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hospitalizations are a difficult metric to use as they are one of the least reliable, most biased, and most prone to definitional change.

everyone who enters hospital gets tested, they are often tested over and over while there. many of the "hospitalized cases" are not for covid and are just nosocomial infection or trace contamination or simple false positive. it's hard to use that metric (or ICU which has the same issue but worse) to gauge whether covid is actually putting people in hospitals or just opportunistically infecting them while they are there. (and there are piles of extra money, billing, and insurance pools to access for finding covid, so they are looking for it intensely)

i suspect the analysis you're doing would invert for deaths. that makes ADE look less plausible and the hospital signal look more like a data issue than an epidemiological one.

also:

are you controlling the hospitalization rates for higher case rates and the higher case rates for higher testing rates? because you're into multiplicative error bars there and testing in denmark is up 6X since late december (35 vs 6 tests per 100 per day)

ADE is looking pretty speculative to me, esp as vaccines have been showing some efficacy on hospitalization and death (at least for delta).

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Does ADE only show up in hospitalisations and deaths. Negative efficacy with regard to infections can’t be ADE?

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I am eagerly awaiting a reasonable amount of deaths data to see. Basically three weeks after we see 10,000 cases we will know. Hospitalizations simply happen quicker than deaths and so the lag is smaller and there is more data.

I am hoping that you are right and we will see very little deaths. Indeed, hospitalizations may be due to "abundance of caution".

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The NHS England covid 19 hospital activity report includes numbers for hospital acquired. We were testing on admission, then on day 5, day 10 and so on but not sure if this may have changed recently. So if diagnosed in the last 24 hours that would have been day 5 of admission. There's some really useful data in this report but it's a bit of messing around to get it into a table you can work with

https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/statistical-work-areas/covid-19-hospital-activity/

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Belgium is testing like crazy too. I wonder if they have to use all their flawed test kits before they get off the market ?

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Dec 19, 2021
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I hope that you recover soon. When did your covid start? Please take a lot of vitamin D right now. It helps tremendously and the sooner you take it, the better. Take at 50,000 IU today. I had covid a year ago and Vit D helped.,

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Wow that’s high. For how long?

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2-3 days, then he can go lower. Excess of vitamin D3 simply is not absorbed.

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Really? Every time I've read about vit D it's the opposite, that it accumulates and will eventually reach toxic levels if you take too much. IIRC 10000 IU/day is proven safe, but something 50000 IU/day would eventually become harmful (ofc 2-3 is fine).

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You can take 50,000 for a day or two no problem, but it does build up over time, so be careful with the high doses. I take 4,000 to 8,000 daily, and have just started incorporating K2 to increase absorption and decrease any possibility of long term vascular issues. My D levels went from 28 to 53 over the past 12 months with my current protocol.

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Simple and critical solution - check serum D3 levels. Target above 50, tests cost about 40 bucks.

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I read aspirin helps too but I am no doctor and I did not yet get covid

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Dec 19, 2021Edited
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I f you lost smell, it probably is not omicron. My smell was lost for a month. It came back.

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Based on my reading I would take lactoferrin and melatonin. (Maybe methylene blue, but that is more likely useful if you have low oxygen levels.)

I'm not a doctor or nutritionist or anything.

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Dec 21, 2021
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Around here we are not very impressed with the medical establishment which is ignoring all early treatment, repurposed medicines, and natural alternatives. If you are coming here for advice, you will find these things, which most doctors will tell you are not approved and not proven to work.

If you want the "standard of treatment", just ignore your covid unless you have to go to the emergency room. I don't recommend that, but your doctor will.

There are plenty of naturals with good results. Most people here will tell you vitamins C, D, zinc, and Quercetin, which are great early in the illness, but I am not sure how good they are when it is dragging on. That is why instead I suggested what I did. Melatonin is well-supported for use, and lactoferrin has some smaller trials which look good, but its not high on the list. Aspirin is also very good, and easily available OTC. (Your doctor will tell you not to use it.)

Methylene blue apparently helps the blood oxygenate, which is why its used in blood poisoning. Also has some very small observational reports of success with severe covid. If you can't get it easily, don't bother with it.

Don't take any supplement or medication just because some random guy on the internet suggested it. open your favorite search engine, and see if there are scientific reports of using it for covid. Do your own research.

And don't vaccinate after you recover. You get all the risk without the benefit.

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Dec 20, 2021
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Lactoferrin and melatonin and the other supplements suggested here are available as health supplements without a prescription (at least in the U.S.). Methylene blue is available online, but I would try the others first.

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Steve Kirsch has a wonderful summary of treatment protocols:

https://www.skirsch.io/how-to-treat-covid/

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Flccc.net. IVM, HCQ or Zelenko Z stack. Aspirin, D, Zinc (must take with HCQ), long list really.

US hospital protocal will kill you. Remdesvir is murder. Full stop.

If you cant get IVM, go get the horse paste.

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