C- level. This is true across the board. So what should we have expected?

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That would have been such a huge improvement. These freaks get an F- AND lied their assed off.

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True. If they started out at C- and then you mix in medication for mental health reasons and susceptibility to government terror campaigns, I don't need to fly a jet into a skyscraper to terrorize the already vulnerable, there you have it.

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What I want to know is what a "pert" is and why there are so many who are not perts anymore, i.e., ex-perts. Sort of like golf balls. What do they do with the rest of the golf? In the end, thinking for yourself seems to be a lost art among those who would be kings. Meowdios!

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