unfortunately, it's not a useful metric at the far right side of the graph as all cause and excess deaths tend to take months to finish populating and become reliable in the data.
possible we could run it vs past vaxx periods, but i find the excess deaths figures from OWID to be pretty iffy and unreliable. i do not really trust their bas…
unfortunately, it's not a useful metric at the far right side of the graph as all cause and excess deaths tend to take months to finish populating and become reliable in the data.
possible we could run it vs past vaxx periods, but i find the excess deaths figures from OWID to be pretty iffy and unreliable. i do not really trust their baselines enough for this.
i'm also not sure the PCR issues really a problem here as it has the same oversensitivity in all periods so it should more or less cancel out.
I wonder if this is a new phenomenon since widespread vaccination or if we could back it out of the UK data. They have age curves for vaccination but dosage and cases by dosage back to at least February. Not always in the easiest format.
If it's a stronger association now (which seems the biggest risk-auto scaling to match the data up can make one slope look like any other but your point about the lead and lag as well as the flat are strong) then perhaps it's more evidence of ADE at very low titers. Or full evasion in the serial passage that is immature immunity. That is a really intriguing idea... When was that Danish study?
unfortunately, it's not a useful metric at the far right side of the graph as all cause and excess deaths tend to take months to finish populating and become reliable in the data.
possible we could run it vs past vaxx periods, but i find the excess deaths figures from OWID to be pretty iffy and unreliable. i do not really trust their baselines enough for this.
i'm also not sure the PCR issues really a problem here as it has the same oversensitivity in all periods so it should more or less cancel out.
I wonder if this is a new phenomenon since widespread vaccination or if we could back it out of the UK data. They have age curves for vaccination but dosage and cases by dosage back to at least February. Not always in the easiest format.
If it's a stronger association now (which seems the biggest risk-auto scaling to match the data up can make one slope look like any other but your point about the lead and lag as well as the flat are strong) then perhaps it's more evidence of ADE at very low titers. Or full evasion in the serial passage that is immature immunity. That is a really intriguing idea... When was that Danish study?
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.03.08.21252200v1 is the Danish study I think you are interested in.