11 Comments

List of other since/therefore red herrings:

"Since vaccine products are effective, therefore restrictions must end!"

"Since vaccine products are now widely available in X country, therefore restrictions must end."

"Since cases are below X, therefore restrictions must end!"

"Since we have treatments, therefore restrictions must end!"

All this feeds acceptance of claims made by governments that there exists "public health" situations that justify suspension of civil liberties and imposed restrictions, and conveniently, governments decide when one has manifested. The argument should be straightforward: "Since human rights exist, therefore restrictions must end."

Expand full comment

The "end" never should have had a "beginning"-

Expand full comment

yes. just....yes.

Expand full comment

I am a long veteran of the military industry complex from active duty to reserve to federal civil servant to beltway bandit (both manufacturer and consulting). I see the pharma industry complex no on a permanent "mobilizations" for never ending pandemic treatments...... similar to Lockheed and Boeing's niche.

One sector starts makes huge money and the model is revised for other sectors......

Expand full comment

We’re hearing our local hospital and others in the region have ICU beds around 97% (or more) full with Covid patients. This is in Illinois.

Expand full comment

not sure who is claiming that or why, but data i'm looking at shows illinios ICU utilization at lowish levels and covid as no major driver.

ICU utilization in IL is 80%. 90%+ is normal. these are expensive beds to leave staffed and empty and hospitals are required by law to be able to flex to 125%. many can hit 150.

only 15% of IL ICU capacity is used by covid (and that does not mean covid as reason for ICU, just cov+ in ICU, not uncommon with opportunistic infection)

in fact, IL dropped it's number of staffed ICU beds significantly back in november because they were not needed. this has not been added back. seems like they are not anticipating need.

https://www.dph.illinois.gov/covid19/hospitalization-utilization

Expand full comment

seems like the standard misrepresentations and fear porn. pick a couple small hospitals, make "90% full" sound scary instead of normal, and ignore all outliers or aggregates.

this has been a common media move for the last year. newsweek ran a big story about swamped florida hospitals by claiming that some big number (like 40) had no ICU capacity left while failing to note that all but 4 of them had no ICU facilities at all and the 4 that did and were full had like 8 or 10 beds.

it's easy to lie with data, especially data with which people are unfamiliar. it's a shame we have a media so determined to do so rather than to clarify and explain, but that seems like the revenue/attention maximizing play for them.

Expand full comment

They did this in Washington as well.

FOUR COUNTIES HAVE NO ICU CAPACITY REMAINING

Regular ICU capacity of those four counties: 0

Expand full comment

That makes sense. I get tired of fear porn. A local restaurant was jam packed on Sunday. It was good to see. By the way I love your clear and understandable writing. What you say makes so much sense.

Expand full comment

ICU beds in US run at more than 76000. Recent ICU covid load around 7600. Hold2 on twitter retweets a person who posts those statistics every day. Illinois cannot be that far off US loads.

Note ICU beds are convertible from other bed space in many locations.

Expand full comment